San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
32-16
@
Charlotte Hornets
22-28
Charlotte Hornets
Saturday, Jan 31 | 05:00 PM ET | Spectrum Center | Prime Video

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets

The numbers are screaming at us. Tonight's San Antonio Spurs-Charlotte Hornets game is one I've circled. Records of 32-16 and 22-28 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Here's what I'm seeing: The offensive numbers: Charlotte Hornets at 118.1 PPG, San Antonio Spurs at 112.6. Factor in pace (101.3 vs 101.9) and you see where this is heading.

honestly, ATS records matter. Charlotte Hornets at 5-3 against the spread. San Antonio Spurs is 4-5. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 22-28 | San Antonio Spurs: 32-16
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 117.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets , sharp action noted
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
24-26
@
Indiana Pacers
12-36
Indiana Pacers
Sunday, Feb 01 | 12:00 AM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN IN

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers

Let me break this down. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers matchup has some interesting angles. Atlanta Hawks is 24-26 on the year while Indiana Pacers sits at 12-36.

The big question: The offensive numbers: Indiana Pacers at 113.1 PPG, Atlanta Hawks at 109.9. Factor in pace (101.1 vs 100.9) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, Indiana Pacers is 8-7 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 12-36 | Atlanta Hawks: 24-26
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 114.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
13-37
@
Philadelphia 76ers
26-21
Philadelphia 76ers
Sunday, Feb 01 | 12:30 AM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | NBC Sports Phil

New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. NBA scheduling is everything, and this New Orleans Pelicans at Philadelphia 76ers matchup has some interesting angles. New Orleans Pelicans is 13-37 on the year while Philadelphia 76ers sits at 26-21.

The numbers tell us Philadelphia 76ers is putting up 117.7 PPG at home. New Orleans Pelicans scores 115.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Philadelphia 76ers covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 26-21 | New Orleans Pelicans: 13-37
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 115.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers , sharp action noted
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
23-25
@
Miami Heat
26-23
Miami Heat
Sunday, Feb 01 | 01:00 AM ET | Kaseya Center | FanDuel SN Sun

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Everyone's sleeping on this. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Chicago Bulls (23-25) visiting Miami Heat (26-23) stands out.

What really matters is Miami Heat is putting up 108.2 PPG at home. Chicago Bulls scores 108.7 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, ATS records matter. Miami Heat at 8-6 against the spread. Chicago Bulls is 4-6. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Miami Heat is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Miami Heat: 26-23 | Chicago Bulls: 23-25
Offensive Rating
Miami Heat: 117.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Miami Heat , sharp action noted
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
30-19
@
Memphis Grizzlies
18-28
Memphis Grizzlies
Sunday, Feb 01 | 01:00 AM ET | FedExForum | FanDuel SN North

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies

Don't overthink this. Let's break down Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies. At 30-19 versus 18-28, these teams are heading in different directions.

Don't forget - Pace tells the story - Memphis Grizzlies plays at 98.6 while Minnesota Timberwolves runs at 102.9. That pace difference will impact the total.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Memphis Grizzlies at 5-3 against the spread. Minnesota Timberwolves is 5-6. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Memphis Grizzlies is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Memphis Grizzlies: 18-28 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 30-19
Offensive Rating
Memphis Grizzlies: 114.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Memphis Grizzlies , sharp action noted
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
19-29
@
Houston Rockets
29-17
Houston Rockets
Sunday, Feb 01 | 01:30 AM ET | Toyota Center (Houston) | ABC

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Here's why I'm confident: Tonight's Dallas Mavericks-Houston Rockets game is one I've circled. Records of 19-29 and 29-17 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Here's what I'm seeing: The offensive numbers: Houston Rockets at 109.1 PPG, Dallas Mavericks at 114.4. Factor in pace (101.0 vs 99.7) and you see where this is heading.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Houston Rockets covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
Houston Rockets is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Houston Rockets: 29-17 | Dallas Mavericks: 19-29
Offensive Rating
Houston Rockets: 116.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Houston Rockets , sharp action noted

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