Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
8-8
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 09:30 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ABC

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. The NFL Week 16 slate features Carolina Panthers (8-8) traveling to Raymond James Stadium where Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) waits. This game matters.

Don't forget - Tampa Bay Buccaneers is averaging 24.9 points per game with a defense allowing 19.9 PPG. Carolina Panthers counters with 23.3 PPG and a 24.7 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 9-6 against the spread. Carolina Panthers is 4-8. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9 | Carolina Panthers: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 18.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, Jan 04 | 01:00 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | ABC

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Here's what stands out: The NFL Week 16 slate features Seattle Seahawks (13-3) traveling to Levi's Stadium where San Francisco 49ers (12-4) waits. This game matters.

It's worth noting The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 356 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 333. When you factor in defensive efficiency, San Francisco 49ers has the edge.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: San Francisco 49ers covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 4-3 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-4 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 23.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Atlanta Falcons
7-9
Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | FOX

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

This is one of my favorite spots. The NFL Week 16 slate features New Orleans Saints (6-10) traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium where Atlanta Falcons (7-9) waits. This game matters.

Consider this: Atlanta Falcons is averaging 27.5 points per game with a defense allowing 19.1 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 23.4 PPG and a 21.5 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Atlanta Falcons covers consistently (7-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 7-9 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 21.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
4-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | CBS

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

I've been studying this one all week. This Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 4-12 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

And look, Offensively, we're looking at 20.9 vs 20.3 PPG. Defensively, Cincinnati Bengals gives up 21.4 while Cleveland Browns allows 23.3. The matchup favors Cleveland Browns.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Cincinnati Bengals covers consistently (8-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Cleveland Browns: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 23.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | CBS

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

I keep coming back to this game. Green Bay Packers (9-6-1) heads to U.S. Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota Vikings (8-8) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

On top of that, Offensively, we're looking at 21.5 vs 27.3 PPG. Defensively, Minnesota Vikings gives up 25.4 while Green Bay Packers allows 25.9. The matchup favors Green Bay Packers.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Minnesota Vikings at 7-3 against the spread. Green Bay Packers is 4-5. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 23.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
New York Giants
3-13
New York Giants
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Here's why I'm confident: This Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants game has my attention. At 7-8-1 and 3-13 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The real story is New York Giants is averaging 26.8 points per game with a defense allowing 21.5 PPG. Dallas Cowboys counters with 27.4 PPG and a 25.7 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: ATS records matter. New York Giants at 6-4 against the spread. Dallas Cowboys is 5-8. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
New York Giants is 7-2 at home this season
Records
New York Giants: 3-13 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
New York Giants allows 22.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Giants , sharp action noted
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
3-13
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | FOX

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trust me on this one. Tennessee Titans (3-13) heads to EverBank Stadium to take on Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Now, The yardage tells a story - Jacksonville Jaguars gains 322 per game while Tennessee Titans sits at 321. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Tennessee Titans has the edge.

truth is, Jacksonville Jaguars is 6-7 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4 | Tennessee Titans: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 21.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
@
Houston Texans
11-5
Houston Texans
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | NRG Stadium | CBS

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Let me be real - The NFL Week 16 slate features Indianapolis Colts (8-8) traveling to NRG Stadium where Houston Texans (11-5) waits. This game matters.

The big question: Offensively, we're looking at 24.7 vs 21.2 PPG. Defensively, Houston Texans gives up 25.6 while Indianapolis Colts allows 20.2. The matchup favors Houston Texans.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Houston Texans covers consistently (9-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Houston Texans is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Houston Texans: 11-5 | Indianapolis Colts: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Houston Texans allows 22.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Houston Texans , sharp action noted
New York Jets
New York Jets
3-13
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | CBS

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

The sharps are all over this. The NFL Week 16 slate features New York Jets (3-13) traveling to Highmark Stadium where Buffalo Bills (11-5) waits. This game matters.

The big question: The yardage tells a story - Buffalo Bills gains 342 per game while New York Jets sits at 349. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Buffalo Bills has the edge.

realistically, Buffalo Bills is 9-3 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | New York Jets: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 20.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Chicago Bears
11-5
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Soldier Field | FOX

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Sometimes the obvious play is right. This Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears game has my attention. At 8-8 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Factor this in: The yardage tells a story - Chicago Bears gains 373 per game while Detroit Lions sits at 375. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Detroit Lions has the edge.

truth is, ATS records matter. Chicago Bears at 9-3 against the spread. Detroit Lions is 5-6. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-5 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
@
Denver Broncos
13-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Don't overthink this. I've been breaking down the Los Angeles Chargers-Denver Broncos matchup all week. Los Angeles Chargers sits at 11-5 while Denver Broncos is 13-3 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's the kicker: Offensively, we're looking at 20.5 vs 25.5 PPG. Defensively, Denver Broncos gives up 24.0 while Los Angeles Chargers allows 18.8. The matchup favors Denver Broncos.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Denver Broncos covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 13-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 21.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos , sharp action noted
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Let me break this down. I've been breaking down the Kansas City Chiefs-Las Vegas Raiders matchup all week. Kansas City Chiefs sits at 6-10 while Las Vegas Raiders is 2-14 heading into this crucial contest.

Factor this in: Las Vegas Raiders is averaging 26.4 points per game with a defense allowing 23.8 PPG. Kansas City Chiefs counters with 20.0 PPG and a 22.2 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (6-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 22.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Los Angeles Rams
11-5
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

I've crunched the numbers. This Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams game has my attention. At 3-13 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

It's worth noting The yardage tells a story - Los Angeles Rams gains 369 per game while Arizona Cardinals sits at 320. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Arizona Cardinals has the edge.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Los Angeles Rams at 5-6 against the spread. Arizona Cardinals is 4-6. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Los Angeles Rams is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Rams: 11-5 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Rams allows 22.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Rams , sharp action noted
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
7-9
@
New England Patriots
13-3
New England Patriots
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Gillette Stadium | FOX

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

The value here is obvious. The NFL Week 16 slate features Miami Dolphins (7-9) traveling to Gillette Stadium where New England Patriots (13-3) waits. This game matters.

Think about it: The yardage tells a story - New England Patriots gains 367 per game while Miami Dolphins sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Miami Dolphins has the edge.

I mean, New England Patriots is 6-4 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 5-3 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 13-3 | Miami Dolphins: 7-9
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 20.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
4-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | CBS

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Pay attention to this one. I've been breaking down the Washington Commanders-Philadelphia Eagles matchup all week. Washington Commanders sits at 4-12 while Philadelphia Eagles is 11-5 heading into this crucial contest.

On top of that, The yardage tells a story - Philadelphia Eagles gains 351 per game while Washington Commanders sits at 351. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Washington Commanders has the edge.

look, The betting trends are clear: Philadelphia Eagles covers consistently (7-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5 | Washington Commanders: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 22.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Jan 05 | 01:20 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | NBC

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

The numbers are screaming at us. Baltimore Ravens (8-8) heads to Acrisure Stadium to take on Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The real story is The yardage tells a story - Pittsburgh Steelers gains 366 per game while Baltimore Ravens sits at 350. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Baltimore Ravens has the edge.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Pittsburgh Steelers covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 18.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted