Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
8-9
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 09:30 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ABC

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Here's what the market is missing: Carolina Panthers (8-9) heads to Raymond James Stadium to take on Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

It's worth noting The yardage tells a story - Tampa Bay Buccaneers gains 353 per game while Carolina Panthers sits at 376. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Carolina Panthers has the edge.

look, The betting trends are clear: Tampa Bay Buccaneers covers consistently (7-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Lock it in.

Home Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8-9 | Carolina Panthers: 8-9
Scoring Defense
Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
14-3
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-5
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, Jan 04 | 01:00 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | ABC

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Pay attention to this one. I've been breaking down the Seattle Seahawks-San Francisco 49ers matchup all week. Seattle Seahawks sits at 14-3 while San Francisco 49ers is 12-5 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's where it gets interesting: The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 373 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 353. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Seattle Seahawks has the edge.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: San Francisco 49ers covers consistently (8-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 5-1 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 | Seattle Seahawks: 14-3
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 22.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-11
@
Atlanta Falcons
8-9
Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | FOX

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

This line doesn't make sense. New Orleans Saints (6-11) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (8-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Now, Atlanta Falcons is averaging 25.7 points per game with a defense allowing 25.8 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 20.9 PPG and a 23.9 PPG defensive mark.

at the end of the day, Atlanta Falcons is 6-6 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 8-9 | New Orleans Saints: 6-11
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 23.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
5-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-11
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | CBS

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

This is one of my favorite spots. This Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 5-12 and 6-11 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The key factor is The yardage tells a story - Cincinnati Bengals gains 320 per game while Cleveland Browns sits at 377. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Cincinnati Bengals has the edge.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Cincinnati Bengals covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Lock it in.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-11 | Cleveland Browns: 5-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 20.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
@
Minnesota Vikings
9-8
Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | CBS

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Here's the thing: Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) heads to U.S. Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota Vikings (9-8) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

But here's the thing - Minnesota Vikings is averaging 24.7 points per game with a defense allowing 22.9 PPG. Green Bay Packers counters with 20.4 PPG and a 20.9 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Minnesota Vikings at 7-6 against the spread. Green Bay Packers is 5-5. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 9-8 | Green Bay Packers: 9-7-1
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
@
New York Giants
4-13
New York Giants
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Here's why I'm confident: The NFL Week 16 slate features Dallas Cowboys (7-9-1) traveling to MetLife Stadium where New York Giants (4-13) waits. This game matters.

And look, The yardage tells a story - New York Giants gains 359 per game while Dallas Cowboys sits at 361. When you factor in defensive efficiency, New York Giants has the edge.

I mean, ATS records matter. New York Giants at 5-3 against the spread. Dallas Cowboys is 6-4. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
New York Giants is 4-2 at home this season
Records
New York Giants: 4-13 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-9-1
Scoring Defense
New York Giants allows 22.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Giants , sharp action noted
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
3-14
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | FOX

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Let me break this down. Tennessee Titans (3-14) heads to EverBank Stadium to take on Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Here's the kicker: Offensively, we're looking at 25.0 vs 24.6 PPG. Defensively, Jacksonville Jaguars gives up 21.0 while Tennessee Titans allows 24.1. The matchup favors Tennessee Titans.

at the end of the day, Jacksonville Jaguars is 9-3 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 13-4 | Tennessee Titans: 3-14
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
8-9
@
Houston Texans
12-5
Houston Texans
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | NRG Stadium | CBS

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. I've been breaking down the Indianapolis Colts-Houston Texans matchup all week. Indianapolis Colts sits at 8-9 while Houston Texans is 12-5 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's what I'm seeing: Houston Texans is averaging 22.1 points per game with a defense allowing 25.5 PPG. Indianapolis Colts counters with 25.6 PPG and a 24.4 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, ATS records matter. Houston Texans at 6-5 against the spread. Indianapolis Colts is 6-6. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Houston Texans is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Houston Texans: 12-5 | Indianapolis Colts: 8-9
Scoring Defense
Houston Texans allows 23.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Houston Texans , sharp action noted
New York Jets
New York Jets
3-14
@
Buffalo Bills
12-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | CBS

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

The value here is obvious. I've been breaking down the New York Jets-Buffalo Bills matchup all week. New York Jets sits at 3-14 while Buffalo Bills is 12-5 heading into this crucial contest.

