Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
17-15
@
New York Knicks
21-9
New York Knicks
Thursday, Dec 25 | 05:00 PM ET | Madison Square Garden | ABC

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks

The data doesn't lie. Tonight's Cleveland Cavaliers-New York Knicks game is one I've circled. Records of 17-15 and 21-9 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Factor this in: The offensive numbers: New York Knicks at 113.8 PPG, Cleveland Cavaliers at 115.7. Factor in pace (102.0 vs 99.9) and you see where this is heading.

look, ATS records matter. New York Knicks at 8-3 against the spread. Cleveland Cavaliers is 4-5. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 4-1 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 21-9 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 17-15
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 112.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks , sharp action noted
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
23-7
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
26-5
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thursday, Dec 25 | 07:30 PM ET | Paycom Center | ABC

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder

This is one of my favorite spots. NBA scheduling is everything, and this San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder matchup has some interesting angles. San Antonio Spurs is 23-7 on the year while Oklahoma City Thunder sits at 26-5.

And look, The offensive numbers: Oklahoma City Thunder at 115.1 PPG, San Antonio Spurs at 112.3. Factor in pace (101.2 vs 101.2) and you see where this is heading.

I mean, ATS records matter. Oklahoma City Thunder at 9-5 against the spread. San Antonio Spurs is 4-7. The value is clear. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 26-5 | San Antonio Spurs: 23-7
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder , sharp action noted
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
12-19
@
Golden State Warriors
15-15
Golden State Warriors
Thursday, Dec 25 | 10:17 PM ET | Chase Center | ABC

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

The sharps are all over this. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors matchup has some interesting angles. Dallas Mavericks is 12-19 on the year while Golden State Warriors sits at 15-15.

Think about it: Golden State Warriors is putting up 119.4 PPG at home. Dallas Mavericks scores 112.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Golden State Warriors covers consistently (9-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Golden State Warriors is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Golden State Warriors: 15-15 | Dallas Mavericks: 12-19
Offensive Rating
Golden State Warriors: 112.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Golden State Warriors , sharp action noted
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
17-10
@
Los Angeles Lakers
19-9
Los Angeles Lakers
Friday, Dec 26 | 01:12 AM ET | crypto.com Arena | ABC

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Houston Rockets (17-10) visiting Los Angeles Lakers (19-9) stands out.

You have to consider The offensive numbers: Los Angeles Lakers at 109.6 PPG, Houston Rockets at 116.1. Factor in pace (100.4 vs 99.7) and you see where this is heading.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Los Angeles Lakers covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Don't miss this spot.

Home Field
Los Angeles Lakers is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Los Angeles Lakers: 19-9 | Houston Rockets: 17-10
Offensive Rating
Los Angeles Lakers: 116.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Los Angeles Lakers , sharp action noted
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
20-10
@
Denver Nuggets
21-8
Denver Nuggets
Friday, Dec 26 | 03:42 AM ET | Ball Arena | ABC

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Look, Let's break down Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets. At 20-10 versus 21-8, these teams are heading in different directions.

You have to consider Pace tells the story - Denver Nuggets plays at 102.6 while Minnesota Timberwolves runs at 98.2. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, ATS records matter. Denver Nuggets at 8-7 against the spread. Minnesota Timberwolves is 5-8. The value is clear. The value is clear.

Home Field
Denver Nuggets is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Denver Nuggets: 21-8 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 20-10
Offensive Rating
Denver Nuggets: 114.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Denver Nuggets , sharp action noted