Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
26-17
@
Philadelphia 76ers
23-18
Philadelphia 76ers
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 12:00 AM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | Arizona's Family 3TV
SpreadPHI +2.0
TotalO/U 222.5
MLPHI +108

Phoenix Suns vs Philadelphia 76ers

Everyone's sleeping on this. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Phoenix Suns (26-17) visiting Philadelphia 76ers (23-18) stands out. The line of Philadelphia 76ers +2.0 is where I'm focusing.

Now, Pace tells the story - Philadelphia 76ers plays at 99.4 while Phoenix Suns runs at 97.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Philadelphia 76ers covers consistently (5-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 23-18 | Phoenix Suns: 26-17
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers +2.0, sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
19-23
@
Chicago Bulls
20-22
Chicago Bulls
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 01:00 AM ET | United Center | CHSN
SpreadCHI -2.5
TotalO/U 224.5
MLCHI -134

LA Clippers vs Chicago Bulls

I love this spot. Let's break down LA Clippers at Chicago Bulls. At 19-23 versus 20-22, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Chicago Bulls -2.5 is where I'm focusing.

Factor this in: Chicago Bulls is putting up 118.9 PPG at home. LA Clippers scores 115.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Chicago Bulls covers consistently (8-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 20-22 | LA Clippers: 19-23
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 114.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls -2.5, sharp action noted
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
30-13
@
Houston Rockets
25-15
Houston Rockets
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 01:00 AM ET | Toyota Center (Houston) | NBC
SpreadHOU -4.0
TotalO/U 221.5
MLHOU -168

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets

The data doesn't lie. Tonight's San Antonio Spurs-Houston Rockets game is one I've circled. Records of 30-13 and 25-15 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Houston Rockets -4.0 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - Pace tells the story - Houston Rockets plays at 99.4 while San Antonio Spurs runs at 99.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Houston Rockets covers consistently (8-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Houston Rockets is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Houston Rockets: 25-15 | San Antonio Spurs: 30-13
Offensive Rating
Houston Rockets: 113.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Houston Rockets -4.0, sharp action noted
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
27-16
@
Utah Jazz
14-29
Utah Jazz
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 02:00 AM ET | Delta Center | FanDuel SN North Extra
SpreadUTAH +13.5
TotalO/U 238.5
MLUTAH +530

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

I've crunched the numbers. Tonight's Minnesota Timberwolves-Utah Jazz game is one I've circled. Records of 27-16 and 14-29 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Utah Jazz +13.5 is where I'm focusing.

The numbers tell us Utah Jazz is putting up 115.8 PPG at home. Minnesota Timberwolves scores 116.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Utah Jazz covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Utah Jazz is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Utah Jazz: 14-29 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 27-16
Offensive Rating
Utah Jazz: 114.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Utah Jazz +13.5, sharp action noted
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
25-16
@
Denver Nuggets
29-14
Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 03:00 AM ET | Ball Arena | NBC
SpreadDEN +2.5
TotalO/U 227.5
MLDEN +120

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Let's talk about what matters here. Let's break down Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets. At 25-16 versus 29-14, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Denver Nuggets +2.5 is where I'm focusing.

I keep coming back to The offensive numbers: Denver Nuggets at 112.4 PPG, Los Angeles Lakers at 115.3. Factor in pace (97.8 vs 98.2) and you see where this is heading.

I mean, Denver Nuggets is 5-5 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Denver Nuggets is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Nuggets: 29-14 | Los Angeles Lakers: 25-16
Offensive Rating
Denver Nuggets: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Denver Nuggets +2.5, sharp action noted
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
25-19
@
Golden State Warriors
25-19
Golden State Warriors
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 03:00 AM ET | Chase Center | NBC Sports BA
SpreadGS -3.5
TotalO/U 224.5
MLGS -158

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. Tonight's Toronto Raptors-Golden State Warriors game is one I've circled. Records of 25-19 and 25-19 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Golden State Warriors -3.5 is where I'm focusing.

You have to consider Golden State Warriors is putting up 110.6 PPG at home. Toronto Raptors scores 112.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, ATS records matter. Golden State Warriors at 7-3 against the spread. Toronto Raptors is 7-6. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Golden State Warriors is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Golden State Warriors: 25-19 | Toronto Raptors: 25-19
Offensive Rating
Golden State Warriors: 112.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Golden State Warriors -3.5, sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
22-21
@
Sacramento Kings
12-31
Sacramento Kings
Wednesday, Jan 21 | 03:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | FanDuel SN Sun
SpreadSAC +4.0
TotalO/U 238.5
MLSAC +142

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

I keep coming back to this game. Tonight's Miami Heat-Sacramento Kings game is one I've circled. Records of 22-21 and 12-31 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Sacramento Kings +4.0 is where I'm focusing.

But here's the thing - The offensive numbers: Sacramento Kings at 119.5 PPG, Miami Heat at 114.6. Factor in pace (99.3 vs 98.9) and you see where this is heading.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. Sacramento Kings at 7-4 against the spread. Miami Heat is 8-8. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 12-31 | Miami Heat: 22-21
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 112.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings +4.0, sharp action noted

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