Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
18-29
@
Boston Celtics
31-18
Boston Celtics
Sunday, Feb 01 | 08:30 PM ET | TD Garden | ESPN

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

This is one of my favorite spots. Tonight's Milwaukee Bucks-Boston Celtics game is one I've circled. Records of 18-29 and 31-18 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Here's where it gets interesting: Pace tells the story - Boston Celtics plays at 100.8 while Milwaukee Bucks runs at 102.1. That pace difference will impact the total.

bottom line: Boston Celtics is 7-6 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Boston Celtics is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Boston Celtics: 31-18 | Milwaukee Bucks: 18-29
Offensive Rating
Boston Celtics: 113.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Boston Celtics , sharp action noted
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
13-34
@
Detroit Pistons
35-12
Detroit Pistons
Sunday, Feb 01 | 11:00 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena | NBA League Pass

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons

Let me be real - NBA scheduling is everything, and this Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons matchup has some interesting angles. Brooklyn Nets is 13-34 on the year while Detroit Pistons sits at 35-12.

The numbers tell us Detroit Pistons is putting up 116.5 PPG at home. Brooklyn Nets scores 116.9 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, ATS records matter. Detroit Pistons at 9-7 against the spread. Brooklyn Nets is 8-6. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Detroit Pistons is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Detroit Pistons: 35-12 | Brooklyn Nets: 13-34
Offensive Rating
Detroit Pistons: 117.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Detroit Pistons , sharp action noted
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-25
@
Miami Heat
26-24
Miami Heat
Sunday, Feb 01 | 11:00 PM ET | Kaseya Center | NBA League Pass

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat matchup has some interesting angles. Chicago Bulls is 24-25 on the year while Miami Heat sits at 26-24.

Now, Miami Heat is putting up 119.4 PPG at home. Chicago Bulls scores 115.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

at the end of the day, Miami Heat is 9-7 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Miami Heat is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Miami Heat: 26-24 | Chicago Bulls: 24-25
Offensive Rating
Miami Heat: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Miami Heat , sharp action noted
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
15-34
@
Toronto Raptors
29-21
Toronto Raptors
Sunday, Feb 01 | 11:00 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena | NBA League Pass

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors

I've crunched the numbers. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Utah Jazz at Toronto Raptors matchup has some interesting angles. Utah Jazz is 15-34 on the year while Toronto Raptors sits at 29-21.

Here's what I'm seeing: Pace tells the story - Toronto Raptors plays at 101.5 while Utah Jazz runs at 98.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Toronto Raptors covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Toronto Raptors is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Toronto Raptors: 29-21 | Utah Jazz: 15-34
Offensive Rating
Toronto Raptors: 113.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Toronto Raptors , sharp action noted
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
12-38
@
Washington Wizards
12-35
Washington Wizards
Sunday, Feb 01 | 11:00 PM ET | Capital One Arena | NBA League Pass

Sacramento Kings vs Washington Wizards

Trust me on this one. Tonight's Sacramento Kings-Washington Wizards game is one I've circled. Records of 12-38 and 12-35 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

What really matters is The offensive numbers: Washington Wizards at 109.1 PPG, Sacramento Kings at 116.5. Factor in pace (102.0 vs 97.1) and you see where this is heading.

bottom line: Washington Wizards is 5-7 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 12-35 | Sacramento Kings: 12-38
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 115.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
29-18
@
New York Knicks
30-18
New York Knicks
Monday, Feb 02 | 12:00 AM ET | Madison Square Garden | NBC

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks

Here's the thing: Tonight's Los Angeles Lakers-New York Knicks game is one I've circled. Records of 29-18 and 30-18 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Now, New York Knicks is putting up 119.4 PPG at home. Los Angeles Lakers scores 115.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

bottom line: New York Knicks is 8-7 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 4-2 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 30-18 | Los Angeles Lakers: 29-18
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 115.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks , sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
22-25
@
Phoenix Suns
30-19
Phoenix Suns
Monday, Feb 02 | 01:00 AM ET | Mortgage Matchup Center | NBA League Pass

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns

Sometimes the obvious play is right. NBA scheduling is everything, and this LA Clippers at Phoenix Suns matchup has some interesting angles. LA Clippers is 22-25 on the year while Phoenix Suns sits at 30-19.

Here's the kicker: Phoenix Suns is putting up 119.9 PPG at home. LA Clippers scores 112.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

straight up, Phoenix Suns is 7-3 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Phoenix Suns is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Phoenix Suns: 30-19 | LA Clippers: 22-25
Offensive Rating
Phoenix Suns: 116.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Phoenix Suns , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
25-22
@
San Antonio Spurs
32-16
San Antonio Spurs
Monday, Feb 02 | 02:00 AM ET | Frost Bank Center | NBA League Pass

Orlando Magic vs San Antonio Spurs

Everyone's sleeping on this. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Orlando Magic (25-22) visiting San Antonio Spurs (32-16) stands out.

What really matters is San Antonio Spurs is putting up 112.5 PPG at home. Orlando Magic scores 119.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, San Antonio Spurs is 6-3 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 7-2 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 32-16 | Orlando Magic: 25-22
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 113.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs , sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
29-21
@
Portland Trail Blazers
23-26
Portland Trail Blazers
Monday, Feb 02 | 02:00 AM ET | Moda Center | NBA League Pass

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Portland Trail Blazers

This line doesn't make sense. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Cleveland Cavaliers at Portland Trail Blazers matchup has some interesting angles. Cleveland Cavaliers is 29-21 on the year while Portland Trail Blazers sits at 23-26.

Here's the kicker: Pace tells the story - Portland Trail Blazers plays at 101.8 while Cleveland Cavaliers runs at 101.7. That pace difference will impact the total.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Portland Trail Blazers covers consistently (5-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Portland Trail Blazers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Portland Trail Blazers: 23-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 29-21
Offensive Rating
Portland Trail Blazers: 116.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Portland Trail Blazers , sharp action noted
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
38-11
@
Denver Nuggets
33-16
Denver Nuggets
Monday, Feb 02 | 02:30 AM ET | Ball Arena | NBC

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

The sharps are all over this. Tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder-Denver Nuggets game is one I've circled. Records of 38-11 and 33-16 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

What stands out is Pace tells the story - Denver Nuggets plays at 101.6 while Oklahoma City Thunder runs at 99.4. That pace difference will impact the total.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Denver Nuggets covers consistently (6-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Denver Nuggets is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Nuggets: 33-16 | Oklahoma City Thunder: 38-11
Offensive Rating
Denver Nuggets: 117.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Denver Nuggets , sharp action noted

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