New England Patriots
New England Patriots
14-3
@
Denver Broncos
14-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 25 | 08:00 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS
SpreadDEN +5.5
TotalO/U 42.5
MLDEN +210

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

Here's what stands out: The NFL Week 16 slate features New England Patriots (14-3) traveling to Empower Field at Mile High where Denver Broncos (14-3) waits. This game matters. Denver Broncos as a home dog at +5.5? That immediately catches my eye. The market is telling us something.

On top of that, Offensively, we're looking at 22.4 vs 22.2 PPG. Defensively, Denver Broncos gives up 23.4 while New England Patriots allows 18.3. The matchup favors Denver Broncos.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Denver Broncos at 8-3 against the spread. New England Patriots is 7-8. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 14-3 | New England Patriots: 14-3
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 18.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos +5.5, sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
12-5
@
Seattle Seahawks
14-3
Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, Jan 25 | 11:30 PM ET | Lumen Field | FOX
SpreadSEA -2.5
TotalO/U 46.5
MLSEA -155

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Trust me on this one. The NFL Week 16 slate features Los Angeles Rams (12-5) traveling to Lumen Field where Seattle Seahawks (14-3) waits. This game matters. Seattle Seahawks is just a 2.5-point favorite, essentially making this a pick'em when you factor in home field.

But here's the thing - Offensively, we're looking at 23.5 vs 27.3 PPG. Defensively, Seattle Seahawks gives up 19.7 while Los Angeles Rams allows 22.4. The matchup favors Los Angeles Rams. The total of 46.5 looks low. These teams are combining for 50.8 PPG.

look, ATS records matter. Seattle Seahawks at 8-5 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 5-6. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Seattle Seahawks is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Seattle Seahawks: 14-3 | Los Angeles Rams: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Seattle Seahawks allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Seattle Seahawks -2.5, sharp action noted

Previous Days

Jan 17 Jan 16 Jan 15 Jan 14 Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10

View Full Archive →