New England Patriots
New England Patriots
14-3
@
Denver Broncos
14-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 25 | 08:00 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS
SpreadDEN +4.5
TotalO/U 45.5
MLDEN +190

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. The NFL Week 16 slate features New England Patriots (14-3) traveling to Empower Field at Mile High where Denver Broncos (14-3) waits. This game matters. Denver Broncos as a home dog at +4.5? That immediately catches my eye. The market is telling us something.

Here's where it gets interesting: Offensively, we're looking at 24.8 vs 25.7 PPG. Defensively, Denver Broncos gives up 22.5 while New England Patriots allows 25.5. The matchup favors New England Patriots. The total of 45.5 looks low. These teams are combining for 50.5 PPG.

look, The betting trends are clear: Denver Broncos covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 14-3 | New England Patriots: 14-3
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 18.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos +4.5, sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
12-5
@
Seattle Seahawks
14-3
Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, Jan 25 | 11:30 PM ET | Lumen Field | FOX
SpreadSEA +4.5
TotalO/U 45.5
MLSEA +190

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Trust me on this one. I've been breaking down the Los Angeles Rams-Seattle Seahawks matchup all week. Los Angeles Rams sits at 12-5 while Seattle Seahawks is 14-3 heading into this crucial contest. Seattle Seahawks as a home dog at +4.5? That immediately catches my eye. The market is telling us something.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - Seattle Seahawks gains 362 per game while Los Angeles Rams sits at 378. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Rams has the edge. The total of 45.5 looks low. These teams are combining for 49.9 PPG.

at the end of the day, Seattle Seahawks is 7-7 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Seattle Seahawks is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Seattle Seahawks: 14-3 | Los Angeles Rams: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Seattle Seahawks allows 19.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Seattle Seahawks +4.5, sharp action noted

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