Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
8-8
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 09:30 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium | ABC

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pay attention to this one. The NFL Week 16 slate features Carolina Panthers (8-8) traveling to Raymond James Stadium where Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) waits. This game matters.

Here's the kicker: Offensively, we're looking at 20.0 vs 24.1 PPG. Defensively, Tampa Bay Buccaneers gives up 23.8 while Carolina Panthers allows 19.3. The matchup favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Tampa Bay Buccaneers covers consistently (7-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9 | Carolina Panthers: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 21.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tampa Bay Buccaneers , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, Jan 04 | 01:00 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | ABC

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Don't overthink this. This Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers game has my attention. At 13-3 and 12-4 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

You have to consider Offensively, we're looking at 21.6 vs 25.0 PPG. Defensively, San Francisco 49ers gives up 21.9 while Seattle Seahawks allows 18.0. The matchup favors San Francisco 49ers.

honestly, ATS records matter. San Francisco 49ers at 5-7 against the spread. Seattle Seahawks is 8-7. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 7-2 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-4 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 22.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Atlanta Falcons
7-9
Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | FOX

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

This line doesn't make sense. The NFL Week 16 slate features New Orleans Saints (6-10) traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium where Atlanta Falcons (7-9) waits. This game matters.

The numbers tell us Offensively, we're looking at 22.8 vs 20.0 PPG. Defensively, Atlanta Falcons gives up 18.3 while New Orleans Saints allows 21.9. The matchup favors New Orleans Saints.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Atlanta Falcons covers consistently (7-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 7-9 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 21.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
4-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | CBS

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Look, This Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 4-12 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Now, Cincinnati Bengals is averaging 23.0 points per game with a defense allowing 19.5 PPG. Cleveland Browns counters with 25.8 PPG and a 23.8 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: Cincinnati Bengals is 9-6 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Cleveland Browns: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 20.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | CBS

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Sometimes the obvious play is right. I've been breaking down the Green Bay Packers-Minnesota Vikings matchup all week. Green Bay Packers sits at 9-6-1 while Minnesota Vikings is 8-8 heading into this crucial contest.

The big question: Offensively, we're looking at 23.8 vs 27.1 PPG. Defensively, Minnesota Vikings gives up 20.1 while Green Bay Packers allows 21.4. The matchup favors Green Bay Packers.

bottom line: Minnesota Vikings is 8-5 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 22.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
New York Giants
3-13
New York Giants
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

The sharps are all over this. I've been breaking down the Dallas Cowboys-New York Giants matchup all week. Dallas Cowboys sits at 7-8-1 while New York Giants is 3-13 heading into this crucial contest.

Don't forget - Offensively, we're looking at 21.7 vs 24.6 PPG. Defensively, New York Giants gives up 23.4 while Dallas Cowboys allows 22.9. The matchup favors Dallas Cowboys.

straight up, ATS records matter. New York Giants at 7-6 against the spread. Dallas Cowboys is 6-5. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
New York Giants is 4-1 at home this season
Records
New York Giants: 3-13 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
New York Giants allows 21.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Giants , sharp action noted
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
3-13
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium | FOX

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

The numbers are screaming at us. The NFL Week 16 slate features Tennessee Titans (3-13) traveling to EverBank Stadium where Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4) waits. This game matters.

The key factor is Offensively, we're looking at 24.4 vs 26.8 PPG. Defensively, Jacksonville Jaguars gives up 24.5 while Tennessee Titans allows 25.1. The matchup favors Tennessee Titans.

honestly, ATS records matter. Jacksonville Jaguars at 7-4 against the spread. Tennessee Titans is 8-7. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Jacksonville Jaguars is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4 | Tennessee Titans: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars allows 23.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Jacksonville Jaguars , sharp action noted
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
@
Houston Texans
11-5
Houston Texans
Sunday, Jan 04 | 06:00 PM ET | NRG Stadium | CBS

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Let's talk about what matters here. The NFL Week 16 slate features Indianapolis Colts (8-8) traveling to NRG Stadium where Houston Texans (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Plus, Houston Texans is averaging 26.7 points per game with a defense allowing 18.2 PPG. Indianapolis Colts counters with 21.7 PPG and a 23.6 PPG defensive mark.

simply put, Houston Texans is 7-5 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Houston Texans is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Houston Texans: 11-5 | Indianapolis Colts: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Houston Texans allows 23.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Houston Texans , sharp action noted
New York Jets
New York Jets
3-13
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | CBS

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features New York Jets (3-13) traveling to Highmark Stadium where Buffalo Bills (11-5) waits. This game matters.

