Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
18-24
@
Atlanta Hawks
20-25
Atlanta Hawks
Monday, Jan 19 | 06:00 PM ET | State Farm Arena | Peacock

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks

I've been studying this one all week. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) visiting Atlanta Hawks (20-25) stands out.

The numbers tell us Atlanta Hawks is putting up 118.9 PPG at home. Milwaukee Bucks scores 113.2 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Atlanta Hawks covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Atlanta Hawks is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Hawks: 20-25 | Milwaukee Bucks: 18-24
Offensive Rating
Atlanta Hawks: 113.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Hawks , sharp action noted
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
36-8
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
24-20
Cleveland Cavaliers
Monday, Jan 19 | 07:30 PM ET | Rocket Arena | NBC

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers

This line doesn't make sense. Tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder-Cleveland Cavaliers game is one I've circled. Records of 36-8 and 24-20 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

But here's the thing - The offensive numbers: Cleveland Cavaliers at 108.2 PPG, Oklahoma City Thunder at 114.6. Factor in pace (97.9 vs 102.9) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Cleveland Cavaliers covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Cleveland Cavaliers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Cavaliers: 24-20 | Oklahoma City Thunder: 36-8
Offensive Rating
Cleveland Cavaliers: 115.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Cavaliers , sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
19-23
@
Washington Wizards
10-32
Washington Wizards
Monday, Jan 19 | 08:00 PM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT

LA Clippers vs Washington Wizards

Look, Let's break down LA Clippers at Washington Wizards. At 19-23 versus 10-32, these teams are heading in different directions.

I keep coming back to Washington Wizards is putting up 118.9 PPG at home. LA Clippers scores 119.9 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, ATS records matter. Washington Wizards at 7-7 against the spread. LA Clippers is 4-4. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 10-32 | LA Clippers: 19-23
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 114.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
17-26
@
New York Knicks
25-17
New York Knicks
Monday, Jan 19 | 10:00 PM ET | Madison Square Garden | NBC
SpreadNY +14.5
TotalO/U 234.5
MLNY +850

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks

I keep coming back to this game. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks matchup has some interesting angles. Dallas Mavericks is 17-26 on the year while New York Knicks sits at 25-17. The line of New York Knicks +14.5 is where I'm focusing.

And look, New York Knicks is putting up 112.0 PPG at home. Dallas Mavericks scores 119.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, ATS records matter. New York Knicks at 6-4 against the spread. Dallas Mavericks is 4-5. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 6-1 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 25-17 | Dallas Mavericks: 17-26
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 116.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks +14.5, sharp action noted
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
14-28
@
San Antonio Spurs
29-13
San Antonio Spurs
Monday, Jan 19 | 10:00 PM ET | Frost Bank Center | KJZZ-TV
SpreadSA -14.5
TotalO/U 239.5
MLSA -4500

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs

Here's the thing: The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Utah Jazz (14-28) visiting San Antonio Spurs (29-13) stands out. The line of San Antonio Spurs -14.5 is where I'm focusing.

Now, Pace tells the story - San Antonio Spurs plays at 103.0 while Utah Jazz runs at 101.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: San Antonio Spurs covers consistently (8-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 5-3 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 29-13 | Utah Jazz: 14-28
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 116.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs -14.5, sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
10-33
@
Philadelphia 76ers
22-18
Philadelphia 76ers
Tuesday, Jan 20 | 12:00 AM ET | Xfinity Mobile Arena | FanDuel SN IN
SpreadPHI -6.0
TotalO/U 226.5
MLPHI -225

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

The sharps are all over this. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers matchup has some interesting angles. Indiana Pacers is 10-33 on the year while Philadelphia 76ers sits at 22-18. The line of Philadelphia 76ers -6.0 is where I'm focusing.

Here's where it gets interesting: The offensive numbers: Philadelphia 76ers at 118.3 PPG, Indiana Pacers at 117.5. Factor in pace (101.7 vs 101.2) and you see where this is heading.

I mean, ATS records matter. Philadelphia 76ers at 7-3 against the spread. Indiana Pacers is 5-5. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Philadelphia 76ers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia 76ers: 22-18 | Indiana Pacers: 10-33
Offensive Rating
Philadelphia 76ers: 114.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia 76ers -6.0, sharp action noted
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
25-17
@
Brooklyn Nets
12-28
Brooklyn Nets
Tuesday, Jan 20 | 12:30 AM ET | Barclays Center | YES
SpreadBKN +9.5
TotalO/U 214.5
MLBKN +320

Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets

Trust me on this one. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Phoenix Suns (25-17) visiting Brooklyn Nets (12-28) stands out. The line of Brooklyn Nets +9.5 is where I'm focusing.

You have to consider Brooklyn Nets is putting up 111.5 PPG at home. Phoenix Suns scores 113.5 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, ATS records matter. Brooklyn Nets at 8-5 against the spread. Phoenix Suns is 4-7. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 12-28 | Phoenix Suns: 25-17
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 112.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets +9.5, sharp action noted
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
26-15
@
Detroit Pistons
30-10
Detroit Pistons
Tuesday, Jan 20 | 01:00 AM ET | Little Caesars Arena | NBC
SpreadDET -2.5
TotalO/U 223.5
MLDET -142

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

I've watched the tape. Let's break down Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons. At 26-15 versus 30-10, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Detroit Pistons -2.5 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - Detroit Pistons is putting up 110.0 PPG at home. Boston Celtics scores 109.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, ATS records matter. Detroit Pistons at 8-6 against the spread. Boston Celtics is 6-7. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Detroit Pistons is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Detroit Pistons: 30-10 | Boston Celtics: 26-15
Offensive Rating
Detroit Pistons: 116.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Detroit Pistons -2.5, sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
22-20
@
Golden State Warriors
24-19
Golden State Warriors
Tuesday, Jan 20 | 03:00 AM ET | Chase Center | FanDuel SN Sun
SpreadGS -5.0
TotalO/U 239.5
MLGS -210

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

I love this spot. Let's break down Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors. At 22-20 versus 24-19, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Golden State Warriors -5.0 is where I'm focusing.

What stands out is Golden State Warriors is putting up 112.3 PPG at home. Miami Heat scores 116.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Golden State Warriors covers consistently (7-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Golden State Warriors is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Golden State Warriors: 24-19 | Miami Heat: 22-20
Offensive Rating
Golden State Warriors: 114.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Golden State Warriors -5.0, sharp action noted

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