Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
16-16
@
Toronto Raptors
19-14
Toronto Raptors
Sunday, Dec 28 | 08:30 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena | NBC Sports BA

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors

Let me be real - NBA scheduling is everything, and this Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors matchup has some interesting angles. Golden State Warriors is 16-16 on the year while Toronto Raptors sits at 19-14.

You have to consider Pace tells the story - Toronto Raptors plays at 102.5 while Golden State Warriors runs at 102.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Toronto Raptors at 6-5 against the spread. Golden State Warriors is 7-7. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Toronto Raptors is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Toronto Raptors: 19-14 | Golden State Warriors: 16-16
Offensive Rating
Toronto Raptors: 114.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Toronto Raptors , sharp action noted
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
16-14
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
27-5
Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, Dec 28 | 08:30 PM ET | Paycom Center | FanDuel SN OK

Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Don't overthink this. Tonight's Philadelphia 76ers-Oklahoma City Thunder game is one I've circled. Records of 16-14 and 27-5 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

The big question: The offensive numbers: Oklahoma City Thunder at 119.6 PPG, Philadelphia 76ers at 117.6. Factor in pace (101.5 vs 97.9) and you see where this is heading.

I mean, Oklahoma City Thunder is 6-6 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This line is off.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 27-5 | Philadelphia 76ers: 16-14
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder , sharp action noted
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
15-16
@
Washington Wizards
6-23
Washington Wizards
Sunday, Dec 28 | 11:00 PM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards

I've been studying this one all week. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards matchup has some interesting angles. Memphis Grizzlies is 15-16 on the year while Washington Wizards sits at 6-23.

Here's the kicker: Pace tells the story - Washington Wizards plays at 103.0 while Memphis Grizzlies runs at 97.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

bottom line: Washington Wizards is 7-6 ATS this season and 5-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 6-3 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 6-23 | Memphis Grizzlies: 15-16
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 116.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
19-11
@
Portland Trail Blazers
12-19
Portland Trail Blazers
Sunday, Dec 28 | 11:00 PM ET | Moda Center | BlazerVision

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Here's the thing: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Boston Celtics at Portland Trail Blazers matchup has some interesting angles. Boston Celtics is 19-11 on the year while Portland Trail Blazers sits at 12-19.

And look, The offensive numbers: Portland Trail Blazers at 109.5 PPG, Boston Celtics at 114.0. Factor in pace (101.5 vs 102.6) and you see where this is heading.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Portland Trail Blazers covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
Portland Trail Blazers is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Portland Trail Blazers: 12-19 | Boston Celtics: 19-11
Offensive Rating
Portland Trail Blazers: 117.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Portland Trail Blazers , sharp action noted
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
24-7
@
LA Clippers
9-21
LA Clippers
Monday, Dec 29 | 02:00 AM ET | Intuit Dome | FanDuel SN DET Ext

Detroit Pistons vs LA Clippers

The sharps are all over this. Tonight's Detroit Pistons-LA Clippers game is one I've circled. Records of 24-7 and 9-21 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Here's where it gets interesting: The offensive numbers: LA Clippers at 118.9 PPG, Detroit Pistons at 115.6. Factor in pace (99.6 vs 100.9) and you see where this is heading.

simply put, ATS records matter. LA Clippers at 7-7 against the spread. Detroit Pistons is 6-7. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
LA Clippers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
LA Clippers: 9-21 | Detroit Pistons: 24-7
Offensive Rating
LA Clippers: 112.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened LA Clippers , sharp action noted
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
8-23
@
Los Angeles Lakers
19-10
Los Angeles Lakers
Monday, Dec 29 | 02:30 AM ET | crypto.com Arena | Spectrum Sports Net

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers

Here's what stands out: The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Sacramento Kings (8-23) visiting Los Angeles Lakers (19-10) stands out.

What really matters is Pace tells the story - Los Angeles Lakers plays at 101.9 while Sacramento Kings runs at 98.6. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, Los Angeles Lakers is 5-4 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Los Angeles Lakers is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Lakers: 19-10 | Sacramento Kings: 8-23
Offensive Rating
Los Angeles Lakers: 113.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Lakers , sharp action noted