Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
11-4
@
Atlanta Falcons
6-9
Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:15 AM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | ESPN

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

This line doesn't make sense. Los Angeles Rams (11-4) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (6-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Don't forget - Atlanta Falcons is averaging 25.0 points per game with a defense allowing 22.5 PPG. Los Angeles Rams counters with 24.1 PPG and a 19.5 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: Atlanta Falcons is 8-4 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 6-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 22.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
Washington Commanders
4-12
Washington Commanders
Thursday, Dec 25 | 06:00 PM ET | Northwest Stadium | Netflix

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Pay attention to this one. Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) heads to Northwest Stadium to take on Washington Commanders (4-12) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Now, The yardage tells a story - Washington Commanders gains 361 per game while Dallas Cowboys sits at 339. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Washington Commanders has the edge.

bottom line: Washington Commanders is 9-7 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Washington Commanders is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Washington Commanders: 4-12 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
Washington Commanders allows 20.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Washington Commanders , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, Dec 25 | 09:30 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | Netflix

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Here's the thing: The NFL Week 16 slate features Detroit Lions (8-8) traveling to U.S. Bank Stadium where Minnesota Vikings (8-8) waits. This game matters.

Here's what I'm seeing: Minnesota Vikings is averaging 25.9 points per game with a defense allowing 25.2 PPG. Detroit Lions counters with 21.4 PPG and a 23.2 PPG defensive mark.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. Minnesota Vikings at 6-4 against the spread. Detroit Lions is 7-6. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 18.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
13-3
@
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:15 AM ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Prime Video

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Everyone's sleeping on this. This Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs game has my attention. At 13-3 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

On top of that, The yardage tells a story - Kansas City Chiefs gains 374 per game while Denver Broncos sits at 322. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Kansas City Chiefs has the edge.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Kansas City Chiefs at 6-7 against the spread. Denver Broncos is 5-5. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Kansas City Chiefs is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10 | Denver Broncos: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Kansas City Chiefs allows 23.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Kansas City Chiefs , sharp action noted
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
11-5
@
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
Los Angeles Chargers
Saturday, Dec 27 | 09:30 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | NFL Net

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

I keep coming back to this game. Houston Texans (11-5) heads to SoFi Stadium to take on Los Angeles Chargers (11-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

On top of that, Offensively, we're looking at 26.9 vs 20.1 PPG. Defensively, Los Angeles Chargers gives up 18.7 while Houston Texans allows 21.6. The matchup favors Los Angeles Chargers.

let's be honest, Los Angeles Chargers is 8-4 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Los Angeles Chargers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5 | Houston Texans: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Chargers allows 22.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Chargers , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Lambeau Field | Peacock

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

Let me break this down. This Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers game has my attention. At 8-8 and 9-6-1 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 27.8 vs 25.6 PPG. Defensively, Green Bay Packers gives up 25.8 while Baltimore Ravens allows 22.4. The matchup favors Green Bay Packers.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Green Bay Packers covers consistently (8-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Green Bay Packers is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Green Bay Packers allows 19.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Green Bay Packers , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

Sometimes the obvious play is right. This Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 3-13 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The big question: Cincinnati Bengals is averaging 20.2 points per game with a defense allowing 20.5 PPG. Arizona Cardinals counters with 21.8 PPG and a 19.4 PPG defensive mark.

I mean, Cincinnati Bengals is 6-7 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 22.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
@
Cleveland Browns
4-12
Cleveland Browns
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field | CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) heads to Huntington Bank Field to take on Cleveland Browns (4-12) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

It's worth noting The yardage tells a story - Cleveland Browns gains 329 per game while Pittsburgh Steelers sits at 358. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Pittsburgh Steelers has the edge.

I mean, ATS records matter. Cleveland Browns at 6-6 against the spread. Pittsburgh Steelers is 5-7. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Cleveland Browns is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Browns: 4-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7
Scoring Defense
Cleveland Browns allows 23.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Browns , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Tennessee Titans
3-13
Tennessee Titans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Nissan Stadium | CBS

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Here's why I'm confident: New Orleans Saints (6-10) heads to Nissan Stadium to take on Tennessee Titans (3-13) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Now, Tennessee Titans is averaging 22.0 points per game with a defense allowing 25.8 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 21.5 PPG and a 19.1 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, Tennessee Titans is 9-7 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Tennessee Titans is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Tennessee Titans: 3-13 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Tennessee Titans allows 20.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tennessee Titans , sharp action noted
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
@
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | FOX

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4) traveling to Lucas Oil Stadium where Indianapolis Colts (8-8) waits. This game matters.