You have to consider The yardage tells a story - Buffalo Bills gains 335 per game while New York Jets sits at 348. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Buffalo Bills has the edge.

truth is, ATS records matter. Buffalo Bills at 6-6 against the spread. New York Jets is 8-8. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 12-5 | New York Jets: 3-14
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 19.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
9-8
@
Chicago Bears
11-6
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Soldier Field | FOX

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Everyone's sleeping on this. Detroit Lions (9-8) heads to Soldier Field to take on Chicago Bears (11-6) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

It's worth noting Offensively, we're looking at 20.3 vs 25.1 PPG. Defensively, Chicago Bears gives up 21.6 while Detroit Lions allows 20.6. The matchup favors Detroit Lions.

straight up, ATS records matter. Chicago Bears at 6-3 against the spread. Detroit Lions is 6-7. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-6 | Detroit Lions: 9-8
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 19.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
@
Denver Broncos
14-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Don't overthink this. Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) heads to Empower Field at Mile High to take on Denver Broncos (14-3) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

What stands out is The yardage tells a story - Denver Broncos gains 332 per game while Los Angeles Chargers sits at 365. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Chargers has the edge.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Denver Broncos at 9-7 against the spread. Los Angeles Chargers is 7-6. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 14-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 21.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos , sharp action noted
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
6-11
@
Las Vegas Raiders
3-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

The sharps are all over this. I've been breaking down the Kansas City Chiefs-Las Vegas Raiders matchup all week. Kansas City Chiefs sits at 6-11 while Las Vegas Raiders is 3-14 heading into this crucial contest.

I keep coming back to Las Vegas Raiders is averaging 22.9 points per game with a defense allowing 25.9 PPG. Kansas City Chiefs counters with 23.1 PPG and a 24.6 PPG defensive mark.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 3-14 | Kansas City Chiefs: 6-11
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 21.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-14
@
Los Angeles Rams
12-5
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Let me be real - This Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams game has my attention. At 3-14 and 12-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Here's what I'm seeing: The yardage tells a story - Los Angeles Rams gains 379 per game while Arizona Cardinals sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Arizona Cardinals has the edge.

let's be honest, Los Angeles Rams is 7-5 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Los Angeles Rams is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Rams: 12-5 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-14
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Rams allows 22.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Rams , sharp action noted
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
7-10
@
New England Patriots
14-3
New England Patriots
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Gillette Stadium | FOX

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features Miami Dolphins (7-10) traveling to Gillette Stadium where New England Patriots (14-3) waits. This game matters.

On top of that, New England Patriots is averaging 24.1 points per game with a defense allowing 18.1 PPG. Miami Dolphins counters with 21.8 PPG and a 21.4 PPG defensive mark.

I mean, ATS records matter. New England Patriots at 5-5 against the spread. Miami Dolphins is 7-8. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 4-3 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 14-3 | Miami Dolphins: 7-10
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 19.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
5-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-6
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | CBS

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Look, This Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles game has my attention. At 5-12 and 11-6 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Here's what I'm seeing: The yardage tells a story - Philadelphia Eagles gains 332 per game while Washington Commanders sits at 367. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Philadelphia Eagles has the edge.

at the end of the day, Philadelphia Eagles is 7-7 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6 | Washington Commanders: 5-12
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 19.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-9
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Jan 05 | 01:20 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | NBC

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

I keep coming back to this game. Baltimore Ravens (8-9) heads to Acrisure Stadium to take on Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Here's what I'm seeing: Offensively, we're looking at 22.6 vs 20.1 PPG. Defensively, Pittsburgh Steelers gives up 25.8 while Baltimore Ravens allows 25.4. The matchup favors Pittsburgh Steelers.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Pittsburgh Steelers at 6-6 against the spread. Baltimore Ravens is 6-6. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-9
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 23.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted