Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
13-15
@
Atlanta Hawks
15-15
Atlanta Hawks
Sunday, Dec 21 | 08:30 PM ET | State Farm Arena | CHSN

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks

I've crunched the numbers. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Chicago Bulls (13-15) visiting Atlanta Hawks (15-15) stands out.

But here's the thing - Pace tells the story - Atlanta Hawks plays at 101.6 while Chicago Bulls runs at 100.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

truth is, Atlanta Hawks is 5-4 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Atlanta Hawks is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Hawks: 15-15 | Chicago Bulls: 13-15
Offensive Rating
Atlanta Hawks: 115.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Hawks , sharp action noted
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
17-13
@
Brooklyn Nets
8-19
Brooklyn Nets
Sunday, Dec 21 | 11:00 PM ET | Barclays Center | YES

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets

I've been studying this one all week. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Toronto Raptors (17-13) visiting Brooklyn Nets (8-19) stands out.

The big question: Brooklyn Nets is putting up 109.1 PPG at home. Toronto Raptors scores 110.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Brooklyn Nets covers consistently (7-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The value is clear.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 5-1 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 8-19 | Toronto Raptors: 17-13
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 113.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets , sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
15-14
@
New York Knicks
20-8
New York Knicks
Sunday, Dec 21 | 11:00 PM ET | Madison Square Garden | FanDuel SN Sun
SpreadNY -5.5
TotalO/U 234.5
MLNY -198

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

This is one of my favorite spots. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Miami Heat at New York Knicks matchup has some interesting angles. Miami Heat is 15-14 on the year while New York Knicks sits at 20-8. The line of New York Knicks -5.5 is where I'm focusing.

Don't forget - New York Knicks is putting up 109.6 PPG at home. Miami Heat scores 109.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

realistically, New York Knicks is 9-5 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 7-1 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 20-8 | Miami Heat: 15-14
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 114.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks -5.5, sharp action noted
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
21-7
@
Washington Wizards
5-22
Washington Wizards
Monday, Dec 22 | 12:00 AM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT
SpreadWSH -10.5
TotalO/U 233.5
MLWSH -485

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards

Here's what the market is missing: Let's break down San Antonio Spurs at Washington Wizards. At 21-7 versus 5-22, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Washington Wizards -10.5 is where I'm focusing.

On top of that, The offensive numbers: Washington Wizards at 115.0 PPG, San Antonio Spurs at 112.6. Factor in pace (100.8 vs 98.2) and you see where this is heading.

let's be honest, Washington Wizards is 7-7 ATS this season and 3-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 5-22 | San Antonio Spurs: 21-7
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 115.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards -10.5, sharp action noted
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
11-18
@
Minnesota Timberwolves
19-10
Minnesota Timberwolves
Monday, Dec 22 | 12:00 AM ET | Target Center | FanDuel SN North Extra
SpreadMIN -4.5
TotalO/U 237.5
MLMIN -175

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

I keep coming back to this game. Tonight's Milwaukee Bucks-Minnesota Timberwolves game is one I've circled. Records of 11-18 and 19-10 tell part of the story, but not all of it. The line of Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 is where I'm focusing.

You have to consider Minnesota Timberwolves is putting up 111.1 PPG at home. Milwaukee Bucks scores 119.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. Minnesota Timberwolves at 6-7 against the spread. Milwaukee Bucks is 6-8. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Minnesota Timberwolves is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Timberwolves: 19-10 | Milwaukee Bucks: 11-18
Offensive Rating
Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5, sharp action noted
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
17-9
@
Sacramento Kings
7-22
Sacramento Kings
Monday, Dec 22 | 03:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | Space City Home Network
SpreadSAC +2.5
TotalO/U 230.5
MLSAC +124

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings

Pay attention to this one. Let's break down Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings. At 17-9 versus 7-22, these teams are heading in different directions. The line of Sacramento Kings +2.5 is where I'm focusing.

And look, Sacramento Kings is putting up 108.9 PPG at home. Houston Rockets scores 113.9 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

I mean, Sacramento Kings is 9-3 ATS this season and 5-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 7-22 | Houston Rockets: 17-9
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 114.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings +2.5, sharp action noted