Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
8-7
@
Minnesota Vikings
7-8
Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, Dec 25 | 09:30 PM ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | Netflix

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Sometimes the obvious play is right. This Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings game has my attention. At 8-7 and 7-8 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

Consider this: The yardage tells a story - Minnesota Vikings gains 363 per game while Detroit Lions sits at 347. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Detroit Lions has the edge.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Minnesota Vikings covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Minnesota Vikings is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Vikings: 7-8 | Detroit Lions: 8-7
Scoring Defense
Minnesota Vikings allows 18.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Vikings , sharp action noted
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
7-8-1
@
Washington Commanders
4-12
Washington Commanders
Thursday, Dec 25 | 06:00 PM ET | Northwest Stadium | Netflix

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Let me be real - Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) heads to Northwest Stadium to take on Washington Commanders (4-12) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Here's where it gets interesting: The yardage tells a story - Washington Commanders gains 345 per game while Dallas Cowboys sits at 341. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Washington Commanders has the edge.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Washington Commanders at 9-6 against the spread. Dallas Cowboys is 7-4. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Washington Commanders is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Washington Commanders: 4-12 | Dallas Cowboys: 7-8-1
Scoring Defense
Washington Commanders allows 21.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Washington Commanders , sharp action noted
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
12-3
@
Kansas City Chiefs
6-9
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:15 AM ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | Prime Video

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

I've watched the tape. The NFL Week 16 slate features Denver Broncos (12-3) traveling to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium where Kansas City Chiefs (6-9) waits. This game matters.

You have to consider The yardage tells a story - Kansas City Chiefs gains 362 per game while Denver Broncos sits at 326. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Denver Broncos has the edge.

at the end of the day, Kansas City Chiefs is 9-3 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Kansas City Chiefs is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-9 | Denver Broncos: 12-3
Scoring Defense
Kansas City Chiefs allows 21.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Kansas City Chiefs , sharp action noted
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
10-5
@
Los Angeles Chargers
11-4
Los Angeles Chargers
Saturday, Dec 27 | 09:30 PM ET | SoFi Stadium | NFL Net

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trust me on this one. I've been breaking down the Houston Texans-Los Angeles Chargers matchup all week. Houston Texans sits at 10-5 while Los Angeles Chargers is 11-4 heading into this crucial contest.

I keep coming back to The yardage tells a story - Los Angeles Chargers gains 378 per game while Houston Texans sits at 342. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Los Angeles Chargers has the edge.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Los Angeles Chargers covers consistently (5-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Los Angeles Chargers is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Chargers: 11-4 | Houston Texans: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Los Angeles Chargers allows 21.6 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Chargers , sharp action noted
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
7-8
@
Green Bay Packers
9-5-1
Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Lambeau Field | Peacock

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

Here's what the market is missing: Baltimore Ravens (7-8) heads to Lambeau Field to take on Green Bay Packers (9-5-1) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

It's worth noting The yardage tells a story - Green Bay Packers gains 365 per game while Baltimore Ravens sits at 369. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Green Bay Packers has the edge.

look, ATS records matter. Green Bay Packers at 6-3 against the spread. Baltimore Ravens is 6-8. The value is clear. Lock it in.

Home Field
Green Bay Packers is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Green Bay Packers: 9-5-1 | Baltimore Ravens: 7-8
Scoring Defense
Green Bay Packers allows 20.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Green Bay Packers , sharp action noted
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
3-12
@
Cincinnati Bengals
5-10
Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Paycor Stadium | FOX

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

I've crunched the numbers. The NFL Week 16 slate features Arizona Cardinals (3-12) traveling to Paycor Stadium where Cincinnati Bengals (5-10) waits. This game matters.

Here's where it gets interesting: Offensively, we're looking at 22.1 vs 23.7 PPG. Defensively, Cincinnati Bengals gives up 21.2 while Arizona Cardinals allows 18.9. The matchup favors Cincinnati Bengals.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Cincinnati Bengals covers consistently (9-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Cincinnati Bengals is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 5-10 | Arizona Cardinals: 3-12
Scoring Defense
Cincinnati Bengals allows 20.4 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cincinnati Bengals , sharp action noted
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
9-6
@
Cleveland Browns
3-12
Cleveland Browns
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field | CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Let me break this down. This Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns game has my attention. At 9-6 and 3-12 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

You have to consider Cleveland Browns is averaging 25.0 points per game with a defense allowing 25.2 PPG. Pittsburgh Steelers counters with 24.7 PPG and a 23.9 PPG defensive mark.

I mean, ATS records matter. Cleveland Browns at 9-5 against the spread. Pittsburgh Steelers is 5-7. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Cleveland Browns is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Browns: 3-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-6
Scoring Defense
Cleveland Browns allows 18.3 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Browns , sharp action noted
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
5-10
@
Tennessee Titans
3-12
Tennessee Titans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Nissan Stadium | CBS

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Here's what stands out: I've been breaking down the New Orleans Saints-Tennessee Titans matchup all week. New Orleans Saints sits at 5-10 while Tennessee Titans is 3-12 heading into this crucial contest.

The key factor is Tennessee Titans is averaging 22.8 points per game with a defense allowing 25.5 PPG. New Orleans Saints counters with 23.0 PPG and a 20.8 PPG defensive mark.

simply put, Tennessee Titans is 6-5 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Tennessee Titans is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Tennessee Titans: 3-12 | New Orleans Saints: 5-10
Scoring Defense
Tennessee Titans allows 23.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Tennessee Titans , sharp action noted
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
11-4
@
Indianapolis Colts
8-7
Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | FOX

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

I keep coming back to this game. I've been breaking down the Jacksonville Jaguars-Indianapolis Colts matchup all week. Jacksonville Jaguars sits at 11-4 while Indianapolis Colts is 8-7 heading into this crucial contest.

