Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
43-35
@
Boston Celtics
53-25
Boston Celtics
Sunday, Apr 05 | 07:30 PM ET | TD Garden | NBC Sports BO

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Toronto Raptors (43-35) visiting Boston Celtics (53-25) stands out.

Here's what I'm seeing: Boston Celtics is putting up 108.3 PPG at home. Toronto Raptors scores 111.7 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

straight up, The betting trends are clear: Boston Celtics covers consistently (8-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Boston Celtics is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Boston Celtics: 53-25 | Toronto Raptors: 43-35
Offensive Rating
Boston Celtics: 114.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Boston Celtics , sharp action noted
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
17-61
@
Brooklyn Nets
19-59
Brooklyn Nets
Sunday, Apr 05 | 07:30 PM ET | Barclays Center | MNMT

Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets

I keep coming back to this game. Tonight's Washington Wizards-Brooklyn Nets game is one I've circled. Records of 17-61 and 19-59 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

The numbers tell us The offensive numbers: Brooklyn Nets at 113.8 PPG, Washington Wizards at 108.6. Factor in pace (98.5 vs 100.1) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, ATS records matter. Brooklyn Nets at 5-6 against the spread. Washington Wizards is 6-8. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 5-2 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 19-59 | Washington Wizards: 17-61
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 115.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets , sharp action noted
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
43-35
@
Chicago Bulls
29-49
Chicago Bulls
Sunday, Apr 05 | 07:30 PM ET | United Center | CHSN

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls

This line doesn't make sense. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Phoenix Suns (43-35) visiting Chicago Bulls (29-49) stands out.

Think about it: Chicago Bulls is putting up 113.5 PPG at home. Phoenix Suns scores 110.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Chicago Bulls covers consistently (9-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Chicago Bulls is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Chicago Bulls: 29-49 | Phoenix Suns: 43-35
Offensive Rating
Chicago Bulls: 116.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Chicago Bulls , sharp action noted
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
25-53
@
Milwaukee Bucks
31-47
Milwaukee Bucks
Sunday, Apr 05 | 07:30 PM ET | Fiserv Forum | FanDuel SN WI

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pay attention to this one. Tonight's Memphis Grizzlies-Milwaukee Bucks game is one I've circled. Records of 25-53 and 31-47 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Here's where it gets interesting: Milwaukee Bucks is putting up 118.1 PPG at home. Memphis Grizzlies scores 118.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: Milwaukee Bucks is 5-5 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Milwaukee Bucks is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 31-47 | Memphis Grizzlies: 25-53
Offensive Rating
Milwaukee Bucks: 115.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Milwaukee Bucks , sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
18-59
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
48-29
Cleveland Cavaliers
Sunday, Apr 05 | 10:00 PM ET | Rocket Arena | FanDuel SN OH

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Let me break this down. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers matchup has some interesting angles. Indiana Pacers is 18-59 on the year while Cleveland Cavaliers sits at 48-29.

Factor this in: The offensive numbers: Cleveland Cavaliers at 116.2 PPG, Indiana Pacers at 108.8. Factor in pace (102.6 vs 98.6) and you see where this is heading.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Cleveland Cavaliers covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. Let's ride.

Home Field
Cleveland Cavaliers is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Cleveland Cavaliers: 48-29 | Indiana Pacers: 18-59
Offensive Rating
Cleveland Cavaliers: 113.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Cleveland Cavaliers , sharp action noted
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
42-36
@
Minnesota Timberwolves
46-31
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Apr 05 | 11:00 PM ET | Target Center | FanDuel SN SE

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

The value here is obvious. Tonight's Charlotte Hornets-Minnesota Timberwolves game is one I've circled. Records of 42-36 and 46-31 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Consider this: Minnesota Timberwolves is putting up 118.4 PPG at home. Charlotte Hornets scores 113.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Minnesota Timberwolves covers consistently (5-7 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Minnesota Timberwolves is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Minnesota Timberwolves: 46-31 | Charlotte Hornets: 42-36
Offensive Rating
Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Minnesota Timberwolves , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
41-36
@
New Orleans Pelicans
25-53
New Orleans Pelicans
Sunday, Apr 05 | 11:00 PM ET | Smoothie King Center | GCSEN

Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans

I've been studying this one all week. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans matchup has some interesting angles. Orlando Magic is 41-36 on the year while New Orleans Pelicans sits at 25-53.

Here's where it gets interesting: Pace tells the story - New Orleans Pelicans plays at 100.5 while Orlando Magic runs at 97.1. That pace difference will impact the total.

truth is, New Orleans Pelicans is 7-4 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Let's ride.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 6-1 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 25-53 | Orlando Magic: 41-36
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 112.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
21-57
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
61-16
Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, Apr 05 | 11:00 PM ET | Paycom Center | FanDuel SN OK

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder

I've watched the tape. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder matchup has some interesting angles. Utah Jazz is 21-57 on the year while Oklahoma City Thunder sits at 61-16.

The big question: The offensive numbers: Oklahoma City Thunder at 113.9 PPG, Utah Jazz at 112.2. Factor in pace (101.4 vs 99.4) and you see where this is heading.

at the end of the day, The betting trends are clear: Oklahoma City Thunder covers consistently (7-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I like this a lot.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 61-16 | Utah Jazz: 21-57
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
50-27
@
Dallas Mavericks
24-53
Dallas Mavericks
Sunday, Apr 05 | 11:30 PM ET | American Airlines Center | NBC

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Look, Tonight's Los Angeles Lakers-Dallas Mavericks game is one I've circled. Records of 50-27 and 24-53 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

On top of that, Pace tells the story - Dallas Mavericks plays at 98.4 while Los Angeles Lakers runs at 100.3. That pace difference will impact the total.

look, Dallas Mavericks is 8-3 ATS this season and 3-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Dallas Mavericks is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Dallas Mavericks: 24-53 | Los Angeles Lakers: 50-27
Offensive Rating
Dallas Mavericks: 115.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Dallas Mavericks , sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
39-38
@
Sacramento Kings
21-57
Sacramento Kings
Monday, Apr 06 | 01:00 AM ET | Golden 1 Center | NBC Sports CA

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

Let me be real - The Association delivers another loaded slate, and LA Clippers (39-38) visiting Sacramento Kings (21-57) stands out.

It's worth noting Sacramento Kings is putting up 117.5 PPG at home. LA Clippers scores 116.1 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, Sacramento Kings is 9-6 ATS this season and 5-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. Lock it in.

Home Field
Sacramento Kings is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Sacramento Kings: 21-57 | LA Clippers: 39-38
Offensive Rating
Sacramento Kings: 116.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Sacramento Kings , sharp action noted
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
48-29
@
Golden State Warriors
36-41
Golden State Warriors
Monday, Apr 06 | 02:00 AM ET | Chase Center | NBC

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

I love this spot. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors matchup has some interesting angles. Houston Rockets is 48-29 on the year while Golden State Warriors sits at 36-41.

Here's what I'm seeing: Pace tells the story - Golden State Warriors plays at 101.1 while Houston Rockets runs at 97.6. That pace difference will impact the total.

truth is, Golden State Warriors is 8-6 ATS this season and 4-2 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Golden State Warriors is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Golden State Warriors: 36-41 | Houston Rockets: 48-29
Offensive Rating
Golden State Warriors: 117.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Golden State Warriors , sharp action noted

Previous Days

Mar 16 Mar 15 Mar 14 Mar 13 Mar 12 Mar 11 Mar 10 Mar 9

View Full Archive →