Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
45-37
@
Boston Celtics
56-26
Boston Celtics
Tuesday, Apr 28 | 11:00 PM ET | TD Garden | ESPN

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

Let me be real - Tonight's Philadelphia 76ers-Boston Celtics game is one I've circled. Records of 45-37 and 56-26 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Think about it: Boston Celtics is putting up 108.2 PPG at home. Philadelphia 76ers scores 109.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, ATS records matter. Boston Celtics at 5-3 against the spread. Philadelphia 76ers is 4-4. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Boston Celtics is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Boston Celtics: 56-26 | Philadelphia 76ers: 45-37
Offensive Rating
Boston Celtics: 114.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Boston Celtics , sharp action noted
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
46-36
@
New York Knicks
53-29
New York Knicks
Wednesday, Apr 29 | 12:00 AM ET | Madison Square Garden | NBC

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks

Don't overthink this. Let's break down Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks. At 46-36 versus 53-29, these teams are heading in different directions.

I keep coming back to New York Knicks is putting up 118.2 PPG at home. Atlanta Hawks scores 115.7 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

truth is, The betting trends are clear: New York Knicks covers consistently (9-5 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
New York Knicks is 5-1 at home this season
Records
New York Knicks: 53-29 | Atlanta Hawks: 46-36
Offensive Rating
New York Knicks: 115.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New York Knicks , sharp action noted
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
42-40
@
San Antonio Spurs
62-20
San Antonio Spurs
Wednesday, Apr 29 | 01:30 AM ET | Frost Bank Center | ESPN

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Let me break this down. Tonight's Portland Trail Blazers-San Antonio Spurs game is one I've circled. Records of 42-40 and 62-20 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Now, Pace tells the story - San Antonio Spurs plays at 101.7 while Portland Trail Blazers runs at 100.5. That pace difference will impact the total.

I mean, The betting trends are clear: San Antonio Spurs covers consistently (5-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 5-1 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 62-20 | Portland Trail Blazers: 42-40
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 113.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs , sharp action noted

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