Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
26-16
@
Detroit Pistons
32-10
Detroit Pistons
Saturday, Jan 24 | 12:00 AM ET | Little Caesars Arena | Prime Video
SpreadDET -4.0
TotalO/U 217.5
MLDET -180

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons

Don't overthink this. Tonight's Houston Rockets-Detroit Pistons game is one I've circled. Records of 26-16 and 32-10 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Detroit Pistons -4.0 is where I'm focusing.

And look, Detroit Pistons is putting up 116.4 PPG at home. Houston Rockets scores 112.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

bottom line: Detroit Pistons is 7-5 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Detroit Pistons is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Detroit Pistons: 32-10 | Houston Rockets: 26-16
Offensive Rating
Detroit Pistons: 112.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Detroit Pistons -4.0, sharp action noted
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
27-17
@
Atlanta Hawks
21-25
Atlanta Hawks
Saturday, Jan 24 | 12:30 AM ET | State Farm Arena | FanDuel SN SE
SpreadATL +3.5
TotalO/U 233.5
MLATL +130

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks matchup has some interesting angles. Phoenix Suns is 27-17 on the year while Atlanta Hawks sits at 21-25. The line of Atlanta Hawks +3.5 is where I'm focusing.

You have to consider Pace tells the story - Atlanta Hawks plays at 98.6 while Phoenix Suns runs at 99.9. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, ATS records matter. Atlanta Hawks at 6-4 against the spread. Phoenix Suns is 7-7. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Atlanta Hawks is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Hawks: 21-25 | Phoenix Suns: 27-17
Offensive Rating
Atlanta Hawks: 115.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Hawks +3.5, sharp action noted
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
27-16
@
Brooklyn Nets
12-30
Brooklyn Nets
Saturday, Jan 24 | 12:30 AM ET | Barclays Center | YES
SpreadBKN +8.5
TotalO/U 216.5
MLBKN +295

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

I've crunched the numbers. Tonight's Boston Celtics-Brooklyn Nets game is one I've circled. Records of 27-16 and 12-30 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Brooklyn Nets +8.5 is where I'm focusing.

Here's what I'm seeing: Brooklyn Nets is putting up 110.8 PPG at home. Boston Celtics scores 118.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Brooklyn Nets covers consistently (6-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 12-30 | Boston Celtics: 27-16
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 117.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets +8.5, sharp action noted
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
12-33
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
25-20
Cleveland Cavaliers
Saturday, Jan 24 | 12:30 AM ET | Rocket Arena | FanDuel SN OH
SpreadCLE -12.0
TotalO/U 233.5
MLCLE -560

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers

The sharps are all over this. Tonight's Sacramento Kings-Cleveland Cavaliers game is one I've circled. Records of 12-33 and 25-20 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Cleveland Cavaliers -12.0 is where I'm focusing.

You have to consider Cleveland Cavaliers is putting up 114.2 PPG at home. Sacramento Kings scores 119.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, Cleveland Cavaliers is 8-3 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Cleveland Cavaliers is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Cavaliers: 25-20 | Sacramento Kings: 12-33
Offensive Rating
Cleveland Cavaliers: 113.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Cavaliers -12.0, sharp action noted
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
10-36
@
Memphis Grizzlies
18-24
Memphis Grizzlies
Saturday, Jan 24 | 01:00 AM ET | FedExForum | GCSEN
SpreadMEM -5.5
TotalO/U 239.5
MLMEM -230

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Here's why I'm confident: Tonight's New Orleans Pelicans-Memphis Grizzlies game is one I've circled. Records of 10-36 and 18-24 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 is where I'm focusing.

The key factor is Memphis Grizzlies is putting up 114.1 PPG at home. New Orleans Pelicans scores 116.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, ATS records matter. Memphis Grizzlies at 9-6 against the spread. New Orleans Pelicans is 6-7. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Memphis Grizzlies is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Memphis Grizzlies: 18-24 | New Orleans Pelicans: 10-36
Offensive Rating
Memphis Grizzlies: 113.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Memphis Grizzlies -5.5, sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
10-35
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
37-8
Oklahoma City Thunder
Saturday, Jan 24 | 01:00 AM ET | Paycom Center | FanDuel SN OK
SpreadOKC -16.0
TotalO/U 226.5
MLOKC -1200

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

The numbers are screaming at us. Tonight's Indiana Pacers-Oklahoma City Thunder game is one I've circled. Records of 10-35 and 37-8 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Oklahoma City Thunder -16.0 is where I'm focusing.

But here's the thing - Pace tells the story - Oklahoma City Thunder plays at 101.8 while Indiana Pacers runs at 98.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

straight up, ATS records matter. Oklahoma City Thunder at 5-5 against the spread. Indiana Pacers is 7-8. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 37-8 | Indiana Pacers: 10-35
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 115.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder -16.0, sharp action noted
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
30-15
@
Milwaukee Bucks
18-25
Milwaukee Bucks
Saturday, Jan 24 | 02:30 AM ET | Fiserv Forum | Prime Video
SpreadMIL -6.5
TotalO/U 216.5
MLMIL -240

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Here's what stands out: The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Denver Nuggets (30-15) visiting Milwaukee Bucks (18-25) stands out. The line of Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - Pace tells the story - Milwaukee Bucks plays at 99.8 while Denver Nuggets runs at 101.6. That pace difference will impact the total.

look, Milwaukee Bucks is 7-5 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Milwaukee Bucks is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 18-25 | Denver Nuggets: 30-15
Offensive Rating
Milwaukee Bucks: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Milwaukee Bucks -6.5, sharp action noted
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
27-19
@
Portland Trail Blazers
23-22
Portland Trail Blazers
Saturday, Jan 24 | 03:00 AM ET | Moda Center | KUNP 16
SpreadPOR +3.5
TotalO/U 226.5
MLPOR +124

Toronto Raptors vs Portland Trail Blazers

Let me break this down. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Toronto Raptors (27-19) visiting Portland Trail Blazers (23-22) stands out. The line of Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - Portland Trail Blazers is putting up 108.2 PPG at home. Toronto Raptors scores 111.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, ATS records matter. Portland Trail Blazers at 5-6 against the spread. Toronto Raptors is 8-4. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Portland Trail Blazers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Portland Trail Blazers: 23-22 | Toronto Raptors: 27-19
Offensive Rating
Portland Trail Blazers: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Portland Trail Blazers +3.5, sharp action noted

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