Plus, Offensively, we're looking at 22.0 vs 25.2 PPG. Defensively, Indianapolis Colts gives up 21.6 while Jacksonville Jaguars allows 25.3. The matchup favors Jacksonville Jaguars.

at the end of the day, Indianapolis Colts is 5-3 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Indianapolis Colts is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Indianapolis Colts: 8-7 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Indianapolis Colts allows 19.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Indianapolis Colts , sharp action noted
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-8
@
Miami Dolphins
6-9
Miami Dolphins
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Hard Rock Stadium | FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins

Pay attention to this one. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) heads to Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Dolphins (6-9) in what shapes up as a pivotal Week 16 matchup.

Consider this: Miami Dolphins is averaging 25.7 points per game with a defense allowing 21.2 PPG. Tampa Bay Buccaneers counters with 22.2 PPG and a 24.5 PPG defensive mark.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Miami Dolphins covers consistently (7-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Miami Dolphins is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Miami Dolphins: 6-9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-8
Scoring Defense
Miami Dolphins allows 23.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Miami Dolphins , sharp action noted
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
12-3
@
New York Jets
3-12
New York Jets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | MetLife Stadium | FOX

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

This line doesn't make sense. This New England Patriots at New York Jets game has my attention. At 12-3 and 3-12 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

The key factor is The yardage tells a story - New York Jets gains 363 per game while New England Patriots sits at 363. When you factor in defensive efficiency, New England Patriots has the edge.

at the end of the day, New York Jets is 8-3 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
New York Jets is 5-3 at home this season
Records
New York Jets: 3-12 | New England Patriots: 12-3
Scoring Defense
New York Jets allows 21.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened New York Jets , sharp action noted
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
12-3
@
Carolina Panthers
8-7
Carolina Panthers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 06:00 PM ET | Bank of America Stadium | CBS

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Let's talk about what matters here. This Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers game has my attention. At 12-3 and 8-7 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

And look, Offensively, we're looking at 27.6 vs 20.5 PPG. Defensively, Carolina Panthers gives up 20.7 while Seattle Seahawks allows 20.5. The matchup favors Carolina Panthers.

straight up, Carolina Panthers is 8-5 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Carolina Panthers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Carolina Panthers: 8-7 | Seattle Seahawks: 12-3
Scoring Defense
Carolina Panthers allows 22.7 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Carolina Panthers , sharp action noted
New York Giants
New York Giants
2-13
@
Las Vegas Raiders
2-13
Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium | CBS

New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders

I love this spot. The NFL Week 16 slate features New York Giants (2-13) traveling to Allegiant Stadium where Las Vegas Raiders (2-13) waits. This game matters.

Here's the kicker: The yardage tells a story - Las Vegas Raiders gains 371 per game while New York Giants sits at 362. When you factor in defensive efficiency, New York Giants has the edge.

honestly, Las Vegas Raiders is 6-5 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Las Vegas Raiders is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-13 | New York Giants: 2-13
Scoring Defense
Las Vegas Raiders allows 18.5 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Las Vegas Raiders , sharp action noted
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
10-5
@
Buffalo Bills
11-4
Buffalo Bills
Sunday, Dec 28 | 09:25 PM ET | Highmark Stadium | FOX

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

Don't overthink this. The NFL Week 16 slate features Philadelphia Eagles (10-5) traveling to Highmark Stadium where Buffalo Bills (11-4) waits. This game matters.

Here's the kicker: The yardage tells a story - Buffalo Bills gains 332 per game while Philadelphia Eagles sits at 379. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Buffalo Bills has the edge.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Buffalo Bills covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Buffalo Bills is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Buffalo Bills: 11-4 | Philadelphia Eagles: 10-5
Scoring Defense
Buffalo Bills allows 23.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Buffalo Bills , sharp action noted
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
11-4
@
San Francisco 49ers
11-4
San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 29 | 01:20 AM ET | Levi's Stadium | NBC

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

Everyone's sleeping on this. This Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers game has my attention. At 11-4 and 11-4 respectively, both teams have a lot riding on this one.

What really matters is The yardage tells a story - San Francisco 49ers gains 332 per game while Chicago Bears sits at 355. When you factor in defensive efficiency, Chicago Bears has the edge.

simply put, San Francisco 49ers is 5-3 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
San Francisco 49ers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
San Francisco 49ers: 11-4 | Chicago Bears: 11-4
Scoring Defense
San Francisco 49ers allows 22.1 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened San Francisco 49ers , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
11-4
@
Atlanta Falcons
6-9
Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:15 AM ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | ESPN

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

The numbers are screaming at us. The NFL Week 16 slate features Los Angeles Rams (11-4) traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium where Atlanta Falcons (6-9) waits. This game matters.

Don't forget - Atlanta Falcons is averaging 22.4 points per game with a defense allowing 22.6 PPG. Los Angeles Rams counters with 23.6 PPG and a 19.5 PPG defensive mark.

honestly, ATS records matter. Atlanta Falcons at 5-5 against the spread. Los Angeles Rams is 8-7. The value is clear. This line is off.

Home Field
Atlanta Falcons is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Falcons: 6-9 | Los Angeles Rams: 11-4
Scoring Defense
Atlanta Falcons allows 20.2 PPG (Top 15)
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Falcons , sharp action noted