Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
Washington Commanders
4-12
Washington Commanders
Thursday, Dec 25 | 06:00 PM ET | Northwest Stadium | Netflix

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. I've been breaking down the Dallas Cowboys-Washington Commanders matchup all week. Dallas Cowboys sits at 7-8-1 while Washington Commanders is 4-12 heading into this crucial contest.

Now, The yardage tells a story - Washington Commanders gains 357 per game while Dallas Cowboys sits at 348. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Washington Commanders has the edge.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Washington Commanders covers consistently (8-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Washington Commanders is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Washington Commanders: 4-12 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
Washington Commanders allows 18.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Washington Commanders , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, Dec 25 | 09:30 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | Netflix

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

The sharps are all over this. The NFL Week 16 slate features Detroit Lions (8-8) traveling to U.S. Bank Stadium where Minnesota Vikings (8-8) waits. This game matters.

The key factor is Offensively, we're looking at 25.3 vs 20.2 PPG. Defensively, Minnesota Vikings gives up 24.0 while Detroit Lions allows 23.2. The matchup favors Minnesota Vikings.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Minnesota Vikings covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Lock it in.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
13-3
@
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:15 AM ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Prime Video

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Here's why I'm confident: This Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs game has my attention. At 13-3 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

On top of that, Offensively, we're looking at 22.0 vs 24.2 PPG. Defensively, Kansas City Chiefs gives up 23.0 while Denver Broncos allows 18.2. The matchup favors Kansas City Chiefs.

realistically, ATS records matter. Kansas City Chiefs at 6-3 against the spread. Denver Broncos is 4-4. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Kansas City Chiefs is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10 | Denver Broncos: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Kansas City Chiefs allows 22.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Kansas City Chiefs , sharp action noted
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
11-5
@
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
Los Angeles Chargers
Saturday, Dec 27 | 09:30 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | NFL Net

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Let's talk about what matters here. The NFL Week 16 slate features Houston Texans (11-5) traveling to SoFi Stadium where Los Angeles Chargers (11-5) waits. This game matters.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 24.4 vs 22.0 PPG. Defensively, Los Angeles Chargers gives up 22.6 while Houston Texans allows 24.6. The matchup favors Los Angeles Chargers.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Los Angeles Chargers covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Los Angeles Chargers is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5 | Houston Texans: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Chargers allows 21.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Chargers , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Lambeau Field | Peacock

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

The data doesn't lie. The NFL Week 16 slate features Baltimore Ravens (8-8) traveling to Lambeau Field where Green Bay Packers (9-6-1) waits. This game matters.

What stands out is The yardage tells a story - Green Bay Packers gains 360 per game while Baltimore Ravens sits at 355. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Green Bay Packers has the edge.

straight up, The betting trends are clear: Green Bay Packers covers consistently (7-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Lock it in.

Home Field
Green Bay Packers is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Green Bay Packers allows 20.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Green Bay Packers , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

I've crunched the numbers. Arizona Cardinals (3-13) heads to Paycor Stadium to take on Cincinnati Bengals (6-10) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The numbers tell us The yardage tells a story - Cincinnati Bengals gains 369 per game while Arizona Cardinals sits at 366. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Cincinnati Bengals has the edge.

truth is, ATS records matter. Cincinnati Bengals at 7-3 against the spread. Arizona Cardinals is 6-4. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 21.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
@
Cleveland Browns
4-12
Cleveland Browns
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field | CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Look, Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) heads to Huntington Bank Field to take on Cleveland Browns (4-12) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The numbers tell us The yardage tells a story - Cleveland Browns gains 380 per game while Pittsburgh Steelers sits at 368. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Pittsburgh Steelers has the edge.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Cleveland Browns at 6-5 against the spread. Pittsburgh Steelers is 8-6. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Cleveland Browns is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Browns: 4-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7
Scoring Defense
Cleveland Browns allows 21.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Browns , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Tennessee Titans
3-13
Tennessee Titans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Nissan Stadium | CBS

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

The value here is obvious. New Orleans Saints (6-10) heads to Nissan Stadium to take on Tennessee Titans (3-13) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Think about it: Offensively, we're looking at 26.7 vs 23.4 PPG. Defensively, Tennessee Titans gives up 18.3 while New Orleans Saints allows 19.0. The matchup favors Tennessee Titans.

