Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
13-19
@
Charlotte Hornets
11-20
Charlotte Hornets
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 12:00 AM ET | Spectrum Center | FanDuel SN SE

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets

Don't overthink this. Let's break down Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets. At 13-19 versus 11-20, these teams are heading in different directions.

You have to consider Pace tells the story - Charlotte Hornets plays at 97.1 while Milwaukee Bucks runs at 100.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, ATS records matter. Charlotte Hornets at 6-4 against the spread. Milwaukee Bucks is 6-7. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 11-20 | Milwaukee Bucks: 13-19
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 116.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets , sharp action noted
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
18-13
@
Washington Wizards
7-23
Washington Wizards
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 12:00 AM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT

Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards

The numbers are screaming at us. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Phoenix Suns (18-13) visiting Washington Wizards (7-23) stands out.

The big question: Pace tells the story - Washington Wizards plays at 100.1 while Phoenix Suns runs at 100.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

look, Washington Wizards is 7-6 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 7-23 | Phoenix Suns: 18-13
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 117.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
16-16
@
Brooklyn Nets
10-19
Brooklyn Nets
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 12:30 AM ET | Barclays Center | YES

Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets

I've watched the tape. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Golden State Warriors at Brooklyn Nets matchup has some interesting angles. Golden State Warriors is 16-16 on the year while Brooklyn Nets sits at 10-19.

And look, The offensive numbers: Brooklyn Nets at 108.9 PPG, Golden State Warriors at 117.3. Factor in pace (97.1 vs 101.5) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, Brooklyn Nets is 9-3 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 10-19 | Golden State Warriors: 16-16
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 113.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets , sharp action noted
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
22-9
@
Miami Heat
17-15
Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 12:30 AM ET | Kaseya Center | FanDuel SN Sun

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Trust me on this one. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat matchup has some interesting angles. Denver Nuggets is 22-9 on the year while Miami Heat sits at 17-15.

You have to consider Pace tells the story - Miami Heat plays at 100.9 while Denver Nuggets runs at 102.6. That pace difference will impact the total.

honestly, Miami Heat is 7-3 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Miami Heat is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Miami Heat: 17-15 | Denver Nuggets: 22-9
Offensive Rating
Miami Heat: 116.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Miami Heat , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
18-14
@
Toronto Raptors
19-14
Toronto Raptors
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 12:30 AM ET | Scotiabank Arena | FanDuel SN FL

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors

This is one of my favorite spots. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors matchup has some interesting angles. Orlando Magic is 18-14 on the year while Toronto Raptors sits at 19-14.

What stands out is Pace tells the story - Toronto Raptors plays at 102.3 while Orlando Magic runs at 100.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

I mean, Toronto Raptors is 7-6 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Toronto Raptors is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Toronto Raptors: 19-14 | Orlando Magic: 18-14
Offensive Rating
Toronto Raptors: 114.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Toronto Raptors , sharp action noted
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
20-12
@
Chicago Bulls
15-16
Chicago Bulls
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:00 AM ET | United Center | CHSN

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls

The data doesn't lie. Tonight's Minnesota Timberwolves-Chicago Bulls game is one I've circled. Records of 20-12 and 15-16 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Here's what I'm seeing: The offensive numbers: Chicago Bulls at 116.3 PPG, Minnesota Timberwolves at 116.5. Factor in pace (102.8 vs 100.1) and you see where this is heading.

honestly, ATS records matter. Chicago Bulls at 8-5 against the spread. Minnesota Timberwolves is 4-6. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 15-16 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 20-12
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 112.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls , sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
6-26
@
Houston Rockets
19-10
Houston Rockets
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:00 AM ET | Toyota Center (Houston) | FanDuel SN IN

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Here's what stands out: Let's break down Indiana Pacers at Houston Rockets. At 6-26 versus 19-10, these teams are heading in different directions.

It's worth noting Houston Rockets is putting up 117.3 PPG at home. Indiana Pacers scores 115.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, Houston Rockets is 9-5 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Houston Rockets is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Houston Rockets: 19-10 | Indiana Pacers: 6-26
Offensive Rating
Houston Rockets: 115.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Houston Rockets , sharp action noted
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
22-9
@
New Orleans Pelicans
8-25
New Orleans Pelicans
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:00 AM ET | Smoothie King Center | GCSEN

New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans

The value here is obvious. Tonight's New York Knicks-New Orleans Pelicans game is one I've circled. Records of 22-9 and 8-25 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

On top of that, New Orleans Pelicans is putting up 110.0 PPG at home. New York Knicks scores 116.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, ATS records matter. New Orleans Pelicans at 9-5 against the spread. New York Knicks is 7-6. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 6-3 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 8-25 | New York Knicks: 22-9
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 112.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
15-18
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
27-5
Oklahoma City Thunder
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:00 AM ET | Paycom Center | FanDuel SN SE

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Let me be real - Let's break down Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder. At 15-18 versus 27-5, these teams are heading in different directions.

Here's where it gets interesting: The offensive numbers: Oklahoma City Thunder at 114.3 PPG, Atlanta Hawks at 114.8. Factor in pace (98.5 vs 100.3) and you see where this is heading.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Oklahoma City Thunder at 9-4 against the spread. Atlanta Hawks is 8-6. The value is clear. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 27-5 | Atlanta Hawks: 15-18
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder , sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
17-16
@
San Antonio Spurs
23-8
San Antonio Spurs
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 01:00 AM ET | Frost Bank Center | NBC

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs

This line doesn't make sense. Tonight's Cleveland Cavaliers-San Antonio Spurs game is one I've circled. Records of 17-16 and 23-8 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Plus, Pace tells the story - San Antonio Spurs plays at 100.2 while Cleveland Cavaliers runs at 101.3. That pace difference will impact the total.

honestly, ATS records matter. San Antonio Spurs at 7-3 against the spread. Cleveland Cavaliers is 6-4. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 6-1 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 23-8 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 17-16
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 117.1 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs , sharp action noted
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
12-21
@
Portland Trail Blazers
13-19
Portland Trail Blazers
Tuesday, Dec 30 | 03:30 AM ET | Moda Center | NBC

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Pay attention to this one. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers matchup has some interesting angles. Dallas Mavericks is 12-21 on the year while Portland Trail Blazers sits at 13-19.

But here's the thing - Portland Trail Blazers is putting up 117.3 PPG at home. Dallas Mavericks scores 113.8 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Portland Trail Blazers at 9-3 against the spread. Dallas Mavericks is 6-5. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Portland Trail Blazers is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Portland Trail Blazers: 13-19 | Dallas Mavericks: 12-21
Offensive Rating
Portland Trail Blazers: 115.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Portland Trail Blazers , sharp action noted