New England Patriots
New England Patriots
14-3
@
Denver Broncos
14-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 25 | 08:00 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS
SpreadDEN +4.5
TotalO/U 42.5
MLDEN +195

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

This is one of my favorite spots. The NFL Week 16 slate features New England Patriots (14-3) traveling to Empower Field at Mile High where Denver Broncos (14-3) waits. This game matters. Denver Broncos as a home dog at +4.5? That immediately catches my eye. The market is telling us something.

Here's where it gets interesting: The yardage tells a story - Denver Broncos gains 337 per game while New England Patriots sits at 332. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Denver Broncos has the edge. The total of 42.5 looks low. These teams are combining for 50.4 PPG.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Denver Broncos covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 14-3 | New England Patriots: 14-3
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 20.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos +4.5, sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
12-5
@
Seattle Seahawks
14-3
Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, Jan 25 | 11:30 PM ET | Lumen Field | FOX
SpreadSEA -2.5
TotalO/U 46.5
MLSEA -142

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features Los Angeles Rams (12-5) traveling to Lumen Field where Seattle Seahawks (14-3) waits. This game matters. Seattle Seahawks is just a 2.5-point favorite, essentially making this a pick'em when you factor in home field.

What stands out is The yardage tells a story - Seattle Seahawks gains 374 per game while Los Angeles Rams sits at 351. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Seattle Seahawks has the edge.

simply put, ATS records matter. Seattle Seahawks at 9-4 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 5-7. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Seattle Seahawks is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Seattle Seahawks: 14-3 | Los Angeles Rams: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Seattle Seahawks allows 20.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Seattle Seahawks -2.5, sharp action noted

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