Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
24-17
@
Indiana Pacers
9-31
Indiana Pacers
Thursday, Jan 15 | 12:00 AM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN IN
SpreadIND -1.5
TotalO/U 220.5
MLIND -120

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

I love this spot. Tonight's Toronto Raptors-Indiana Pacers game is one I've circled. Records of 24-17 and 9-31 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Indiana Pacers -1.5 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - The offensive numbers: Indiana Pacers at 118.7 PPG, Toronto Raptors at 109.8. Factor in pace (98.7 vs 101.3) and you see where this is heading.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Indiana Pacers at 8-7 against the spread. Toronto Raptors is 8-5. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 9-31 | Toronto Raptors: 24-17
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers -1.5, sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
22-19
@
Philadelphia 76ers
22-16
Philadelphia 76ers
Thursday, Jan 15 | 12:00 AM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | ESPN
SpreadPHI -1.0
TotalO/U 236.5
MLPHI -110

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers

The numbers are screaming at us. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers matchup has some interesting angles. Cleveland Cavaliers is 22-19 on the year while Philadelphia 76ers sits at 22-16. The line of Philadelphia 76ers -1.0 is where I'm focusing.

What really matters is Pace tells the story - Philadelphia 76ers plays at 98.6 while Cleveland Cavaliers runs at 101.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

realistically, Philadelphia 76ers is 6-4 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 22-16 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 22-19
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 117.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers -1.0, sharp action noted
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
14-25
@
Chicago Bulls
18-21
Chicago Bulls
Thursday, Jan 15 | 01:00 AM ET | United Center | CHSN
SpreadCHI -4.5
TotalO/U 241.5
MLCHI -180

Utah Jazz vs Chicago Bulls

Here's why I'm confident: Let's break down Utah Jazz at Chicago Bulls. At 14-25 versus 18-21, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Chicago Bulls -4.5 is where I'm focusing.

You have to consider Chicago Bulls is putting up 114.4 PPG at home. Utah Jazz scores 113.5 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. Chicago Bulls at 7-6 against the spread. Utah Jazz is 4-8. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 18-21 | Utah Jazz: 14-25
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls -4.5, sharp action noted
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
11-26
@
New Orleans Pelicans
9-33
New Orleans Pelicans
Thursday, Jan 15 | 01:00 AM ET | Smoothie King Center | GCSEN
SpreadNO -1.0
TotalO/U 231.5
MLNO -116

Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sometimes the obvious play is right. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans matchup has some interesting angles. Brooklyn Nets is 11-26 on the year while New Orleans Pelicans sits at 9-33. The line of New Orleans Pelicans -1.0 is where I'm focusing.

The key factor is Pace tells the story - New Orleans Pelicans plays at 97.7 while Brooklyn Nets runs at 102.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. New Orleans Pelicans at 8-3 against the spread. Brooklyn Nets is 5-6. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 7-2 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 9-33 | Brooklyn Nets: 11-26
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 117.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans -1.0, sharp action noted
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
27-13
@
Dallas Mavericks
15-25
Dallas Mavericks
Thursday, Jan 15 | 02:30 AM ET | American Airlines Center | ESPN
SpreadDAL -2.5
TotalO/U 224.5
MLDAL -142

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

I've been studying this one all week. Let's break down Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks. At 27-13 versus 15-25, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Dallas Mavericks -2.5 is where I'm focusing.

Now, The offensive numbers: Dallas Mavericks at 116.4 PPG, Denver Nuggets at 110.7. Factor in pace (102.7 vs 100.6) and you see where this is heading.

truth is, Dallas Mavericks is 8-6 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Dallas Mavericks is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Dallas Mavericks: 15-25 | Denver Nuggets: 27-13
Offensive Rating
Dallas Mavericks: 113.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Dallas Mavericks -2.5, sharp action noted
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
25-14
@
Sacramento Kings
10-30
Sacramento Kings
Thursday, Jan 15 | 03:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | MSG2
SpreadSAC +11.5
TotalO/U 229.5
MLSAC +385

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings

Don't overthink this. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and New York Knicks (25-14) visiting Sacramento Kings (10-30) stands out. The line of Sacramento Kings +11.5 is where I'm focusing.

Here's what I'm seeing: Sacramento Kings is putting up 112.8 PPG at home. New York Knicks scores 119.9 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Sacramento Kings at 7-7 against the spread. New York Knicks is 8-4. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 10-30 | New York Knicks: 25-14
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 113.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings +11.5, sharp action noted
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
10-28
@
LA Clippers
16-23
LA Clippers
Thursday, Jan 15 | 03:30 AM ET | Intuit Dome | MNMT
SpreadLAC -11.5
TotalO/U 226.5
MLLAC -510

Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers

Let me break this down. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Washington Wizards at LA Clippers matchup has some interesting angles. Washington Wizards is 10-28 on the year while LA Clippers sits at 16-23. The line of LA Clippers -11.5 is where I'm focusing.

On top of that, LA Clippers is putting up 119.7 PPG at home. Washington Wizards scores 113.2 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: LA Clippers covers consistently (8-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
LA Clippers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
LA Clippers: 16-23 | Washington Wizards: 10-28
Offensive Rating
LA Clippers: 112.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened LA Clippers -11.5, sharp action noted