Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
Washington Commanders
4-12
Washington Commanders
Thursday, Dec 25 | 06:00 PM ET | Northwest Stadium | Netflix

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Here's what the market is missing: This Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders game has my attention. At 7-8-1 and 4-12 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - Washington Commanders gains 346 per game while Dallas Cowboys sits at 356. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Dallas Cowboys has the edge.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. Washington Commanders at 6-7 against the spread. Dallas Cowboys is 7-4. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Washington Commanders is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Washington Commanders: 4-12 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
Washington Commanders allows 23.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Washington Commanders , sharp action noted
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-8
@
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, Dec 25 | 09:30 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | Netflix

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Everyone's sleeping on this. This Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings game has my attention. At 8-8 and 8-8 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

But here's the thing - Minnesota Vikings is averaging 28.0 points per game with a defense allowing 24.2 PPG. Detroit Lions counters with 26.8 PPG and a 20.6 PPG defensive mark.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Minnesota Vikings covers consistently (6-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 8-8 | Detroit Lions: 8-8
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 22.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
13-3
@
Kansas City Chiefs
6-10
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:15 AM ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Prime Video

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Here's what stands out: Denver Broncos (13-3) heads to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on Kansas City Chiefs (6-10) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Factor this in: Offensively, we're looking at 25.7 vs 22.3 PPG. Defensively, Kansas City Chiefs gives up 21.3 while Denver Broncos allows 21.5. The matchup favors Kansas City Chiefs.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Kansas City Chiefs at 8-6 against the spread. Denver Broncos is 6-5. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Kansas City Chiefs is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-10 | Denver Broncos: 13-3
Scoring Defense
Kansas City Chiefs allows 21.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Kansas City Chiefs , sharp action noted
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
10-5
@
Los Angeles Chargers
11-4
Los Angeles Chargers
Saturday, Dec 27 | 09:30 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | NFL Net

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

I've watched the tape. Houston Texans (10-5) heads to SoFi Stadium to take on Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

What stands out is The yardage tells a story - Los Angeles Chargers gains 366 per game while Houston Texans sits at 353. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Houston Texans has the edge.

look, ATS records matter. Los Angeles Chargers at 7-3 against the spread. Houston Texans is 6-5. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Los Angeles Chargers is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Chargers: 11-4 | Houston Texans: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Chargers allows 23.9 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Chargers , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
7-8
@
Green Bay Packers
9-5-1
Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Lambeau Field | Peacock

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

Let me be real - The NFL Week 16 slate features Baltimore Ravens (7-8) traveling to Lambeau Field where Green Bay Packers (9-5-1) waits. This game matters.

Think about it: Offensively, we're looking at 24.3 vs 25.8 PPG. Defensively, Green Bay Packers gives up 25.3 while Baltimore Ravens allows 20.8. The matchup favors Green Bay Packers.

I mean, Green Bay Packers is 8-3 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Green Bay Packers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Green Bay Packers: 9-5-1 | Baltimore Ravens: 7-8
Scoring Defense
Green Bay Packers allows 22.8 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Green Bay Packers , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
5-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

I've crunched the numbers. I've been breaking down the Arizona Cardinals-Cincinnati Bengals matchup all week. Arizona Cardinals sits at 3-12 while Cincinnati Bengals is 5-10 heading into this crucial contest.

Now, The yardage tells a story - Cincinnati Bengals gains 338 per game while Arizona Cardinals sits at 353. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Cincinnati Bengals has the edge.

straight up, ATS records matter. Cincinnati Bengals at 8-5 against the spread. Arizona Cardinals is 5-7. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 5-10 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 23.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-6
@
Cleveland Browns
3-12
Cleveland Browns
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field | CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

The sharps are all over this. The NFL Week 16 slate features Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) traveling to Huntington Bank Field where Cleveland Browns (3-12) waits. This game matters.

Don't forget - The yardage tells a story - Cleveland Browns gains 332 per game while Pittsburgh Steelers sits at 339. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Pittsburgh Steelers has the edge.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Cleveland Browns at 6-5 against the spread. Pittsburgh Steelers is 8-7. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Cleveland Browns is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Browns: 3-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-6
Scoring Defense
Cleveland Browns allows 22.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Browns , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
5-10
@
Tennessee Titans
3-12
Tennessee Titans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Nissan Stadium | CBS

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Here's the thing: New Orleans Saints (5-10) heads to Nissan Stadium to take on Tennessee Titans (3-12) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

On top of that, Tennessee Titans is averaging 21.0 points per game with a defense allowing 23.1 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 20.4 PPG and a 23.8 PPG defensive mark.

