Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
24-20
@
Charlotte Hornets
16-27
Charlotte Hornets
Thursday, Jan 22 | 12:00 AM ET | Spectrum Center | ESPN
SpreadCHA +3.0
TotalO/U 238.5
MLCHA +136

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets

This line doesn't make sense. Tonight's Cleveland Cavaliers-Charlotte Hornets game is one I've circled. Records of 24-20 and 16-27 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Charlotte Hornets +3.0 is where I'm focusing.

Here's what I'm seeing: Charlotte Hornets is putting up 117.3 PPG at home. Cleveland Cavaliers scores 109.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: Charlotte Hornets is 5-7 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 16-27 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 24-20
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 115.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets +3.0, sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
10-34
@
Boston Celtics
26-16
Boston Celtics
Thursday, Jan 22 | 12:30 AM ET | TD Garden | FanDuel SN IN
SpreadBOS -10.5
TotalO/U 225.5
MLBOS -450

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

The value here is obvious. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Indiana Pacers (10-34) visiting Boston Celtics (26-16) stands out. The line of Boston Celtics -10.5 is where I'm focusing.

It's worth noting Pace tells the story - Boston Celtics plays at 97.4 while Indiana Pacers runs at 100.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Boston Celtics covers consistently (9-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Boston Celtics is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Boston Celtics: 26-16 | Indiana Pacers: 10-34
Offensive Rating
Boston Celtics: 113.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Boston Celtics -10.5, sharp action noted
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
12-29
@
New York Knicks
25-18
New York Knicks
Thursday, Jan 22 | 12:30 AM ET | Madison Square Garden | YES
SpreadNY -12.5
TotalO/U 219.5
MLNY -670

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks

Don't overthink this. Let's break down Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks. At 12-29 versus 25-18, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of New York Knicks -12.5 is where I'm focusing.

It's worth noting New York Knicks is putting up 116.9 PPG at home. Brooklyn Nets scores 108.7 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: New York Knicks covers consistently (8-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 6-3 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 25-18 | Brooklyn Nets: 12-29
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 114.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks -12.5, sharp action noted
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
20-25
@
Memphis Grizzlies
18-23
Memphis Grizzlies
Thursday, Jan 22 | 01:00 AM ET | FedExForum | FanDuel SN SE
SpreadMEM -1.0
TotalO/U 239.5
MLMEM -116

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies

I've been studying this one all week. Tonight's Atlanta Hawks-Memphis Grizzlies game is one I've circled. Records of 20-25 and 18-23 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Memphis Grizzlies -1.0 is where I'm focusing.

Plus, Memphis Grizzlies is putting up 114.1 PPG at home. Atlanta Hawks scores 110.2 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

look, ATS records matter. Memphis Grizzlies at 8-4 against the spread. Atlanta Hawks is 8-7. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Memphis Grizzlies is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Memphis Grizzlies: 18-23 | Atlanta Hawks: 20-25
Offensive Rating
Memphis Grizzlies: 112.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Memphis Grizzlies -1.0, sharp action noted
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
31-10
@
New Orleans Pelicans
10-35
New Orleans Pelicans
Thursday, Jan 22 | 01:00 AM ET | Smoothie King Center | GCSEN
SpreadNO +7.5
TotalO/U 229.5
MLNO +220

Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans

Let me break this down. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Detroit Pistons at New Orleans Pelicans matchup has some interesting angles. Detroit Pistons is 31-10 on the year while New Orleans Pelicans sits at 10-35. The line of New Orleans Pelicans +7.5 is where I'm focusing.

And look, The offensive numbers: New Orleans Pelicans at 117.0 PPG, Detroit Pistons at 114.6. Factor in pace (100.6 vs 100.5) and you see where this is heading.

look, ATS records matter. New Orleans Pelicans at 9-6 against the spread. Detroit Pistons is 7-5. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 4-3 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 10-35 | Detroit Pistons: 31-10
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 113.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans +7.5, sharp action noted
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
36-8
@
Milwaukee Bucks
18-24
Milwaukee Bucks
Thursday, Jan 22 | 02:30 AM ET | Fiserv Forum | ESPN
SpreadMIL +11.5
TotalO/U 224.5
MLMIL +400

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks

Look, Let's break down Oklahoma City Thunder at Milwaukee Bucks. At 36-8 versus 18-24, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 is where I'm focusing.

Plus, The offensive numbers: Milwaukee Bucks at 118.1 PPG, Oklahoma City Thunder at 111.3. Factor in pace (98.6 vs 101.2) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, Milwaukee Bucks is 5-6 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Milwaukee Bucks is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 18-24 | Oklahoma City Thunder: 36-8
Offensive Rating
Milwaukee Bucks: 115.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Milwaukee Bucks +11.5, sharp action noted
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
26-19
@
Sacramento Kings
12-32
Sacramento Kings
Thursday, Jan 22 | 03:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | NBC Sports CA
SpreadSAC +5.5
TotalO/U 225.5
MLSAC +168

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings

I've watched the tape. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings matchup has some interesting angles. Toronto Raptors is 26-19 on the year while Sacramento Kings sits at 12-32. The line of Sacramento Kings +5.5 is where I'm focusing.

But here's the thing - Sacramento Kings is putting up 108.6 PPG at home. Toronto Raptors scores 108.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Sacramento Kings at 5-3 against the spread. Toronto Raptors is 6-5. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 12-32 | Toronto Raptors: 26-19
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 115.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings +5.5, sharp action noted

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