San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
24-9
@
Indiana Pacers
6-28
Indiana Pacers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 12:00 AM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN IN

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers

Everyone's sleeping on this. NBA scheduling is everything, and this San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers matchup has some interesting angles. San Antonio Spurs is 24-9 on the year while Indiana Pacers sits at 6-28.

On top of that, Indiana Pacers is putting up 117.6 PPG at home. San Antonio Spurs scores 110.5 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, Indiana Pacers is 8-7 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 6-28 | San Antonio Spurs: 24-9
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 113.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers , sharp action noted
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
10-21
@
Washington Wizards
8-24
Washington Wizards
Saturday, Jan 03 | 12:00 AM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards

Let's talk about what matters here. Tonight's Brooklyn Nets-Washington Wizards game is one I've circled. Records of 10-21 and 8-24 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

It's worth noting Pace tells the story - Washington Wizards plays at 97.7 while Brooklyn Nets runs at 98.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

straight up, Washington Wizards is 6-4 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 8-24 | Brooklyn Nets: 10-21
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 113.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
23-10
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
19-16
Cleveland Cavaliers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 12:30 AM ET | Rocket Arena | Prime Video

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Look, Let's break down Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers. At 23-10 versus 19-16, these teams are heading in different directions.

On top of that, The offensive numbers: Cleveland Cavaliers at 111.0 PPG, Denver Nuggets at 114.3. Factor in pace (101.3 vs 98.3) and you see where this is heading.

realistically, The betting trends are clear: Cleveland Cavaliers covers consistently (5-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Cleveland Cavaliers is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Cavaliers: 19-16 | Denver Nuggets: 23-10
Offensive Rating
Cleveland Cavaliers: 116.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Cavaliers , sharp action noted
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
16-19
@
New York Knicks
23-10
New York Knicks
Saturday, Jan 03 | 12:30 AM ET | Madison Square Garden | MSG

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks

The data doesn't lie. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks matchup has some interesting angles. Atlanta Hawks is 16-19 on the year while New York Knicks sits at 23-10.

Factor this in: Pace tells the story - New York Knicks plays at 97.7 while Atlanta Hawks runs at 102.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

truth is, ATS records matter. New York Knicks at 8-6 against the spread. Atlanta Hawks is 8-4. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 4-3 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 23-10 | Atlanta Hawks: 16-19
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 115.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
19-15
@
Chicago Bulls
16-17
Chicago Bulls
Saturday, Jan 03 | 01:00 AM ET | United Center | CHSN

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls

I love this spot. Let's break down Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls. At 19-15 versus 16-17, these teams are heading in different directions.

It's worth noting The offensive numbers: Chicago Bulls at 110.9 PPG, Orlando Magic at 118.3. Factor in pace (101.9 vs 100.8) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Chicago Bulls covers consistently (6-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 16-17 | Orlando Magic: 19-15
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 113.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls , sharp action noted
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
11-22
@
Milwaukee Bucks
14-20
Milwaukee Bucks
Saturday, Jan 03 | 01:00 AM ET | Fiserv Forum | FanDuel SN SE

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks

I've watched the tape. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Charlotte Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks matchup has some interesting angles. Charlotte Hornets is 11-22 on the year while Milwaukee Bucks sits at 14-20.

The key factor is Pace tells the story - Milwaukee Bucks plays at 99.2 while Charlotte Hornets runs at 97.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

look, The betting trends are clear: Milwaukee Bucks covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Milwaukee Bucks is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 14-20 | Charlotte Hornets: 11-22
Offensive Rating
Milwaukee Bucks: 117.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Milwaukee Bucks , sharp action noted
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
14-20
@
New Orleans Pelicans
8-27
New Orleans Pelicans
Saturday, Jan 03 | 01:00 AM ET | Smoothie King Center | GCSEN

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Here's the thing: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans matchup has some interesting angles. Portland Trail Blazers is 14-20 on the year while New Orleans Pelicans sits at 8-27.

And look, The offensive numbers: New Orleans Pelicans at 115.2 PPG, Portland Trail Blazers at 108.3. Factor in pace (100.1 vs 100.2) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, New Orleans Pelicans is 5-3 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 7-1 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 8-27 | Portland Trail Blazers: 14-20
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 113.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
8-26
@
Phoenix Suns
19-14
Phoenix Suns
Saturday, Jan 03 | 02:00 AM ET | Mortgage Matchup Center | NBC Sports CA

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns

Here's what the market is missing: Tonight's Sacramento Kings-Phoenix Suns game is one I've circled. Records of 8-26 and 19-14 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Now, Phoenix Suns is putting up 110.5 PPG at home. Sacramento Kings scores 110.7 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

at the end of the day, Phoenix Suns is 5-3 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Phoenix Suns is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Phoenix Suns: 19-14 | Sacramento Kings: 8-26
Offensive Rating
Phoenix Suns: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Phoenix Suns , sharp action noted
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
29-5
@
Golden State Warriors
18-16
Golden State Warriors
Saturday, Jan 03 | 03:00 AM ET | Chase Center | Prime Video

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors

This line doesn't make sense. Tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder-Golden State Warriors game is one I've circled. Records of 29-5 and 18-16 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

On top of that, Pace tells the story - Golden State Warriors plays at 102.2 while Oklahoma City Thunder runs at 101.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Golden State Warriors covers consistently (5-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Golden State Warriors is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Golden State Warriors: 18-16 | Oklahoma City Thunder: 29-5
Offensive Rating
Golden State Warriors: 116.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Golden State Warriors , sharp action noted
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
15-18
@
Los Angeles Lakers
20-11
Los Angeles Lakers
Saturday, Jan 03 | 03:30 AM ET | crypto.com Arena | Spectrum Sports Net

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Lakers matchup has some interesting angles. Memphis Grizzlies is 15-18 on the year while Los Angeles Lakers sits at 20-11.

The numbers tell us Los Angeles Lakers is putting up 111.2 PPG at home. Memphis Grizzlies scores 115.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Los Angeles Lakers covers consistently (8-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Los Angeles Lakers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Lakers: 20-11 | Memphis Grizzlies: 15-18
Offensive Rating
Los Angeles Lakers: 115.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Lakers , sharp action noted