Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
10-34
@
Charlotte Hornets
18-28
Charlotte Hornets
Saturday, Jan 24 | 05:00 PM ET | Spectrum Center | FanDuel SN SE

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets

The data doesn't lie. Tonight's Washington Wizards-Charlotte Hornets game is one I've circled. Records of 10-34 and 18-28 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

What stands out is Charlotte Hornets is putting up 108.8 PPG at home. Washington Wizards scores 113.8 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, Charlotte Hornets is 5-7 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 18-28 | Washington Wizards: 10-34
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 118.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets , sharp action noted
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
27-18
@
Philadelphia 76ers
24-20
Philadelphia 76ers
Saturday, Jan 24 | 08:00 PM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | ABC

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Here's what stands out: NBA scheduling is everything, and this New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers matchup has some interesting angles. New York Knicks is 27-18 on the year while Philadelphia 76ers sits at 24-20.

The key factor is The offensive numbers: Philadelphia 76ers at 115.3 PPG, New York Knicks at 118.8. Factor in pace (99.7 vs 97.0) and you see where this is heading.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Philadelphia 76ers covers consistently (7-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 24-20 | New York Knicks: 27-18
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 115.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers , sharp action noted
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
25-21
@
Minnesota Timberwolves
27-18
Minnesota Timberwolves
Saturday, Jan 24 | 10:30 PM ET | Target Center |
SpreadMIN -5.5
TotalO/U 237.5
MLMIN -215

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

The numbers are screaming at us. Tonight's Golden State Warriors-Minnesota Timberwolves game is one I've circled. Records of 25-21 and 27-18 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 is where I'm focusing.

The real story is Pace tells the story - Minnesota Timberwolves plays at 99.7 while Golden State Warriors runs at 99.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

let's be honest, Minnesota Timberwolves is 6-5 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Minnesota Timberwolves is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Timberwolves: 27-18 | Golden State Warriors: 25-21
Offensive Rating
Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5, sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
26-20
@
Orlando Magic
23-20
Orlando Magic
Sunday, Jan 25 | 12:00 AM ET | Kia Center | FanDuel SN OH
SpreadORL -1.0
TotalO/U 226.5
MLORL -110

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic

This line doesn't make sense. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic matchup has some interesting angles. Cleveland Cavaliers is 26-20 on the year while Orlando Magic sits at 23-20. The line of Orlando Magic -1.0 is where I'm focusing.

The numbers tell us The offensive numbers: Orlando Magic at 119.4 PPG, Cleveland Cavaliers at 119.2. Factor in pace (97.5 vs 99.2) and you see where this is heading.

realistically, ATS records matter. Orlando Magic at 9-5 against the spread. Cleveland Cavaliers is 8-7. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Orlando Magic is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Orlando Magic: 23-20 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 26-20
Offensive Rating
Orlando Magic: 113.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Orlando Magic -1.0, sharp action noted
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
28-16
@
Chicago Bulls
22-22
Chicago Bulls
Sunday, Jan 25 | 01:00 AM ET | United Center | ABC
SpreadCHI +3.5
TotalO/U 231.5
MLCHI +138

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls

I've crunched the numbers. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Boston Celtics (28-16) visiting Chicago Bulls (22-22) stands out. The line of Chicago Bulls +3.5 is where I'm focusing.

On top of that, The offensive numbers: Chicago Bulls at 112.5 PPG, Boston Celtics at 119.2. Factor in pace (98.9 vs 99.5) and you see where this is heading.

realistically, Chicago Bulls is 8-5 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 22-22 | Boston Celtics: 28-16
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 116.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls +3.5, sharp action noted
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
26-17
@
Dallas Mavericks
19-26
Dallas Mavericks
Sunday, Jan 25 | 01:30 AM ET | American Airlines Center | ABC
SpreadDAL +3.5
TotalO/U 233.5
MLDAL +146

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Here's why I'm confident: Tonight's Los Angeles Lakers-Dallas Mavericks game is one I've circled. Records of 26-17 and 19-26 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Dallas Mavericks +3.5 is where I'm focusing.

And look, Pace tells the story - Dallas Mavericks plays at 99.4 while Los Angeles Lakers runs at 99.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

at the end of the day, Dallas Mavericks is 5-6 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Dallas Mavericks is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Dallas Mavericks: 19-26 | Los Angeles Lakers: 26-17
Offensive Rating
Dallas Mavericks: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Dallas Mavericks +3.5, sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
23-22
@
Utah Jazz
15-30
Utah Jazz
Sunday, Jan 25 | 02:30 AM ET | Delta Center | FanDuel SN Sun
SpreadUTAH +7.0
TotalO/U 245.5
MLUTAH +225

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Don't overthink this. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Miami Heat (23-22) visiting Utah Jazz (15-30) stands out. The line of Utah Jazz +7.0 is where I'm focusing.

And look, The offensive numbers: Utah Jazz at 118.1 PPG, Miami Heat at 110.8. Factor in pace (101.8 vs 101.3) and you see where this is heading.

realistically, Utah Jazz is 5-3 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Utah Jazz is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Utah Jazz: 15-30 | Miami Heat: 23-22
Offensive Rating
Utah Jazz: 117.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Utah Jazz +7.0, sharp action noted

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