And look, Indianapolis Colts is averaging 20.0 points per game with a defense allowing 20.5 PPG. Jacksonville Jaguars counters with 20.2 PPG and a 22.7 PPG defensive mark.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Indianapolis Colts covers consistently (8-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
Indianapolis Colts is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Indianapolis Colts: 8-8 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4
Scoring Defense
Indianapolis Colts allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Indianapolis Colts , sharp action noted
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
@
Miami Dolphins
7-9
Miami Dolphins
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Hard Rock Stadium | FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

I love this spot. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) heads to Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Dolphins (7-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

What stands out is Offensively, we're looking at 21.2 vs 24.2 PPG. Defensively, Miami Dolphins gives up 20.4 while Tampa Bay Buccaneers allows 21.9. The matchup favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Miami Dolphins covers consistently (8-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Miami Dolphins is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Miami Dolphins: 7-9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9
Scoring Defense
Miami Dolphins allows 20.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Miami Dolphins , sharp action noted
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
13-3
@
New York Jets
3-13
New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

The sharps are all over this. I've been breaking down the New England Patriots-New York Jets matchup all week. New England Patriots sits at 13-3 while New York Jets is 3-13 heading into this crucial contest.

Consider this: New York Jets is averaging 26.0 points per game with a defense allowing 23.1 PPG. New England Patriots counters with 27.8 PPG and a 20.2 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. New York Jets at 6-7 against the spread. New England Patriots is 6-7. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
New York Jets is 4-2 at home this season
Records
New York Jets: 3-13 | New England Patriots: 13-3
Scoring Defense
New York Jets allows 21.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Jets , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
Carolina Panthers
8-8
Carolina Panthers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | CBS

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Look, I've been breaking down the Seattle Seahawks-Carolina Panthers matchup all week. Seattle Seahawks sits at 13-3 while Carolina Panthers is 8-8 heading into this crucial contest.

Don't forget - The yardage tells a story - Carolina Panthers gains 356 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Seattle Seahawks has the edge.

here's the deal: Carolina Panthers is 6-5 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-8 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 19.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
New York Giants
New York Giants
3-13
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-14
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

Here's what the market is missing: I've been breaking down the New York Giants-Las Vegas Raiders matchup all week. New York Giants sits at 3-13 while Las Vegas Raiders is 2-14 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's what I'm seeing: Las Vegas Raiders is averaging 27.9 points per game with a defense allowing 23.4 PPG. New York Giants counters with 24.0 PPG and a 21.5 PPG defensive mark.

simply put, Las Vegas Raiders is 5-7 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-14 | New York Giants: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 19.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
11-5
@
Buffalo Bills
11-5
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | FOX

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Let's talk about what matters here. I've been breaking down the Philadelphia Eagles-Buffalo Bills matchup all week. Philadelphia Eagles sits at 11-5 while Buffalo Bills is 11-5 heading into this crucial contest.

I keep coming back to Offensively, we're looking at 24.8 vs 26.6 PPG. Defensively, Buffalo Bills gives up 19.5 while Philadelphia Eagles allows 19.4. The matchup favors Philadelphia Eagles.

realistically, Buffalo Bills is 8-6 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-5 | Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 21.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
11-5
@
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 29 | 01:20 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | NBC

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

I've been studying this one all week. I've been breaking down the Chicago Bears-San Francisco 49ers matchup all week. Chicago Bears sits at 11-5 while San Francisco 49ers is 12-4 heading into this crucial contest.

The big question: San Francisco 49ers is averaging 23.8 points per game with a defense allowing 24.7 PPG. Chicago Bears counters with 22.4 PPG and a 20.4 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, ATS records matter. San Francisco 49ers at 9-3 against the spread. Chicago Bears is 8-4. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 7-2 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 12-4 | Chicago Bears: 11-5
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 23.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted