New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
10-33
@
Indiana Pacers
9-32
Indiana Pacers
Saturday, Jan 17 | 12:00 AM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN IN
SpreadIND -4.5
TotalO/U 241.5
MLIND -178

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

This is one of my favorite spots. Tonight's New Orleans Pelicans-Indiana Pacers game is one I've circled. Records of 10-33 and 9-32 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Indiana Pacers -4.5 is where I'm focusing.

The big question: Pace tells the story - Indiana Pacers plays at 99.5 while New Orleans Pelicans runs at 101.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Indiana Pacers covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 9-32 | New Orleans Pelicans: 10-33
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers -4.5, sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
23-19
@
Philadelphia 76ers
22-17
Philadelphia 76ers
Saturday, Jan 17 | 12:00 AM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | ESPN
SpreadPHI -2.5
TotalO/U 233.5
MLPHI -136

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers

I've been studying this one all week. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers matchup has some interesting angles. Cleveland Cavaliers is 23-19 on the year while Philadelphia 76ers sits at 22-17. The line of Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 is where I'm focusing.

Here's the kicker: The offensive numbers: Philadelphia 76ers at 113.0 PPG, Cleveland Cavaliers at 110.4. Factor in pace (102.5 vs 100.1) and you see where this is heading.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Philadelphia 76ers covers consistently (8-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 22-17 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 23-19
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 113.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers -2.5, sharp action noted
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
19-21
@
Brooklyn Nets
11-27
Brooklyn Nets
Saturday, Jan 17 | 12:30 AM ET | Barclays Center | CHSN
SpreadBKN +1.0
TotalO/U 225.5
MLBKN -106

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets

The value here is obvious. Tonight's Chicago Bulls-Brooklyn Nets game is one I've circled. Records of 19-21 and 11-27 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Brooklyn Nets +1.0 is where I'm focusing.

It's worth noting Brooklyn Nets is putting up 112.7 PPG at home. Chicago Bulls scores 110.8 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, ATS records matter. Brooklyn Nets at 5-7 against the spread. Chicago Bulls is 6-5. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 11-27 | Chicago Bulls: 19-21
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 112.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets +1.0, sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
17-23
@
Toronto Raptors
25-17
Toronto Raptors
Saturday, Jan 17 | 12:30 AM ET | Scotiabank Arena | Sportsnet
SpreadTOR -2.0
TotalO/U 212.5
MLTOR -134

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors

I love this spot. NBA scheduling is everything, and this LA Clippers at Toronto Raptors matchup has some interesting angles. LA Clippers is 17-23 on the year while Toronto Raptors sits at 25-17. The line of Toronto Raptors -2.0 is where I'm focusing.

Here's the kicker: Pace tells the story - Toronto Raptors plays at 101.5 while LA Clippers runs at 98.3. That pace difference will impact the total.

truth is, Toronto Raptors is 9-3 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Toronto Raptors is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Toronto Raptors: 25-17 | LA Clippers: 17-23
Offensive Rating
Toronto Raptors: 115.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Toronto Raptors -2.0, sharp action noted
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
27-14
@
Houston Rockets
23-15
Houston Rockets
Saturday, Jan 17 | 02:30 AM ET | Toyota Center (Houston) | ESPN
SpreadHOU -4.5
TotalO/U 221.5
MLHOU -174

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Sometimes the obvious play is right. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) visiting Houston Rockets (23-15) stands out. The line of Houston Rockets -4.5 is where I'm focusing.

The key factor is Pace tells the story - Houston Rockets plays at 102.4 while Minnesota Timberwolves runs at 98.1. That pace difference will impact the total.

straight up, ATS records matter. Houston Rockets at 5-4 against the spread. Minnesota Timberwolves is 7-6. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Houston Rockets is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Houston Rockets: 23-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 27-14
Offensive Rating
Houston Rockets: 115.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Houston Rockets -4.5, sharp action noted
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
10-29
@
Sacramento Kings
11-30
Sacramento Kings
Saturday, Jan 17 | 03:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | MNMT
SpreadSAC -7.0
TotalO/U 233.5
MLSAC -255

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings

Don't overthink this. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Washington Wizards at Sacramento Kings matchup has some interesting angles. Washington Wizards is 10-29 on the year while Sacramento Kings sits at 11-30. The line of Sacramento Kings -7.0 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - Pace tells the story - Sacramento Kings plays at 99.2 while Washington Wizards runs at 97.6. That pace difference will impact the total.

realistically, Sacramento Kings is 7-3 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 11-30 | Washington Wizards: 10-29
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 113.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings -7.0, sharp action noted