truth is, ATS records matter. Tennessee Titans at 6-6 against the spread. New Orleans Saints is 5-5. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Tennessee Titans is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Tennessee Titans: 3-12 | New Orleans Saints: 5-10
Scoring Defense
Tennessee Titans allows 19.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tennessee Titans , sharp action noted
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
11-4
@
Indianapolis Colts
8-7
Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | FOX

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Here's why I'm confident: This Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts game has my attention. At 11-4 and 8-7 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

On top of that, Indianapolis Colts is averaging 21.6 points per game with a defense allowing 23.4 PPG. Jacksonville Jaguars counters with 27.9 PPG and a 22.8 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, ATS records matter. Indianapolis Colts at 8-4 against the spread. Jacksonville Jaguars is 5-8. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Indianapolis Colts is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Indianapolis Colts: 8-7 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Indianapolis Colts allows 20.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Indianapolis Colts , sharp action noted
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-8
@
Miami Dolphins
6-9
Miami Dolphins
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Hard Rock Stadium | FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

Sometimes the obvious play is right. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) heads to Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Dolphins (6-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Here's what I'm seeing: Miami Dolphins is averaging 25.8 points per game with a defense allowing 25.3 PPG. Tampa Bay Buccaneers counters with 27.3 PPG and a 21.1 PPG defensive mark.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Miami Dolphins covers consistently (8-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Miami Dolphins is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Miami Dolphins: 6-9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-8
Scoring Defense
Miami Dolphins allows 23.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Miami Dolphins , sharp action noted
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
12-3
@
New York Jets
3-12
New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Look, This New England Patriots at New York Jets game has my attention. At 12-3 and 3-12 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Here's where it gets interesting: New York Jets is averaging 26.7 points per game with a defense allowing 22.2 PPG. New England Patriots counters with 26.9 PPG and a 18.3 PPG defensive mark.

look, ATS records matter. New York Jets at 5-4 against the spread. New England Patriots is 7-4. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
New York Jets is 6-2 at home this season
Records
New York Jets: 3-12 | New England Patriots: 12-3
Scoring Defense
New York Jets allows 19.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Jets , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
12-3
@
Carolina Panthers
8-7
Carolina Panthers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | CBS

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Let me break this down. Seattle Seahawks (12-3) heads to Bank of America Stadium to take on Carolina Panthers (8-7) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

I keep coming back to Offensively, we're looking at 21.4 vs 27.6 PPG. Defensively, Carolina Panthers gives up 23.0 while Seattle Seahawks allows 20.6. The matchup favors Seattle Seahawks.

honestly, ATS records matter. Carolina Panthers at 8-5 against the spread. Seattle Seahawks is 5-6. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-7 | Seattle Seahawks: 12-3
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 19.0 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
New York Giants
New York Giants
2-13
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-13
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

This is one of my favorite spots. The NFL Week 16 slate features New York Giants (2-13) traveling to Allegiant Stadium where Las Vegas Raiders (2-13) waits. This game matters.

What stands out is Offensively, we're looking at 20.6 vs 21.4 PPG. Defensively, Las Vegas Raiders gives up 18.9 while New York Giants allows 22.1. The matchup favors New York Giants.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Las Vegas Raiders covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Lock it in.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-13 | New York Giants: 2-13
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 23.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
10-5
@
Buffalo Bills
11-4
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | FOX

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. I've been breaking down the Philadelphia Eagles-Buffalo Bills matchup all week. Philadelphia Eagles sits at 10-5 while Buffalo Bills is 11-4 heading into this crucial contest.

What really matters is Buffalo Bills is averaging 25.9 points per game with a defense allowing 23.3 PPG. Philadelphia Eagles counters with 21.2 PPG and a 23.4 PPG defensive mark.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Buffalo Bills covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-4 | Philadelphia Eagles: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 22.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
11-4
@
San Francisco 49ers
11-4
San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 29 | 01:20 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | NBC

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

I love this spot. The NFL Week 16 slate features Chicago Bears (11-4) traveling to Levi's Stadium where San Francisco 49ers (11-4) waits. This game matters.

What stands out is The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 364 per game while Chicago Bears sits at 360. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Chicago Bears has the edge.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. San Francisco 49ers at 6-3 against the spread. Chicago Bears is 7-4. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 11-4 | Chicago Bears: 11-4
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 18.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
11-4
@
Atlanta Falcons
6-9
Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:15 AM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | ESPN

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

The value here is obvious. Los Angeles Rams (11-4) heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Atlanta Falcons (6-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

On top of that, Atlanta Falcons is averaging 20.2 points per game with a defense allowing 21.9 PPG. Los Angeles Rams counters with 26.1 PPG and a 24.3 PPG defensive mark.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Atlanta Falcons at 8-6 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 4-6. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 6-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 21.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted