Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
20-17
@
Indiana Pacers
6-30
Indiana Pacers
Wednesday, Jan 07 | 12:00 AM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN IN

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Let's talk about what matters here. Tonight's Cleveland Cavaliers-Indiana Pacers game is one I've circled. Records of 20-17 and 6-30 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Consider this: Indiana Pacers is putting up 119.7 PPG at home. Cleveland Cavaliers scores 114.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, Indiana Pacers is 5-3 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 6-30 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 20-17
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 114.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
20-16
@
Washington Wizards
9-25
Washington Wizards
Wednesday, Jan 07 | 12:00 AM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards

Trust me on this one. Let's break down Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards. At 20-16 versus 9-25, these teams are heading in different directions.

What really matters is The offensive numbers: Washington Wizards at 111.6 PPG, Orlando Magic at 112.9. Factor in pace (100.8 vs 101.6) and you see where this is heading.

straight up, Washington Wizards is 5-4 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 9-25 | Orlando Magic: 20-16
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 117.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
25-10
@
Memphis Grizzlies
15-20
Memphis Grizzlies
Wednesday, Jan 07 | 01:00 AM ET | FedExForum | FanDuel SN SE

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies

Here's what stands out: The Association delivers another loaded slate, and San Antonio Spurs (25-10) visiting Memphis Grizzlies (15-20) stands out.

Factor this in: The offensive numbers: Memphis Grizzlies at 112.1 PPG, San Antonio Spurs at 117.6. Factor in pace (101.9 vs 99.7) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Memphis Grizzlies at 6-4 against the spread. San Antonio Spurs is 8-8. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Memphis Grizzlies is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Memphis Grizzlies: 15-20 | San Antonio Spurs: 25-10
Offensive Rating
Memphis Grizzlies: 113.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Memphis Grizzlies , sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
20-16
@
Minnesota Timberwolves
23-13
Minnesota Timberwolves
Wednesday, Jan 07 | 01:00 AM ET | Target Center | NBC

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

I've been studying this one all week. Let's break down Miami Heat at Minnesota Timberwolves. At 20-16 versus 23-13, these teams are heading in different directions.

You have to consider Minnesota Timberwolves is putting up 114.9 PPG at home. Miami Heat scores 108.5 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Minnesota Timberwolves at 9-6 against the spread. Miami Heat is 6-5. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Minnesota Timberwolves is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Timberwolves: 23-13 | Miami Heat: 20-16
Offensive Rating
Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Timberwolves , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
22-11
@
New Orleans Pelicans
8-29
New Orleans Pelicans
Wednesday, Jan 07 | 01:00 AM ET | Smoothie King Center | Spectrum Sports Net

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sometimes the obvious play is right. Let's break down Los Angeles Lakers at New Orleans Pelicans. At 22-11 versus 8-29, these teams are heading in different directions.

Think about it: The offensive numbers: New Orleans Pelicans at 116.6 PPG, Los Angeles Lakers at 111.0. Factor in pace (97.7 vs 98.3) and you see where this is heading.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: New Orleans Pelicans covers consistently (6-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 7-3 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 8-29 | Los Angeles Lakers: 22-11
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 117.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
13-23
@
Sacramento Kings
8-28
Sacramento Kings
Wednesday, Jan 07 | 04:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | NBC

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

The numbers are screaming at us. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings matchup has some interesting angles. Dallas Mavericks is 13-23 on the year while Sacramento Kings sits at 8-28.

Think about it: Pace tells the story - Sacramento Kings plays at 100.1 while Dallas Mavericks runs at 97.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

straight up, ATS records matter. Sacramento Kings at 6-5 against the spread. Dallas Mavericks is 5-4. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 8-28 | Dallas Mavericks: 13-23
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 113.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings , sharp action noted