New York Giants
New York Giants
2-13
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-13
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

Here's what the market is missing: This New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders game has my attention. At 2-13 and 2-13 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

But here's the thing - The yardage tells a story - Las Vegas Raiders gains 322 per game while New York Giants sits at 320. When you factor in defensive efficiency, New York Giants has the edge.

straight up, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (7-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-13 | New York Giants: 2-13
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 22.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
10-5
@
Buffalo Bills
11-4
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | FOX

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Let me break this down. I've been breaking down the Philadelphia Eagles-Buffalo Bills matchup all week. Philadelphia Eagles sits at 10-5 while Buffalo Bills is 11-4 heading into this crucial contest.

But here's the thing - Buffalo Bills is averaging 26.3 points per game with a defense allowing 24.7 PPG. Philadelphia Eagles counters with 20.2 PPG and a 21.8 PPG defensive mark.

honestly, Buffalo Bills is 6-7 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-4 | Philadelphia Eagles: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-13
@
Cincinnati Bengals
6-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

This line doesn't make sense. This Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals game has my attention. At 3-13 and 6-10 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

You have to consider Cincinnati Bengals is averaging 23.0 points per game with a defense allowing 23.0 PPG. Arizona Cardinals counters with 20.5 PPG and a 24.0 PPG defensive mark.

at the end of the day, Cincinnati Bengals is 9-3 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-10 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-13
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 21.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-7
@
Cleveland Browns
4-12
Cleveland Browns
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field | CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. I've been breaking down the Pittsburgh Steelers-Cleveland Browns matchup all week. Pittsburgh Steelers sits at 9-7 while Cleveland Browns is 4-12 heading into this crucial contest.

Consider this: Cleveland Browns is averaging 26.3 points per game with a defense allowing 25.1 PPG. Pittsburgh Steelers counters with 25.8 PPG and a 23.3 PPG defensive mark.

I mean, Cleveland Browns is 8-4 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Cleveland Browns is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Browns: 4-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7
Scoring Defense
Cleveland Browns allows 18.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Browns , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
6-10
@
Tennessee Titans
3-13
Tennessee Titans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Nissan Stadium | CBS

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Pay attention to this one. New Orleans Saints (6-10) heads to Nissan Stadium to take on Tennessee Titans (3-13) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

It's worth noting Tennessee Titans is averaging 23.9 points per game with a defense allowing 21.5 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 20.9 PPG and a 24.4 PPG defensive mark.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Tennessee Titans covers consistently (5-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Tennessee Titans is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Tennessee Titans: 3-13 | New Orleans Saints: 6-10
Scoring Defense
Tennessee Titans allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tennessee Titans , sharp action noted
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
12-4
@
Indianapolis Colts
8-8
Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | FOX

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

The numbers are screaming at us. The NFL Week 16 slate features Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4) traveling to Lucas Oil Stadium where Indianapolis Colts (8-8) waits. This game matters.

I keep coming back to Offensively, we're looking at 25.6 vs 24.4 PPG. Defensively, Indianapolis Colts gives up 19.6 while Jacksonville Jaguars allows 24.1. The matchup favors Jacksonville Jaguars.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Indianapolis Colts at 6-7 against the spread. Jacksonville Jaguars is 8-4. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Indianapolis Colts is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Indianapolis Colts: 8-8 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-4
Scoring Defense
Indianapolis Colts allows 22.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Indianapolis Colts , sharp action noted
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
@
Miami Dolphins
7-9
Miami Dolphins
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Hard Rock Stadium | FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

Sometimes the obvious play is right. The NFL Week 16 slate features Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9) traveling to Hard Rock Stadium where Miami Dolphins (7-9) waits. This game matters.

The big question: Miami Dolphins is averaging 27.8 points per game with a defense allowing 18.4 PPG. Tampa Bay Buccaneers counters with 21.9 PPG and a 19.5 PPG defensive mark.

straight up, The betting trends are clear: Miami Dolphins covers consistently (8-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Miami Dolphins is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Miami Dolphins: 7-9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9
Scoring Defense
Miami Dolphins allows 22.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Miami Dolphins , sharp action noted
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
13-3
@
New York Jets
3-13
New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

The data doesn't lie. The NFL Week 16 slate features New England Patriots (13-3) traveling to MetLife Stadium where New York Jets (3-13) waits. This game matters.

The big question: New York Jets is averaging 22.4 points per game with a defense allowing 24.6 PPG. New England Patriots counters with 23.3 PPG and a 18.3 PPG defensive mark.

honestly, ATS records matter. New York Jets at 6-3 against the spread. New England Patriots is 7-6. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
New York Jets is 6-2 at home this season
Records
New York Jets: 3-13 | New England Patriots: 13-3
Scoring Defense
New York Jets allows 18.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Jets , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
@
Carolina Panthers
8-8
Carolina Panthers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | CBS

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Trust me on this one. This Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers game has my attention. At 13-3 and 8-8 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

You have to consider The yardage tells a story - Carolina Panthers gains 354 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 357. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Seattle Seahawks has the edge.

straight up, ATS records matter. Carolina Panthers at 9-5 against the spread. Seattle Seahawks is 8-4. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-8 | Seattle Seahawks: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 21.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
11-4
@
San Francisco 49ers
11-4
San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 29 | 01:20 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | NBC

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

Let's talk about what matters here. This Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers game has my attention. At 11-4 and 11-4 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

What really matters is The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 329 per game while Chicago Bears sits at 343. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Chicago Bears has the edge.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. San Francisco 49ers at 8-7 against the spread. Chicago Bears is 7-8. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 6-1 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 11-4 | Chicago Bears: 11-4
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 18.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
Washington Commanders
4-12
Washington Commanders
Thursday, Dec 25 | 06:00 PM ET | Northwest Stadium | Netflix

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Here's why I'm confident: I've been breaking down the Dallas Cowboys-Washington Commanders matchup all week. Dallas Cowboys sits at 7-8-1 while Washington Commanders is 4-12 heading into this crucial contest.

On top of that, Offensively, we're looking at 22.4 vs 27.5 PPG. Defensively, Washington Commanders gives up 18.9 while Dallas Cowboys allows 25.0. The matchup favors Dallas Cowboys.

look, Washington Commanders is 9-7 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Washington Commanders is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Washington Commanders: 4-12 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
Washington Commanders allows 21.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Washington Commanders , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, Dec 25 | 09:30 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | Netflix

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

I love this spot. Detroit Lions (8-8) heads to U.S. Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota Vikings (8-8) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

But here's the thing - Minnesota Vikings is averaging 21.3 points per game with a defense allowing 21.6 PPG. Detroit Lions counters with 22.5 PPG and a 20.1 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Minnesota Vikings at 5-5 against the spread. Detroit Lions is 8-4. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
13-3
@
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:15 AM ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Prime Video

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

I've watched the tape. Denver Broncos (13-3) heads to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on Kansas City Chiefs (6-10) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Consider this: Offensively, we're looking at 20.5 vs 24.8 PPG. Defensively, Kansas City Chiefs gives up 20.6 while Denver Broncos allows 23.1. The matchup favors Denver Broncos.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Kansas City Chiefs covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Kansas City Chiefs is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10 | Denver Broncos: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Kansas City Chiefs allows 23.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Kansas City Chiefs , sharp action noted
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
11-5
@
Los Angeles Chargers
11-5
Los Angeles Chargers
Saturday, Dec 27 | 09:30 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | NFL Net

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

I keep coming back to this game. Houston Texans (11-5) heads to SoFi Stadium to take on Los Angeles Chargers (11-5) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Consider this: The yardage tells a story - Los Angeles Chargers gains 331 per game while Houston Texans sits at 354. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Chargers has the edge.

honestly, Los Angeles Chargers is 5-6 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Los Angeles Chargers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5 | Houston Texans: 11-5
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Chargers allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Chargers , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
8-8
@
Green Bay Packers
9-6-1
Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Lambeau Field | Peacock

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

The value here is obvious. This Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers game has my attention. At 8-8 and 9-6-1 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Think about it: The yardage tells a story - Green Bay Packers gains 348 per game while Baltimore Ravens sits at 344. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Baltimore Ravens has the edge.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Green Bay Packers covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Green Bay Packers is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Green Bay Packers: 9-6-1 | Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Green Bay Packers allows 19.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Green Bay Packers , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
11-4
@
Atlanta Falcons
6-9
Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:15 AM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | ESPN

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

I've crunched the numbers. Los Angeles Rams (11-4) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (6-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Think about it: Atlanta Falcons is averaging 24.3 points per game with a defense allowing 22.0 PPG. Los Angeles Rams counters with 27.5 PPG and a 22.6 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Atlanta Falcons at 7-4 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 7-7. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 6-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 21.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted