Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
12-20
@
Sacramento Kings
7-23
Sacramento Kings
Saturday, Dec 27 | 10:00 PM ET | Golden 1 Center | KFAA-TV

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Sometimes the obvious play is right. Let's break down Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings. At 12-20 versus 7-23, these teams are heading in different directions.

Now, Pace tells the story - Sacramento Kings plays at 99.6 while Dallas Mavericks runs at 98.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

straight up, Sacramento Kings is 6-5 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 7-23 | Dallas Mavericks: 12-20
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 112.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings , sharp action noted
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
22-8
@
Orlando Magic
17-14
Orlando Magic
Sunday, Dec 28 | 12:00 AM ET | Kia Center | Altitude 2 Sports

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic

The numbers are screaming at us. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Denver Nuggets (22-8) visiting Orlando Magic (17-14) stands out.

The key factor is Pace tells the story - Orlando Magic plays at 98.1 while Denver Nuggets runs at 100.7. That pace difference will impact the total.

at the end of the day, Orlando Magic is 8-7 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The value is clear.

Home Field
Orlando Magic is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Orlando Magic: 17-14 | Denver Nuggets: 22-8
Offensive Rating
Orlando Magic: 114.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Orlando Magic , sharp action noted
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
17-13
@
New Orleans Pelicans
8-24
New Orleans Pelicans
Sunday, Dec 28 | 12:00 AM ET | Smoothie King Center | GCSEN

Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans

Here's the thing: The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Phoenix Suns (17-13) visiting New Orleans Pelicans (8-24) stands out.

Factor this in: The offensive numbers: New Orleans Pelicans at 111.2 PPG, Phoenix Suns at 114.0. Factor in pace (102.0 vs 101.2) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: New Orleans Pelicans covers consistently (6-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 6-2 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 8-24 | Phoenix Suns: 17-13
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 117.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
21-9
@
Atlanta Hawks
15-17
Atlanta Hawks
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | State Farm Arena | FanDuel SN SE

New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks

I love this spot. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and New York Knicks (21-9) visiting Atlanta Hawks (15-17) stands out.

The numbers tell us Atlanta Hawks is putting up 119.9 PPG at home. New York Knicks scores 114.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Atlanta Hawks covers consistently (7-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Atlanta Hawks is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Hawks: 15-17 | New York Knicks: 21-9
Offensive Rating
Atlanta Hawks: 112.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Hawks , sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
6-25
@
Miami Heat
16-15
Miami Heat
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Kaseya Center | FanDuel SN IN

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

The data doesn't lie. Tonight's Indiana Pacers-Miami Heat game is one I've circled. Records of 6-25 and 16-15 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

The big question: Pace tells the story - Miami Heat plays at 102.6 while Indiana Pacers runs at 99.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

straight up, Miami Heat is 8-5 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Miami Heat is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Miami Heat: 16-15 | Indiana Pacers: 6-25
Offensive Rating
Miami Heat: 117.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Miami Heat , sharp action noted
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
12-19
@
Chicago Bulls
15-15
Chicago Bulls
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | United Center | CHSN

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

I keep coming back to this game. Tonight's Milwaukee Bucks-Chicago Bulls game is one I've circled. Records of 12-19 and 15-15 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

You have to consider Chicago Bulls is putting up 116.9 PPG at home. Milwaukee Bucks scores 119.2 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Chicago Bulls at 6-3 against the spread. Milwaukee Bucks is 6-5. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 15-15 | Milwaukee Bucks: 12-19
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 112.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls , sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
17-15
@
Houston Rockets
18-10
Houston Rockets
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Toyota Center (Houston) | FanDuel SN OH

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets

Everyone's sleeping on this. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets matchup has some interesting angles. Cleveland Cavaliers is 17-15 on the year while Houston Rockets sits at 18-10.

Now, Pace tells the story - Houston Rockets plays at 97.7 while Cleveland Cavaliers runs at 101.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

look, Houston Rockets is 9-3 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Houston Rockets is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Houston Rockets: 18-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 17-15
Offensive Rating
Houston Rockets: 114.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Houston Rockets , sharp action noted
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
9-19
@
Minnesota Timberwolves
20-11
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Target Center | YES

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

The sharps are all over this. Let's break down Brooklyn Nets at Minnesota Timberwolves. At 9-19 versus 20-11, these teams are heading in different directions.

Consider this: Pace tells the story - Minnesota Timberwolves plays at 100.0 while Brooklyn Nets runs at 98.4. That pace difference will impact the total.

truth is, Minnesota Timberwolves is 7-3 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Minnesota Timberwolves is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Timberwolves: 20-11 | Brooklyn Nets: 9-19
Offensive Rating
Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Timberwolves , sharp action noted
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
11-19
@
San Antonio Spurs
23-7
San Antonio Spurs
Sunday, Dec 28 | 01:00 AM ET | Frost Bank Center | KJZZ-TV

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs

Here's what stands out: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs matchup has some interesting angles. Utah Jazz is 11-19 on the year while San Antonio Spurs sits at 23-7.

But here's the thing - Pace tells the story - San Antonio Spurs plays at 97.3 while Utah Jazz runs at 99.8. That pace difference will impact the total.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. San Antonio Spurs at 9-6 against the spread. Utah Jazz is 5-6. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 6-3 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 23-7 | Utah Jazz: 11-19
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 113.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs , sharp action noted