Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
8-8
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 09:30 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ABC

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Everyone's sleeping on this. I've been breaking down the Carolina Panthers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup all week. Carolina Panthers sits at 8-8 while Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 7-9 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's the kicker: Offensively, we're looking at 25.7 vs 23.0 PPG. Defensively, Tampa Bay Buccaneers gives up 20.2 while Carolina Panthers allows 19.9. The matchup favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

truth is, ATS records matter. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 5-7 against the spread. Carolina Panthers is 7-8. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9 | Carolina Panthers: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, Jan 04 | 01:00 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | ABC

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Here's the thing: The NFL Week 16 slate features Seattle Seahawks (13-3) traveling to Levi's Stadium where San Francisco 49ers (12-4) waits. This game matters.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 22.1 vs 22.9 PPG. Defensively, San Francisco 49ers gives up 25.2 while Seattle Seahawks allows 20.7. The matchup favors San Francisco 49ers.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: San Francisco 49ers covers consistently (6-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 4-3 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-4 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Atlanta Falcons
7-9
Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | FOX

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

The numbers are screaming at us. New Orleans Saints (6-10) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (7-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Consider this: Atlanta Falcons is averaging 22.0 points per game with a defense allowing 21.6 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 20.8 PPG and a 25.4 PPG defensive mark.

truth is, Atlanta Falcons is 7-3 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 7-9 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 18.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
4-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | CBS

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

The data doesn't lie. Cleveland Browns (4-12) heads to Paycor Stadium to take on Cincinnati Bengals (6-10) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 23.4 vs 24.7 PPG. Defensively, Cincinnati Bengals gives up 18.4 while Cleveland Browns allows 22.1. The matchup favors Cleveland Browns.

look, ATS records matter. Cincinnati Bengals at 5-6 against the spread. Cleveland Browns is 4-8. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Cleveland Browns: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 18.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | CBS

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

This is one of my favorite spots. Green Bay Packers (9-6-1) heads to U.S. Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota Vikings (8-8) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The big question: Minnesota Vikings is averaging 20.7 points per game with a defense allowing 21.9 PPG. Green Bay Packers counters with 26.6 PPG and a 24.2 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Minnesota Vikings covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 23.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
New York Giants
3-13
New York Giants
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

The sharps are all over this. I've been breaking down the Dallas Cowboys-New York Giants matchup all week. Dallas Cowboys sits at 7-8-1 while New York Giants is 3-13 heading into this crucial contest.

Now, Offensively, we're looking at 26.5 vs 23.5 PPG. Defensively, New York Giants gives up 25.1 while Dallas Cowboys allows 24.9. The matchup favors New York Giants.

let's be honest, New York Giants is 6-5 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
New York Giants is 6-3 at home this season
Records
New York Giants: 3-13 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
New York Giants allows 23.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Giants , sharp action noted
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
3-13
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | FOX

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Let me break this down. I've been breaking down the Tennessee Titans-Jacksonville Jaguars matchup all week. Tennessee Titans sits at 3-13 while Jacksonville Jaguars is 12-4 heading into this crucial contest.

Don't forget - The yardage tells a story - Jacksonville Jaguars gains 354 per game while Tennessee Titans sits at 347. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Tennessee Titans has the edge.

truth is, Jacksonville Jaguars is 9-3 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4 | Tennessee Titans: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
@
Houston Texans
11-5
Houston Texans
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | NRG Stadium | CBS

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Here's why I'm confident: Indianapolis Colts (8-8) heads to NRG Stadium to take on Houston Texans (11-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Here's where it gets interesting: Houston Texans is averaging 24.7 points per game with a defense allowing 24.6 PPG. Indianapolis Colts counters with 26.3 PPG and a 22.2 PPG defensive mark.

honestly, ATS records matter. Houston Texans at 8-4 against the spread. Indianapolis Colts is 4-7. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Houston Texans is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Houston Texans: 11-5 | Indianapolis Colts: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Houston Texans allows 20.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Houston Texans , sharp action noted
New York Jets
New York Jets
3-13
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | CBS

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Trust me on this one. This New York Jets at Buffalo Bills game has my attention. At 3-13 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Here's where it gets interesting: Buffalo Bills is averaging 25.0 points per game with a defense allowing 24.8 PPG. New York Jets counters with 22.5 PPG and a 23.5 PPG defensive mark.

honestly, ATS records matter. Buffalo Bills at 6-6 against the spread. New York Jets is 5-8. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | New York Jets: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 23.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Chicago Bears
11-5
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Soldier Field | FOX

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Pay attention to this one. This Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears game has my attention. At 8-8 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

What really matters is The yardage tells a story - Chicago Bears gains 340 per game while Detroit Lions sits at 360. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Chicago Bears has the edge.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Chicago Bears at 7-3 against the spread. Detroit Lions is 8-5. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-5 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 22.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
@
Denver Broncos
13-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

I've watched the tape. Los Angeles Chargers (11-5) heads to Empower Field at Mile High to take on Denver Broncos (13-3) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The big question: The yardage tells a story - Denver Broncos gains 353 per game while Los Angeles Chargers sits at 331. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Denver Broncos has the edge.

I mean, ATS records matter. Denver Broncos at 5-5 against the spread. Los Angeles Chargers is 6-5. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 13-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 18.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos , sharp action noted
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Let's talk about what matters here. Kansas City Chiefs (6-10) heads to Allegiant Stadium to take on Las Vegas Raiders (2-14) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

I keep coming back to Offensively, we're looking at 23.0 vs 23.1 PPG. Defensively, Las Vegas Raiders gives up 23.3 while Kansas City Chiefs allows 25.7. The matchup favors Kansas City Chiefs.

truth is, Las Vegas Raiders is 5-3 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 22.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Los Angeles Rams
11-5
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

I've been studying this one all week. The NFL Week 16 slate features Arizona Cardinals (3-13) traveling to SoFi Stadium where Los Angeles Rams (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Now, Los Angeles Rams is averaging 27.0 points per game with a defense allowing 18.2 PPG. Arizona Cardinals counters with 27.1 PPG and a 24.1 PPG defensive mark.

look, Los Angeles Rams is 9-7 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Los Angeles Rams is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Rams: 11-5 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Rams allows 22.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Rams , sharp action noted
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
7-9
@
New England Patriots
13-3
New England Patriots
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Gillette Stadium | FOX

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

I love this spot. Miami Dolphins (7-9) heads to Gillette Stadium to take on New England Patriots (13-3) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

What really matters is New England Patriots is averaging 27.0 points per game with a defense allowing 21.9 PPG. Miami Dolphins counters with 26.5 PPG and a 21.7 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: New England Patriots covers consistently (8-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 5-2 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 13-3 | Miami Dolphins: 7-9
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 20.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
4-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | CBS

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Let me be real - The NFL Week 16 slate features Washington Commanders (4-12) traveling to Lincoln Financial Field where Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Consider this: Offensively, we're looking at 20.1 vs 23.7 PPG. Defensively, Philadelphia Eagles gives up 19.2 while Washington Commanders allows 24.6. The matchup favors Washington Commanders.

let's be honest, Philadelphia Eagles is 7-7 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5 | Washington Commanders: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 19.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Jan 05 | 01:20 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | NBC

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Here's what stands out: This Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers game has my attention. At 8-8 and 9-7 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Factor this in: The yardage tells a story - Pittsburgh Steelers gains 379 per game while Baltimore Ravens sits at 335. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Pittsburgh Steelers has the edge.

honestly, ATS records matter. Pittsburgh Steelers at 6-7 against the spread. Baltimore Ravens is 5-5. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 22.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted