Houston Texans
Houston Texans
10-5
@
Los Angeles Chargers
11-4
Los Angeles Chargers
Saturday, Dec 27 | 09:30 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | NFL Net

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Here's what the market is missing: Houston Texans (10-5) heads to SoFi Stadium to take on Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The real story is The yardage tells a story - Los Angeles Chargers gains 344 per game while Houston Texans sits at 337. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Chargers has the edge.

realistically, ATS records matter. Los Angeles Chargers at 7-4 against the spread. Houston Texans is 6-8. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Los Angeles Chargers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Chargers: 11-4 | Houston Texans: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Chargers allows 20.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Chargers , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
7-8
@
Green Bay Packers
9-5-1
Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Lambeau Field | Peacock

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

I've watched the tape. Baltimore Ravens (7-8) heads to Lambeau Field to take on Green Bay Packers (9-5-1) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Think about it: The yardage tells a story - Green Bay Packers gains 331 per game while Baltimore Ravens sits at 354. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Baltimore Ravens has the edge.

straight up, Green Bay Packers is 6-6 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Green Bay Packers is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Green Bay Packers: 9-5-1 | Baltimore Ravens: 7-8
Scoring Defense
Green Bay Packers allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Green Bay Packers , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
Washington Commanders
4-12
Washington Commanders
Thursday, Dec 25 | 06:00 PM ET | Northwest Stadium | Netflix

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

The value here is obvious. Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) heads to Northwest Stadium to take on Washington Commanders (4-12) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Here's the kicker: Washington Commanders is averaging 25.5 points per game with a defense allowing 23.7 PPG. Dallas Cowboys counters with 20.3 PPG and a 20.1 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: Washington Commanders is 9-4 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Washington Commanders is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Washington Commanders: 4-12 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
Washington Commanders allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Washington Commanders , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, Dec 25 | 09:30 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | Netflix

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Don't overthink this. I've been breaking down the Detroit Lions-Minnesota Vikings matchup all week. Detroit Lions sits at 8-8 while Minnesota Vikings is 8-8 heading into this crucial contest.

Plus, Offensively, we're looking at 23.7 vs 21.6 PPG. Defensively, Minnesota Vikings gives up 25.9 while Detroit Lions allows 22.3. The matchup favors Minnesota Vikings.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Minnesota Vikings covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 19.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
13-3
@
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:15 AM ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Prime Video

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. I've been breaking down the Denver Broncos-Kansas City Chiefs matchup all week. Denver Broncos sits at 13-3 while Kansas City Chiefs is 6-10 heading into this crucial contest.

I keep coming back to Kansas City Chiefs is averaging 27.1 points per game with a defense allowing 25.4 PPG. Denver Broncos counters with 22.9 PPG and a 25.0 PPG defensive mark.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Kansas City Chiefs covers consistently (7-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Kansas City Chiefs is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10 | Denver Broncos: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Kansas City Chiefs allows 19.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Kansas City Chiefs , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
5-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features Arizona Cardinals (3-12) traveling to Paycor Stadium where Cincinnati Bengals (5-10) waits. This game matters.

What really matters is The yardage tells a story - Cincinnati Bengals gains 377 per game while Arizona Cardinals sits at 340. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Arizona Cardinals has the edge.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Cincinnati Bengals covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 5-10 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 23.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-6
@
Cleveland Browns
3-12
Cleveland Browns
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field | CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Here's why I'm confident: I've been breaking down the Pittsburgh Steelers-Cleveland Browns matchup all week. Pittsburgh Steelers sits at 9-6 while Cleveland Browns is 3-12 heading into this crucial contest.

Don't forget - Offensively, we're looking at 26.5 vs 26.7 PPG. Defensively, Cleveland Browns gives up 25.5 while Pittsburgh Steelers allows 18.9. The matchup favors Cleveland Browns.

straight up, Cleveland Browns is 9-5 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Cleveland Browns is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Browns: 3-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-6
Scoring Defense
Cleveland Browns allows 19.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Browns , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
5-10
@
Tennessee Titans
3-12
Tennessee Titans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Nissan Stadium | CBS

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Let's talk about what matters here. I've been breaking down the New Orleans Saints-Tennessee Titans matchup all week. New Orleans Saints sits at 5-10 while Tennessee Titans is 3-12 heading into this crucial contest.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 27.3 vs 26.3 PPG. Defensively, Tennessee Titans gives up 22.9 while New Orleans Saints allows 25.5. The matchup favors New Orleans Saints.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: Tennessee Titans covers consistently (5-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Tennessee Titans is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Tennessee Titans: 3-12 | New Orleans Saints: 5-10
Scoring Defense
Tennessee Titans allows 21.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tennessee Titans , sharp action noted
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
11-4
@
Indianapolis Colts
8-7
Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | FOX

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Look, Jacksonville Jaguars (11-4) heads to Lucas Oil Stadium to take on Indianapolis Colts (8-7) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

The real story is The yardage tells a story - Indianapolis Colts gains 345 per game while Jacksonville Jaguars sits at 368. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Indianapolis Colts has the edge.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Indianapolis Colts covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Indianapolis Colts is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Indianapolis Colts: 8-7 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Indianapolis Colts allows 22.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Indianapolis Colts , sharp action noted
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-8
@
Miami Dolphins
6-9
Miami Dolphins
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Hard Rock Stadium | FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

I've been studying this one all week. I've been breaking down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Miami Dolphins matchup all week. Tampa Bay Buccaneers sits at 7-8 while Miami Dolphins is 6-9 heading into this crucial contest.

Here's what I'm seeing: The yardage tells a story - Miami Dolphins gains 346 per game while Tampa Bay Buccaneers sits at 369. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Miami Dolphins has the edge.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Miami Dolphins covers consistently (8-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Miami Dolphins is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Miami Dolphins: 6-9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-8
Scoring Defense
Miami Dolphins allows 19.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Miami Dolphins , sharp action noted
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
12-3
@
New York Jets
3-12
New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

This line doesn't make sense. The NFL Week 16 slate features New England Patriots (12-3) traveling to MetLife Stadium where New York Jets (3-12) waits. This game matters.

But here's the thing - New York Jets is averaging 21.5 points per game with a defense allowing 23.2 PPG. New England Patriots counters with 20.8 PPG and a 22.5 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: New York Jets is 9-4 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
New York Jets is 6-1 at home this season
Records
New York Jets: 3-12 | New England Patriots: 12-3
Scoring Defense
New York Jets allows 20.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Jets , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
12-3
@
Carolina Panthers
8-7
Carolina Panthers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | CBS

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Let me break this down. I've been breaking down the Seattle Seahawks-Carolina Panthers matchup all week. Seattle Seahawks sits at 12-3 while Carolina Panthers is 8-7 heading into this crucial contest.

What really matters is The yardage tells a story - Carolina Panthers gains 349 per game while Seattle Seahawks sits at 338. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Carolina Panthers has the edge.

straight up, Carolina Panthers is 7-3 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-7 | Seattle Seahawks: 12-3
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 23.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
New York Giants
New York Giants
2-13
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-13
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

Trust me on this one. The NFL Week 16 slate features New York Giants (2-13) traveling to Allegiant Stadium where Las Vegas Raiders (2-13) waits. This game matters.

What really matters is Las Vegas Raiders is averaging 22.6 points per game with a defense allowing 22.3 PPG. New York Giants counters with 27.8 PPG and a 24.7 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (9-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-13 | New York Giants: 2-13
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 20.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
10-5
@
Buffalo Bills
11-4
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | FOX

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Pay attention to this one. I've been breaking down the Philadelphia Eagles-Buffalo Bills matchup all week. Philadelphia Eagles sits at 10-5 while Buffalo Bills is 11-4 heading into this crucial contest.

Plus, The yardage tells a story - Buffalo Bills gains 342 per game while Philadelphia Eagles sits at 355. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Philadelphia Eagles has the edge.

realistically, Buffalo Bills is 5-3 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-4 | Philadelphia Eagles: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 21.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
11-4
@
San Francisco 49ers
11-4
San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 29 | 01:20 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | NBC

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

This is one of my favorite spots. This Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers game has my attention. At 11-4 and 11-4 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Consider this: Offensively, we're looking at 20.4 vs 26.1 PPG. Defensively, San Francisco 49ers gives up 21.3 while Chicago Bears allows 20.6. The matchup favors Chicago Bears.

look, San Francisco 49ers is 6-3 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 11-4 | Chicago Bears: 11-4
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 22.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
11-4
@
Atlanta Falcons
6-9
Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:15 AM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | ESPN

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

Let me be real - The NFL Week 16 slate features Los Angeles Rams (11-4) traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium where Atlanta Falcons (6-9) waits. This game matters.

Consider this: Atlanta Falcons is averaging 23.7 points per game with a defense allowing 19.0 PPG. Los Angeles Rams counters with 24.0 PPG and a 23.2 PPG defensive mark.

truth is, Atlanta Falcons is 7-6 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 6-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted