New York Jets
New York Jets
3-13
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | CBS

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

The sharps are all over this. The NFL Week 16 slate features New York Jets (3-13) traveling to Highmark Stadium where Buffalo Bills (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Here's where it gets interesting: Offensively, we're looking at 21.3 vs 21.8 PPG. Defensively, Buffalo Bills gives up 18.0 while New York Jets allows 19.6. The matchup favors New York Jets.

simply put, ATS records matter. Buffalo Bills at 7-6 against the spread. New York Jets is 4-7. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | New York Jets: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 19.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Chicago Bears
11-5
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Soldier Field | FOX

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Let me be real - Detroit Lions (8-8) heads to Soldier Field to take on Chicago Bears (11-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The numbers tell us Offensively, we're looking at 23.1 vs 23.3 PPG. Defensively, Chicago Bears gives up 20.3 while Detroit Lions allows 25.6. The matchup favors Detroit Lions.

at the end of the day, Chicago Bears is 6-6 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-5 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 20.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
@
Denver Broncos
13-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

This is one of my favorite spots. This Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos game has my attention. At 11-5 and 13-3 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The real story is The yardage tells a story - Denver Broncos gains 320 per game while Los Angeles Chargers sits at 364. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Chargers has the edge.

at the end of the day, Denver Broncos is 6-6 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 13-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 23.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos , sharp action noted
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Trust me on this one. Kansas City Chiefs (6-10) heads to Allegiant Stadium to take on Las Vegas Raiders (2-14) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

And look, Las Vegas Raiders is averaging 23.7 points per game with a defense allowing 21.6 PPG. Kansas City Chiefs counters with 23.2 PPG and a 24.8 PPG defensive mark.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (6-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Los Angeles Rams
11-5
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Let me break this down. This Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams game has my attention. At 3-13 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The key factor is Los Angeles Rams is averaging 20.4 points per game with a defense allowing 25.1 PPG. Arizona Cardinals counters with 24.0 PPG and a 25.9 PPG defensive mark.

I mean, ATS records matter. Los Angeles Rams at 8-4 against the spread. Arizona Cardinals is 6-8. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Los Angeles Rams is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Rams: 11-5 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Rams allows 20.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Rams , sharp action noted
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
7-9
@
New England Patriots
13-3
New England Patriots
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Gillette Stadium | FOX

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

The numbers are screaming at us. Miami Dolphins (7-9) heads to Gillette Stadium to take on New England Patriots (13-3) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

But here's the thing - Offensively, we're looking at 22.1 vs 23.8 PPG. Defensively, New England Patriots gives up 19.8 while Miami Dolphins allows 18.4. The matchup favors Miami Dolphins.

truth is, New England Patriots is 9-4 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 5-1 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 13-3 | Miami Dolphins: 7-9
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 23.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
4-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | CBS

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Here's the thing: This Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles game has my attention. At 4-12 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

What really matters is Philadelphia Eagles is averaging 27.9 points per game with a defense allowing 25.4 PPG. Washington Commanders counters with 27.0 PPG and a 18.4 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: Philadelphia Eagles is 7-4 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5 | Washington Commanders: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 22.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-11
@
Atlanta Falcons
8-9
Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | FOX

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Here's why I'm confident: This New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons game has my attention. At 6-11 and 8-9 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Think about it: The yardage tells a story - Atlanta Falcons gains 327 per game while New Orleans Saints sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Atlanta Falcons has the edge.

here's the deal: Atlanta Falcons is 6-7 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 8-9 | New Orleans Saints: 6-11
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 18.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
5-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-11
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | CBS

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

I keep coming back to this game. This Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 5-12 and 6-11 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 22.1 vs 22.5 PPG. Defensively, Cincinnati Bengals gives up 21.8 while Cleveland Browns allows 20.4. The matchup favors Cincinnati Bengals.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Cincinnati Bengals covers consistently (7-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-11 | Cleveland Browns: 5-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 18.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
@
Minnesota Vikings
9-8
Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | CBS

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Sometimes the obvious play is right. Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) heads to U.S. Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota Vikings (9-8) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Think about it: Minnesota Vikings is averaging 20.2 points per game with a defense allowing 24.0 PPG. Green Bay Packers counters with 25.5 PPG and a 23.6 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Minnesota Vikings at 7-4 against the spread. Green Bay Packers is 8-6. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 9-8 | Green Bay Packers: 9-7-1
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 18.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
@
New York Giants
4-13
New York Giants
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

I've watched the tape. I've been breaking down the Dallas Cowboys-New York Giants matchup all week. Dallas Cowboys sits at 7-9-1 while New York Giants is 4-13 heading into this crucial contest.

Plus, New York Giants is averaging 22.6 points per game with a defense allowing 18.5 PPG. Dallas Cowboys counters with 24.0 PPG and a 18.1 PPG defensive mark.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: New York Giants covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
New York Giants is 5-1 at home this season
Records
New York Giants: 4-13 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-9-1
Scoring Defense
New York Giants allows 20.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Giants , sharp action noted
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
3-14
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | FOX

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

This line doesn't make sense. Tennessee Titans (3-14) heads to EverBank Stadium to take on Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Factor this in: The yardage tells a story - Jacksonville Jaguars gains 330 per game while Tennessee Titans sits at 364. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Tennessee Titans has the edge.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Jacksonville Jaguars covers consistently (7-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 13-4 | Tennessee Titans: 3-14
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 20.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
8-9
@
Houston Texans
12-5
Houston Texans
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | NRG Stadium | CBS

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Don't overthink this. Indianapolis Colts (8-9) heads to NRG Stadium to take on Houston Texans (12-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - Houston Texans gains 366 per game while Indianapolis Colts sits at 365. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Houston Texans has the edge.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Houston Texans covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Houston Texans is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Houston Texans: 12-5 | Indianapolis Colts: 8-9
Scoring Defense
Houston Texans allows 18.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Houston Texans , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Jan 05 | 01:20 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | NBC

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pay attention to this one. The NFL Week 16 slate features Baltimore Ravens (8-8) traveling to Acrisure Stadium where Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) waits. This game matters.

Here's where it gets interesting: Pittsburgh Steelers is averaging 24.0 points per game with a defense allowing 25.0 PPG. Baltimore Ravens counters with 21.7 PPG and a 24.3 PPG defensive mark.

look, Pittsburgh Steelers is 6-3 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 18.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
8-9
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 09:30 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ABC

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Let's talk about what matters here. I've been breaking down the Carolina Panthers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup all week. Carolina Panthers sits at 8-9 while Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 8-9 heading into this crucial contest.

Now, Tampa Bay Buccaneers is averaging 24.4 points per game with a defense allowing 23.6 PPG. Carolina Panthers counters with 25.2 PPG and a 22.5 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 7-5 against the spread. Carolina Panthers is 8-4. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8-9 | Carolina Panthers: 8-9
Scoring Defense
Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
14-3
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-5
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, Jan 04 | 01:00 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | ABC

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features Seattle Seahawks (14-3) traveling to Levi's Stadium where San Francisco 49ers (12-5) waits. This game matters.

Here's where it gets interesting: The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 377 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 366. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Seattle Seahawks has the edge.

look, ATS records matter. San Francisco 49ers at 7-6 against the spread. Seattle Seahawks is 6-5. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 5-3 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 | Seattle Seahawks: 14-3
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted