Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
18-16
@
Charlotte Hornets
11-22
Charlotte Hornets
Wednesday, Dec 31 | 06:00 PM ET | Spectrum Center | FanDuel SN SE

Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Golden State Warriors (18-16) visiting Charlotte Hornets (11-22) stands out.

The key factor is The offensive numbers: Charlotte Hornets at 116.6 PPG, Golden State Warriors at 114.3. Factor in pace (97.1 vs 98.3) and you see where this is heading.

bottom line: Charlotte Hornets is 5-6 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 11-22 | Golden State Warriors: 18-16
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets , sharp action noted
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
21-13
@
Atlanta Hawks
16-19
Atlanta Hawks
Wednesday, Dec 31 | 08:00 PM ET | State Farm Arena | FanDuel SN North Extra

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks

Let me break this down. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks matchup has some interesting angles. Minnesota Timberwolves is 21-13 on the year while Atlanta Hawks sits at 16-19.

The big question: The offensive numbers: Atlanta Hawks at 109.7 PPG, Minnesota Timberwolves at 118.0. Factor in pace (97.8 vs 101.5) and you see where this is heading.

here's the deal: Atlanta Hawks is 8-3 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Atlanta Hawks is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Hawks: 16-19 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 21-13
Offensive Rating
Atlanta Hawks: 114.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Hawks , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
19-15
@
Indiana Pacers
6-28
Indiana Pacers
Wednesday, Dec 31 | 08:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN IN

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

The data doesn't lie. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Orlando Magic (19-15) visiting Indiana Pacers (6-28) stands out.

Here's where it gets interesting: Pace tells the story - Indiana Pacers plays at 102.9 while Orlando Magic runs at 97.9. That pace difference will impact the total.

here's the deal: Indiana Pacers is 9-4 ATS this season and 3-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 6-28 | Orlando Magic: 19-15
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 114.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers , sharp action noted
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
19-14
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
19-16
Cleveland Cavaliers
Wednesday, Dec 31 | 08:30 PM ET | Rocket Arena | FanDuel SN OH

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Here's why I'm confident: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Phoenix Suns at Cleveland Cavaliers matchup has some interesting angles. Phoenix Suns is 19-14 on the year while Cleveland Cavaliers sits at 19-16.

Factor this in: Pace tells the story - Cleveland Cavaliers plays at 98.8 while Phoenix Suns runs at 98.4. That pace difference will impact the total.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Cleveland Cavaliers covers consistently (8-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Cleveland Cavaliers is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Cavaliers: 19-16 | Phoenix Suns: 19-14
Offensive Rating
Cleveland Cavaliers: 112.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Cavaliers , sharp action noted
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
8-26
@
Chicago Bulls
15-17
Chicago Bulls
Thursday, Jan 01 | 12:00 AM ET | United Center | CHSN

New Orleans Pelicans vs Chicago Bulls

The value here is obvious. Let's break down New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls. At 8-26 versus 15-17, these teams are heading in different directions.

Plus, Chicago Bulls is putting up 112.0 PPG at home. New Orleans Pelicans scores 115.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: Chicago Bulls covers consistently (7-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 15-17 | New Orleans Pelicans: 8-26
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls , sharp action noted
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
23-9
@
San Antonio Spurs
23-9
San Antonio Spurs
Thursday, Jan 01 | 12:00 AM ET | Frost Bank Center | NBA TV

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs

Let me be real - The Association delivers another loaded slate, and New York Knicks (23-9) visiting San Antonio Spurs (23-9) stands out.

Think about it: The offensive numbers: San Antonio Spurs at 118.4 PPG, New York Knicks at 118.3. Factor in pace (102.4 vs 102.2) and you see where this is heading.

straight up, San Antonio Spurs is 9-7 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 5-2 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 23-9 | New York Knicks: 23-9
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 115.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs , sharp action noted
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
22-10
@
Toronto Raptors
20-14
Toronto Raptors
Thursday, Jan 01 | 12:30 AM ET | Scotiabank Arena | Altitude 2 Sports

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

Here's the thing: Tonight's Denver Nuggets-Toronto Raptors game is one I've circled. Records of 22-10 and 20-14 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Plus, The offensive numbers: Toronto Raptors at 113.3 PPG, Denver Nuggets at 108.7. Factor in pace (97.8 vs 102.3) and you see where this is heading.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Toronto Raptors covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Toronto Raptors is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Toronto Raptors: 20-14 | Denver Nuggets: 22-10
Offensive Rating
Toronto Raptors: 117.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Toronto Raptors , sharp action noted
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
7-24
@
Milwaukee Bucks
14-19
Milwaukee Bucks
Thursday, Jan 01 | 01:00 AM ET | Fiserv Forum | MNMT

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks

Here's what the market is missing: Let's break down Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks. At 7-24 versus 14-19, these teams are heading in different directions.

What stands out is The offensive numbers: Milwaukee Bucks at 112.4 PPG, Washington Wizards at 112.2. Factor in pace (99.7 vs 99.4) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, Milwaukee Bucks is 8-7 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Milwaukee Bucks is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 14-19 | Washington Wizards: 7-24
Offensive Rating
Milwaukee Bucks: 115.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Milwaukee Bucks , sharp action noted
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
14-19
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
28-5
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thursday, Jan 01 | 01:00 AM ET | Paycom Center | KUNP 16

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

I love this spot. Tonight's Portland Trail Blazers-Oklahoma City Thunder game is one I've circled. Records of 14-19 and 28-5 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

But here's the thing - The offensive numbers: Oklahoma City Thunder at 108.4 PPG, Portland Trail Blazers at 116.3. Factor in pace (99.1 vs 103.0) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, Oklahoma City Thunder is 9-4 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 28-5 | Portland Trail Blazers: 14-19
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder , sharp action noted