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Tools

Betting calculators

Six calculators that run entirely in your browser. Each one shows the formula it uses, because a calculator you cannot check is just a number with a font.

How to use these together

The calculators chain in a sensible order. Start with the odds converter to get every price into the same units. Run the market through the vig calculator to strip out the operator's margin and see the fair line rather than the posted one. Compare that fair line to your own estimate in the EV calculator. If there is something there, size it with Kelly, then take the fraction of Kelly your confidence in the estimate actually justifies.

The implied probability page answers the question people usually mean when they ask whether a price is any good: what would you have to hit for this to be worth it? The parlay calculator exists mainly to make one thing visible, which is that combining bets multiplies the margin as well as the price.

All six share one limitation. They are exact about arithmetic and silent about judgement. Every output that depends on a probability you supplied is a restatement of that estimate, not evidence for it.

Where the proof lives

The maths is free. The record is the hard part.

These calculators will price any bet you type in. What they cannot tell you is whether the probability estimate behind it is any good. Trust My Record grades handicappers on picks timestamped before the game, so you can inspect the full history rather than the highlights.

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