Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
12-5
@
Carolina Panthers
8-9
Carolina Panthers
Saturday, Jan 10 | 09:30 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | FOX

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

The data doesn't lie. I've been breaking down the Los Angeles Rams-Carolina Panthers matchup all week. Los Angeles Rams sits at 12-5 while Carolina Panthers is 8-9 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's the kicker: Offensively, we're looking at 21.6 vs 24.6 PPG. Defensively, Carolina Panthers gives up 25.8 while Los Angeles Rams allows 23.4. The matchup favors Los Angeles Rams.

realistically, ATS records matter. Carolina Panthers at 8-7 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 8-6. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 20.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
@
Chicago Bears
11-6
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 11 | 01:00 AM ET | Soldier Field | Prime Video

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

This is one of my favorite spots. This Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears game has my attention. At 9-7-1 and 11-6 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The numbers tell us Offensively, we're looking at 26.9 vs 27.4 PPG. Defensively, Chicago Bears gives up 25.9 while Green Bay Packers allows 18.3. The matchup favors Chicago Bears.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Chicago Bears covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-6 | Green Bay Packers: 9-7-1
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 20.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
12-5
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 11 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | CBS

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Sometimes the obvious play is right. Buffalo Bills (12-5) heads to EverBank Stadium to take on Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The numbers tell us The yardage tells a story - Jacksonville Jaguars gains 325 per game while Buffalo Bills sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Jacksonville Jaguars has the edge.

simply put, Jacksonville Jaguars is 8-4 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 13-4 | Buffalo Bills: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 20.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
12-5
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-6
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 11 | 09:30 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | FOX

San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles

This line doesn't make sense. This San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles game has my attention. At 12-5 and 11-6 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - Philadelphia Eagles gains 326 per game while San Francisco 49ers sits at 371. When you factor in defensive efficiency, San Francisco 49ers has the edge.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Philadelphia Eagles at 5-3 against the spread. San Francisco 49ers is 5-5. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6 | San Francisco 49ers: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 23.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
@
New England Patriots
14-3
New England Patriots
Monday, Jan 12 | 01:00 AM ET | Gillette Stadium | NBC

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots

Here's why I'm confident: The NFL Week 16 slate features Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) traveling to Gillette Stadium where New England Patriots (14-3) waits. This game matters.

The key factor is New England Patriots is averaging 27.2 points per game with a defense allowing 19.1 PPG. Los Angeles Chargers counters with 20.8 PPG and a 19.5 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: ATS records matter. New England Patriots at 5-5 against the spread. Los Angeles Chargers is 8-4. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 7-1 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 14-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 21.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
12-5
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tuesday, Jan 13 | 01:15 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | ESPN

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Here's what the market is missing: This Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers game has my attention. At 12-5 and 10-7 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Think about it: The yardage tells a story - Pittsburgh Steelers gains 360 per game while Houston Texans sits at 346. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Houston Texans has the edge.

look, Pittsburgh Steelers is 6-6 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7 | Houston Texans: 12-5
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 22.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted