Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
8-8
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 09:30 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ABC

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I've been studying this one all week. Carolina Panthers (8-8) heads to Raymond James Stadium to take on Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

But here's the thing - The yardage tells a story - Tampa Bay Buccaneers gains 368 per game while Carolina Panthers sits at 370. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Tampa Bay Buccaneers has the edge.

at the end of the day, Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 5-6 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9 | Carolina Panthers: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 20.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, Jan 04 | 01:00 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | ABC

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Here's why I'm confident: This Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers game has my attention. At 13-3 and 12-4 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Consider this: The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 320 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 375. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Seattle Seahawks has the edge.

bottom line: San Francisco 49ers is 6-3 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-4 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 21.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Atlanta Falcons
7-9
Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | FOX

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

I've watched the tape. New Orleans Saints (6-10) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (7-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

I keep coming back to Atlanta Falcons is averaging 21.4 points per game with a defense allowing 19.4 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 23.7 PPG and a 20.1 PPG defensive mark.

let's be honest, Atlanta Falcons is 5-4 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 7-9 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 22.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
4-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | CBS

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Let me break this down. This Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 4-12 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

On top of that, Cincinnati Bengals is averaging 22.0 points per game with a defense allowing 22.7 PPG. Cleveland Browns counters with 25.4 PPG and a 18.2 PPG defensive mark.

straight up, Cincinnati Bengals is 9-3 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Cleveland Browns: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 19.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | CBS

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Look, I've been breaking down the Green Bay Packers-Minnesota Vikings matchup all week. Green Bay Packers sits at 9-6-1 while Minnesota Vikings is 8-8 heading into this crucial contest.

What really matters is Minnesota Vikings is averaging 23.6 points per game with a defense allowing 18.2 PPG. Green Bay Packers counters with 27.2 PPG and a 19.3 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, Minnesota Vikings is 8-3 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 21.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
New York Giants
3-13
New York Giants
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

The sharps are all over this. Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) heads to MetLife Stadium to take on New York Giants (3-13) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

And look, Offensively, we're looking at 21.3 vs 22.2 PPG. Defensively, New York Giants gives up 21.9 while Dallas Cowboys allows 23.9. The matchup favors Dallas Cowboys.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: New York Giants covers consistently (6-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
New York Giants is 5-3 at home this season
Records
New York Giants: 3-13 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
New York Giants allows 22.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Giants , sharp action noted
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
3-13
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | FOX

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

I've crunched the numbers. I've been breaking down the Tennessee Titans-Jacksonville Jaguars matchup all week. Tennessee Titans sits at 3-13 while Jacksonville Jaguars is 12-4 heading into this crucial contest.

It's worth noting Offensively, we're looking at 21.3 vs 25.7 PPG. Defensively, Jacksonville Jaguars gives up 19.9 while Tennessee Titans allows 21.9. The matchup favors Tennessee Titans.

honestly, ATS records matter. Jacksonville Jaguars at 7-6 against the spread. Tennessee Titans is 4-5. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4 | Tennessee Titans: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 21.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
@
Houston Texans
11-5
Houston Texans
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | NRG Stadium | CBS

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Here's what stands out: This Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans game has my attention. At 8-8 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

And look, Offensively, we're looking at 20.6 vs 25.9 PPG. Defensively, Houston Texans gives up 25.6 while Indianapolis Colts allows 22.0. The matchup favors Indianapolis Colts.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Houston Texans covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Houston Texans is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Houston Texans: 11-5 | Indianapolis Colts: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Houston Texans allows 23.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Houston Texans , sharp action noted
New York Jets
New York Jets
3-13
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | CBS

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

This line doesn't make sense. I've been breaking down the New York Jets-Buffalo Bills matchup all week. New York Jets sits at 3-13 while Buffalo Bills is 11-5 heading into this crucial contest.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - Buffalo Bills gains 338 per game while New York Jets sits at 361. When you factor in defensive efficiency, New York Jets has the edge.

simply put, Buffalo Bills is 8-7 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | New York Jets: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 22.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Chicago Bears
11-5
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Soldier Field | FOX

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

The value here is obvious. I've been breaking down the Detroit Lions-Chicago Bears matchup all week. Detroit Lions sits at 8-8 while Chicago Bears is 11-5 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's the kicker: The yardage tells a story - Chicago Bears gains 327 per game while Detroit Lions sits at 368. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Chicago Bears has the edge.

I mean, ATS records matter. Chicago Bears at 7-6 against the spread. Detroit Lions is 5-6. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-5 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 23.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
@
Denver Broncos
13-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

This is one of my favorite spots. This Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos game has my attention. At 11-5 and 13-3 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The numbers tell us The yardage tells a story - Denver Broncos gains 339 per game while Los Angeles Chargers sits at 368. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Chargers has the edge.

honestly, ATS records matter. Denver Broncos at 9-7 against the spread. Los Angeles Chargers is 8-6. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 13-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 22.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos , sharp action noted
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Sometimes the obvious play is right. I've been breaking down the Kansas City Chiefs-Las Vegas Raiders matchup all week. Kansas City Chiefs sits at 6-10 while Las Vegas Raiders is 2-14 heading into this crucial contest.

The big question: Las Vegas Raiders is averaging 24.5 points per game with a defense allowing 24.2 PPG. Kansas City Chiefs counters with 20.9 PPG and a 25.9 PPG defensive mark.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 23.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Los Angeles Rams
11-5
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

The numbers are screaming at us. I've been breaking down the Arizona Cardinals-Los Angeles Rams matchup all week. Arizona Cardinals sits at 3-13 while Los Angeles Rams is 11-5 heading into this crucial contest.

But here's the thing - Offensively, we're looking at 27.4 vs 25.8 PPG. Defensively, Los Angeles Rams gives up 19.7 while Arizona Cardinals allows 23.7. The matchup favors Arizona Cardinals.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Los Angeles Rams covers consistently (8-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Los Angeles Rams is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Rams: 11-5 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Rams allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Rams , sharp action noted
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
7-9
@
New England Patriots
13-3
New England Patriots
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Gillette Stadium | FOX

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Here's the thing: Miami Dolphins (7-9) heads to Gillette Stadium to take on New England Patriots (13-3) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - New England Patriots gains 363 per game while Miami Dolphins sits at 355. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Miami Dolphins has the edge.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: New England Patriots covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 6-2 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 13-3 | Miami Dolphins: 7-9
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 21.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
4-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | CBS

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Let me be real - The NFL Week 16 slate features Washington Commanders (4-12) traveling to Lincoln Financial Field where Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Don't forget - Offensively, we're looking at 22.4 vs 20.0 PPG. Defensively, Philadelphia Eagles gives up 20.3 while Washington Commanders allows 24.7. The matchup favors Washington Commanders.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Philadelphia Eagles at 5-3 against the spread. Washington Commanders is 5-4. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5 | Washington Commanders: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 21.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Jan 05 | 01:20 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | NBC

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Let's talk about what matters here. This Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers game has my attention. At 8-8 and 9-7 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The numbers tell us Pittsburgh Steelers is averaging 26.3 points per game with a defense allowing 24.3 PPG. Baltimore Ravens counters with 22.4 PPG and a 18.7 PPG defensive mark.

straight up, Pittsburgh Steelers is 9-4 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 20.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted