LA Clippers
LA Clippers
39-36
@
Milwaukee Bucks
29-45
Milwaukee Bucks
Sunday, Mar 29 | 07:30 PM ET | Fiserv Forum | FanDuel SN WI

LA Clippers vs Milwaukee Bucks

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. Let's break down LA Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks. At 39-36 versus 29-45, these teams are heading in different directions.

You have to consider Milwaukee Bucks is putting up 116.2 PPG at home. LA Clippers scores 116.9 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, Milwaukee Bucks is 8-6 ATS this season and 4-1 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Milwaukee Bucks is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 29-45 | LA Clippers: 39-36
Offensive Rating
Milwaukee Bucks: 112.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Milwaukee Bucks , sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
39-36
@
Indiana Pacers
17-58
Indiana Pacers
Sunday, Mar 29 | 09:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse | FanDuel SN Sun

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Trust me on this one. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Miami Heat (39-36) visiting Indiana Pacers (17-58) stands out.

Here's where it gets interesting: The offensive numbers: Indiana Pacers at 115.7 PPG, Miami Heat at 119.9. Factor in pace (103.0 vs 100.5) and you see where this is heading.

I mean, ATS records matter. Indiana Pacers at 8-7 against the spread. Miami Heat is 8-7. The value is clear. The numbers support it.

Home Field
Indiana Pacers is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Indiana Pacers: 17-58 | Miami Heat: 39-36
Offensive Rating
Indiana Pacers: 115.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Indiana Pacers , sharp action noted
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
19-56
@
Brooklyn Nets
17-57
Brooklyn Nets
Sunday, Mar 29 | 10:00 PM ET | Barclays Center | YES

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets

I love this spot. Let's break down Sacramento Kings at Brooklyn Nets. At 19-56 versus 17-57, these teams are heading in different directions.

The numbers tell us The offensive numbers: Brooklyn Nets at 119.1 PPG, Sacramento Kings at 108.0. Factor in pace (99.4 vs 99.7) and you see where this is heading.

look, Brooklyn Nets is 5-7 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Brooklyn Nets is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Brooklyn Nets: 17-57 | Sacramento Kings: 19-56
Offensive Rating
Brooklyn Nets: 115.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Brooklyn Nets , sharp action noted
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
49-24
@
Charlotte Hornets
39-35
Charlotte Hornets
Sunday, Mar 29 | 10:00 PM ET | Spectrum Center | FanDuel SN SE

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets

Here's what stands out: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets matchup has some interesting angles. Boston Celtics is 49-24 on the year while Charlotte Hornets sits at 39-35.

Think about it: Charlotte Hornets is putting up 110.6 PPG at home. Boston Celtics scores 114.9 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

look, ATS records matter. Charlotte Hornets at 7-5 against the spread. Boston Celtics is 7-7. The value is clear. I'm backing this hard.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 39-35 | Boston Celtics: 49-24
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 116.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets , sharp action noted
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
39-34
@
Toronto Raptors
41-32
Toronto Raptors
Sunday, Mar 29 | 10:00 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena | FanDuel SN FL

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors

This is one of my favorite spots. Tonight's Orlando Magic-Toronto Raptors game is one I've circled. Records of 39-34 and 41-32 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

It's worth noting Pace tells the story - Toronto Raptors plays at 100.1 while Orlando Magic runs at 100.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

here's the deal: The betting trends are clear: Toronto Raptors covers consistently (7-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
Toronto Raptors is 6-1 at home this season
Records
Toronto Raptors: 41-32 | Orlando Magic: 39-34
Offensive Rating
Toronto Raptors: 116.4 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Toronto Raptors , sharp action noted
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
17-56
@
Portland Trail Blazers
37-38
Portland Trail Blazers
Sunday, Mar 29 | 10:00 PM ET | Moda Center | MNMT

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers

Don't overthink this. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers matchup has some interesting angles. Washington Wizards is 17-56 on the year while Portland Trail Blazers sits at 37-38.

Think about it: The offensive numbers: Portland Trail Blazers at 114.3 PPG, Washington Wizards at 113.9. Factor in pace (100.0 vs 98.2) and you see where this is heading.

honestly, The betting trends are clear: Portland Trail Blazers covers consistently (6-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
Portland Trail Blazers is 7-3 at home this season
Records
Portland Trail Blazers: 37-38 | Washington Wizards: 17-56
Offensive Rating
Portland Trail Blazers: 114.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Portland Trail Blazers , sharp action noted
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
44-29
@
New Orleans Pelicans
25-50
New Orleans Pelicans
Sunday, Mar 29 | 11:00 PM ET | Smoothie King Center | Space City Home Network

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Here's why I'm confident: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans matchup has some interesting angles. Houston Rockets is 44-29 on the year while New Orleans Pelicans sits at 25-50.

What really matters is New Orleans Pelicans is putting up 112.0 PPG at home. Houston Rockets scores 117.2 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

look, ATS records matter. New Orleans Pelicans at 9-4 against the spread. Houston Rockets is 5-8. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 7-2 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 25-50 | Houston Rockets: 44-29
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 114.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
48-26
@
Oklahoma City Thunder
58-16
Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, Mar 29 | 11:30 PM ET | Paycom Center | NBC

New York Knicks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

The numbers are screaming at us. Let's break down New York Knicks at Oklahoma City Thunder. At 48-26 versus 58-16, these teams are heading in different directions.

Think about it: Pace tells the story - Oklahoma City Thunder plays at 102.8 while New York Knicks runs at 102.9. That pace difference will impact the total.

simply put, ATS records matter. Oklahoma City Thunder at 9-5 against the spread. New York Knicks is 7-8. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Oklahoma City Thunder is 4-2 at home this season
Records
Oklahoma City Thunder: 58-16 | New York Knicks: 48-26
Offensive Rating
Oklahoma City Thunder: 115.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Oklahoma City Thunder , sharp action noted
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
36-38
@
Denver Nuggets
47-28
Denver Nuggets
Monday, Mar 30 | 02:00 AM ET | Ball Arena | NBC

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Pay attention to this one. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets matchup has some interesting angles. Golden State Warriors is 36-38 on the year while Denver Nuggets sits at 47-28.

And look, Denver Nuggets is putting up 116.5 PPG at home. Golden State Warriors scores 117.0 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

I mean, Denver Nuggets is 9-3 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
Denver Nuggets is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Denver Nuggets: 47-28 | Golden State Warriors: 36-38
Offensive Rating
Denver Nuggets: 117.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Denver Nuggets , sharp action noted

Previous Days

Mar 16 Mar 15 Mar 14 Mar 13 Mar 12 Mar 11 Mar 10 Mar 9

View Full Archive →