You have to consider Offensively, we're looking at 25.1 vs 23.3 PPG. Defensively, Buffalo Bills gives up 25.9 while New York Jets allows 19.2. The matchup favors Buffalo Bills.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Buffalo Bills at 7-3 against the spread. New York Jets is 8-5. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | New York Jets: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 19.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Chicago Bears
11-5
Chicago Bears
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Soldier Field | FOX

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

I've watched the tape. The NFL Week 16 slate features Detroit Lions (8-8) traveling to Soldier Field where Chicago Bears (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Here's the kicker: The yardage tells a story - Chicago Bears gains 376 per game while Detroit Lions sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Detroit Lions has the edge.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Chicago Bears covers consistently (8-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Chicago Bears is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bears: 11-5 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Chicago Bears allows 18.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bears , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
@
Denver Broncos
13-3
Denver Broncos
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Empower Field at Mile High | CBS

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

I've been studying this one all week. This Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos game has my attention. At 11-5 and 13-3 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Here's where it gets interesting: Offensively, we're looking at 21.6 vs 23.3 PPG. Defensively, Denver Broncos gives up 21.0 while Los Angeles Chargers allows 22.0. The matchup favors Los Angeles Chargers.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Denver Broncos covers consistently (7-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Denver Broncos is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Broncos: 13-3 | Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Denver Broncos allows 18.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Denver Broncos , sharp action noted
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

I keep coming back to this game. This Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders game has my attention. At 6-10 and 2-14 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The key factor is Offensively, we're looking at 21.5 vs 21.1 PPG. Defensively, Las Vegas Raiders gives up 19.2 while Kansas City Chiefs allows 18.9. The matchup favors Las Vegas Raiders.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (6-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 22.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Los Angeles Rams
11-5
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Here's what stands out: Arizona Cardinals (3-13) heads to SoFi Stadium to take on Los Angeles Rams (11-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Plus, Offensively, we're looking at 21.4 vs 21.4 PPG. Defensively, Los Angeles Rams gives up 18.2 while Arizona Cardinals allows 18.1. The matchup favors Los Angeles Rams.

realistically, ATS records matter. Los Angeles Rams at 5-6 against the spread. Arizona Cardinals is 8-6. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Los Angeles Rams is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Rams: 11-5 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Rams allows 21.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Rams , sharp action noted
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
7-9
@
New England Patriots
13-3
New England Patriots
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Gillette Stadium | FOX

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

This is one of my favorite spots. This Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots game has my attention. At 7-9 and 13-3 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

It's worth noting Offensively, we're looking at 20.1 vs 20.1 PPG. Defensively, New England Patriots gives up 24.0 while Miami Dolphins allows 23.9. The matchup favors New England Patriots.

realistically, ATS records matter. New England Patriots at 9-3 against the spread. Miami Dolphins is 4-7. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
New England Patriots is 4-3 at home this season
Records
New England Patriots: 13-3 | Miami Dolphins: 7-9
Scoring Defense
New England Patriots allows 23.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New England Patriots , sharp action noted
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders
4-12
@
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, Jan 04 | 09:25 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field | CBS

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Trust me on this one. This Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles game has my attention. At 4-12 and 11-5 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Here's what I'm seeing: The yardage tells a story - Philadelphia Eagles gains 363 per game while Washington Commanders sits at 326. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Philadelphia Eagles has the edge.

here's the deal: Philadelphia Eagles is 9-7 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Philadelphia Eagles is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5 | Washington Commanders: 4-12
Scoring Defense
Philadelphia Eagles allows 22.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Philadelphia Eagles , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, Jan 05 | 01:20 AM ET | Acrisure Stadium | NBC

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Everyone's sleeping on this. I've been breaking down the Baltimore Ravens-Pittsburgh Steelers matchup all week. Baltimore Ravens sits at 8-8 while Pittsburgh Steelers is 9-7 heading into this crucial contest.

The real story is Pittsburgh Steelers is averaging 22.4 points per game with a defense allowing 18.6 PPG. Baltimore Ravens counters with 20.5 PPG and a 20.9 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, ATS records matter. Pittsburgh Steelers at 6-5 against the spread. Baltimore Ravens is 4-8. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Pittsburgh Steelers is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Pittsburgh Steelers allows 19.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Pittsburgh Steelers , sharp action noted