Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
23-24
@
Washington Wizards
10-34
Washington Wizards
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 12:00 AM ET | Capital One Arena | KUNP 16
SpreadWSH +6.5
TotalO/U 232.5
MLWSH +200

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards

This is one of my favorite spots. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Portland Trail Blazers at Washington Wizards matchup has some interesting angles. Portland Trail Blazers is 23-24 on the year while Washington Wizards sits at 10-34. The line of Washington Wizards +6.5 is where I'm focusing.

The real story is Pace tells the story - Washington Wizards plays at 98.9 while Portland Trail Blazers runs at 101.6. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Washington Wizards covers consistently (6-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 10-34 | Portland Trail Blazers: 23-24
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 117.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards +6.5, sharp action noted
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
12-35
@
New York Knicks
27-18
New York Knicks
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 12:30 AM ET | Madison Square Garden | MSG
SpreadNY -15.0
TotalO/U 225.5
MLNY -820

Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks

I keep coming back to this game. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Sacramento Kings at New York Knicks matchup has some interesting angles. Sacramento Kings is 12-35 on the year while New York Knicks sits at 27-18. The line of New York Knicks -15.0 is where I'm focusing.

I keep coming back to New York Knicks is putting up 111.2 PPG at home. Sacramento Kings scores 114.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

straight up, The betting trends are clear: New York Knicks covers consistently (6-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 4-1 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 27-18 | Sacramento Kings: 12-35
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 114.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks -15.0, sharp action noted
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
18-26
@
Philadelphia 76ers
24-21
Philadelphia 76ers
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | NBC
SpreadPHI -10.0
TotalO/U 219.5
MLPHI -420

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Sometimes the obvious play is right. Tonight's Milwaukee Bucks-Philadelphia 76ers game is one I've circled. Records of 18-26 and 24-21 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Philadelphia 76ers -10.0 is where I'm focusing.

Here's what I'm seeing: The offensive numbers: Philadelphia 76ers at 110.2 PPG, Milwaukee Bucks at 114.8. Factor in pace (100.1 vs 102.4) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Philadelphia 76ers covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 24-21 | Milwaukee Bucks: 18-26
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers -10.0, sharp action noted
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
12-36
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
37-10
Oklahoma City Thunder
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Paycom Center | GCSEN
SpreadOKC -15.0
TotalO/U 233.5
MLOKC -850

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Let's talk about what matters here. NBA scheduling is everything, and this New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder matchup has some interesting angles. New Orleans Pelicans is 12-36 on the year while Oklahoma City Thunder sits at 37-10. The line of Oklahoma City Thunder -15.0 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - The offensive numbers: Oklahoma City Thunder at 108.1 PPG, New Orleans Pelicans at 116.6. Factor in pace (97.7 vs 97.2) and you see where this is heading.

truth is, Oklahoma City Thunder is 8-4 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 37-10 | New Orleans Pelicans: 12-36
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 114.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder -15.0, sharp action noted
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
33-11
@
Denver Nuggets
31-15
Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 02:00 AM ET | Ball Arena | FanDuel SN DET
SpreadDEN +6.5
TotalO/U 215.5
MLDEN +220

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Don't overthink this. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Detroit Pistons (33-11) visiting Denver Nuggets (31-15) stands out. The line of Denver Nuggets +6.5 is where I'm focusing.

Think about it: Pace tells the story - Denver Nuggets plays at 98.2 while Detroit Pistons runs at 99.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, ATS records matter. Denver Nuggets at 6-4 against the spread. Detroit Pistons is 5-4. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Denver Nuggets is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Nuggets: 31-15 | Detroit Pistons: 33-11
Offensive Rating
Denver Nuggets: 114.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Denver Nuggets +6.5, sharp action noted
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
12-32
@
Phoenix Suns
27-19
Phoenix Suns
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 02:00 AM ET | Mortgage Matchup Center | YES
SpreadPHX -8.5
TotalO/U 210.5
MLPHX -335

Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix Suns

Pay attention to this one. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Brooklyn Nets (12-32) visiting Phoenix Suns (27-19) stands out. The line of Phoenix Suns -8.5 is where I'm focusing.

Think about it: Phoenix Suns is putting up 115.3 PPG at home. Brooklyn Nets scores 112.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, ATS records matter. Phoenix Suns at 9-7 against the spread. Brooklyn Nets is 5-7. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Phoenix Suns is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Phoenix Suns: 27-19 | Brooklyn Nets: 12-32
Offensive Rating
Phoenix Suns: 113.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Phoenix Suns -8.5, sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
21-24
@
Utah Jazz
15-31
Utah Jazz
Wednesday, Jan 28 | 03:00 AM ET | Delta Center | NBC
SpreadUTAH +8.0
TotalO/U 233.5
MLUTAH +250

LA Clippers vs Utah Jazz

I've been studying this one all week. Let's break down LA Clippers at Utah Jazz. At 21-24 versus 15-31, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Utah Jazz +8.0 is where I'm focusing.

Here's the kicker: Pace tells the story - Utah Jazz plays at 99.1 while LA Clippers runs at 99.3. That pace difference will impact the total.

honestly, ATS records matter. Utah Jazz at 7-7 against the spread. LA Clippers is 6-8. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Utah Jazz is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Utah Jazz: 15-31 | LA Clippers: 21-24
Offensive Rating
Utah Jazz: 115.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Utah Jazz +8.0, sharp action noted

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