here's the deal: Tennessee Titans is 7-5 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Tennessee Titans is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Tennessee Titans: 3-13 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Tennessee Titans allows 18.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tennessee Titans , sharp action noted
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
@
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | FOX

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Here's the thing: Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4) heads to Lucas Oil Stadium to take on Indianapolis Colts (8-8) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Think about it: The yardage tells a story - Indianapolis Colts gains 380 per game while Jacksonville Jaguars sits at 376. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Jacksonville Jaguars has the edge.

honestly, Indianapolis Colts is 9-5 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Indianapolis Colts is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Indianapolis Colts: 8-8 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4
Scoring Defense
Indianapolis Colts allows 19.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Indianapolis Colts , sharp action noted
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
@
Miami Dolphins
7-9
Miami Dolphins
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Hard Rock Stadium | FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

I've been studying this one all week. I've been breaking down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Miami Dolphins matchup all week. Tampa Bay Buccaneers sits at 7-9 while Miami Dolphins is 7-9 heading into this crucial contest.

What really matters is The yardage tells a story - Miami Dolphins gains 350 per game while Tampa Bay Buccaneers sits at 335. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Miami Dolphins has the edge.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Miami Dolphins covers consistently (6-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Miami Dolphins is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Miami Dolphins: 7-9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9
Scoring Defense
Miami Dolphins allows 19.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Miami Dolphins , sharp action noted
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
13-3
@
New York Jets
3-13
New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

This is one of my favorite spots. I've been breaking down the New England Patriots-New York Jets matchup all week. New England Patriots sits at 13-3 while New York Jets is 3-13 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's the kicker: Offensively, we're looking at 20.2 vs 25.9 PPG. Defensively, New York Jets gives up 23.6 while New England Patriots allows 24.5. The matchup favors New England Patriots.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: New York Jets covers consistently (6-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
New York Jets is 4-2 at home this season
Records
New York Jets: 3-13 | New England Patriots: 13-3
Scoring Defense
New York Jets allows 23.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Jets , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
Carolina Panthers
8-8
Carolina Panthers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | CBS

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

I keep coming back to this game. I've been breaking down the Seattle Seahawks-Carolina Panthers matchup all week. Seattle Seahawks sits at 13-3 while Carolina Panthers is 8-8 heading into this crucial contest.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 23.5 vs 21.4 PPG. Defensively, Carolina Panthers gives up 25.4 while Seattle Seahawks allows 24.8. The matchup favors Carolina Panthers.

let's be honest, Carolina Panthers is 5-3 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-8 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 22.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
New York Giants
New York Giants
3-13
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

Sometimes the obvious play is right. New York Giants (3-13) heads to Allegiant Stadium to take on Las Vegas Raiders (2-14) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Now, The yardage tells a story - Las Vegas Raiders gains 364 per game while New York Giants sits at 330. When you factor in defensive efficiency, New York Giants has the edge.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (9-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Lock it in.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | New York Giants: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 23.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | FOX

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Pay attention to this one. Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) heads to Highmark Stadium to take on Buffalo Bills (11-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Now, Buffalo Bills is averaging 23.2 points per game with a defense allowing 22.7 PPG. Philadelphia Eagles counters with 27.1 PPG and a 23.3 PPG defensive mark.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. Buffalo Bills at 5-7 against the spread. Philadelphia Eagles is 7-4. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 19.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
11-5
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 29 | 01:20 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | NBC

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

I've watched the tape. I've been breaking down the Chicago Bears-San Francisco 49ers matchup all week. Chicago Bears sits at 11-5 while San Francisco 49ers is 12-4 heading into this crucial contest.

The numbers tell us San Francisco 49ers is averaging 27.5 points per game with a defense allowing 24.3 PPG. Chicago Bears counters with 23.5 PPG and a 24.2 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: San Francisco 49ers covers consistently (9-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-4 | Chicago Bears: 11-5
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 20.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
11-5
@
Atlanta Falcons
7-9
Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:15 AM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | ESPN

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

I love this spot. Los Angeles Rams (11-5) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (7-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The real story is Offensively, we're looking at 24.2 vs 21.1 PPG. Defensively, Atlanta Falcons gives up 22.5 while Los Angeles Rams allows 22.1. The matchup favors Atlanta Falcons.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Atlanta Falcons at 7-5 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 8-7. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 7-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 19.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted