Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
55-15
@
Washington Wizards
16-53
Washington Wizards
Saturday, Mar 21 | 09:00 PM ET | Capital One Arena | MNMT

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards

Here's the thing: NBA scheduling is everything, and this Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards matchup has some interesting angles. Oklahoma City Thunder is 55-15 on the year while Washington Wizards sits at 16-53.

I keep coming back to Washington Wizards is putting up 117.6 PPG at home. Oklahoma City Thunder scores 109.8 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, ATS records matter. Washington Wizards at 6-7 against the spread. Oklahoma City Thunder is 8-5. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Washington Wizards is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Washington Wizards: 16-53 | Oklahoma City Thunder: 55-15
Offensive Rating
Washington Wizards: 113.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Washington Wizards , sharp action noted
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
24-45
@
Charlotte Hornets
36-34
Charlotte Hornets
Saturday, Mar 21 | 11:00 PM ET | Spectrum Center | FanDuel SN SE

Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets

I'm not going to pretend this isn't important. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Memphis Grizzlies at Charlotte Hornets matchup has some interesting angles. Memphis Grizzlies is 24-45 on the year while Charlotte Hornets sits at 36-34.

Don't forget - Charlotte Hornets is putting up 117.0 PPG at home. Memphis Grizzlies scores 109.4 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Charlotte Hornets at 5-6 against the spread. Memphis Grizzlies is 8-5. The value is clear. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Charlotte Hornets is 7-1 at home this season
Records
Charlotte Hornets: 36-34 | Memphis Grizzlies: 24-45
Offensive Rating
Charlotte Hornets: 112.3 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Charlotte Hornets , sharp action noted
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
45-25
@
Orlando Magic
38-31
Orlando Magic
Saturday, Mar 21 | 11:00 PM ET | Kia Center | Spectrum Sports Net

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic

I love this spot. Tonight's Los Angeles Lakers-Orlando Magic game is one I've circled. Records of 45-25 and 38-31 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

What really matters is Pace tells the story - Orlando Magic plays at 97.5 while Los Angeles Lakers runs at 97.7. That pace difference will impact the total.

let's be honest, The betting trends are clear: Orlando Magic covers consistently (8-4 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. I'm confident here.

Home Field
Orlando Magic is 4-3 at home this season
Records
Orlando Magic: 38-31 | Los Angeles Lakers: 45-25
Offensive Rating
Orlando Magic: 116.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Orlando Magic , sharp action noted
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
43-27
@
New Orleans Pelicans
25-46
New Orleans Pelicans
Saturday, Mar 21 | 11:00 PM ET | Smoothie King Center | FanDuel SN OH

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Here's why I'm confident: Let's break down Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans. At 43-27 versus 25-46, these teams are heading in different directions.

Here's where it gets interesting: Pace tells the story - New Orleans Pelicans plays at 100.3 while Cleveland Cavaliers runs at 99.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

let's be honest, ATS records matter. New Orleans Pelicans at 5-3 against the spread. Cleveland Cavaliers is 8-6. The value is clear. This is a gift from the market.

Home Field
New Orleans Pelicans is 7-3 at home this season
Records
New Orleans Pelicans: 25-46 | Cleveland Cavaliers: 43-27
Offensive Rating
New Orleans Pelicans: 112.5 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened New Orleans Pelicans , sharp action noted
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
33-37
@
Atlanta Hawks
38-32
Atlanta Hawks
Sunday, Mar 22 | 12:00 AM ET | State Farm Arena | FanDuel SN SE

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks

Trust me on this one. Tonight's Golden State Warriors-Atlanta Hawks game is one I've circled. Records of 33-37 and 38-32 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

And look, Atlanta Hawks is putting up 112.4 PPG at home. Golden State Warriors scores 112.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

bottom line: ATS records matter. Atlanta Hawks at 6-4 against the spread. Golden State Warriors is 8-5. The value is clear. Let's ride.

Home Field
Atlanta Hawks is 7-2 at home this season
Records
Atlanta Hawks: 38-32 | Golden State Warriors: 33-37
Offensive Rating
Atlanta Hawks: 117.7 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Atlanta Hawks , sharp action noted
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
38-32
@
Houston Rockets
42-27
Houston Rockets
Sunday, Mar 22 | 12:00 AM ET | Toyota Center (Houston) | FanDuel SN Sun

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Here's what stands out: Tonight's Miami Heat-Houston Rockets game is one I've circled. Records of 38-32 and 42-27 tell part of the story, but not all of it.

Now, Houston Rockets is putting up 118.7 PPG at home. Miami Heat scores 108.8 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

bottom line: The betting trends are clear: Houston Rockets covers consistently (5-3 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This is the play.

Home Field
Houston Rockets is 4-1 at home this season
Records
Houston Rockets: 42-27 | Miami Heat: 38-32
Offensive Rating
Houston Rockets: 114.8 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Houston Rockets , sharp action noted
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
15-55
@
San Antonio Spurs
52-18
San Antonio Spurs
Sunday, Mar 22 | 12:00 AM ET | Frost Bank Center | FanDuel SN IN

Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs

I've crunched the numbers. NBA scheduling is everything, and this Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs matchup has some interesting angles. Indiana Pacers is 15-55 on the year while San Antonio Spurs sits at 52-18.

Don't forget - Pace tells the story - San Antonio Spurs plays at 99.4 while Indiana Pacers runs at 100.0. That pace difference will impact the total.

at the end of the day, San Antonio Spurs is 9-7 ATS this season and 4-3 at home. That's not coincidence - sharp money follows trends like this. This is the play.

Home Field
San Antonio Spurs is 6-3 at home this season
Records
San Antonio Spurs: 52-18 | Indiana Pacers: 15-55
Offensive Rating
San Antonio Spurs: 112.0 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened San Antonio Spurs , sharp action noted
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
34-36
@
Dallas Mavericks
23-47
Dallas Mavericks
Sunday, Mar 22 | 12:30 AM ET | American Airlines Center | KFAA-TV

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Here's what the market is missing: NBA scheduling is everything, and this LA Clippers at Dallas Mavericks matchup has some interesting angles. LA Clippers is 34-36 on the year while Dallas Mavericks sits at 23-47.

The numbers tell us Dallas Mavericks is putting up 114.7 PPG at home. LA Clippers scores 109.6 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, ATS records matter. Dallas Mavericks at 9-4 against the spread. LA Clippers is 4-5. The value is clear. This is the play.

Home Field
Dallas Mavericks is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Dallas Mavericks: 23-47 | LA Clippers: 34-36
Offensive Rating
Dallas Mavericks: 114.6 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Dallas Mavericks , sharp action noted
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
38-32
@
Utah Jazz
21-49
Utah Jazz
Sunday, Mar 22 | 01:30 AM ET | Delta Center | KJZZ-TV

Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz

The numbers are screaming at us. Let's break down Philadelphia 76ers at Utah Jazz. At 38-32 versus 21-49, these teams are heading in different directions.

You have to consider Utah Jazz is putting up 113.5 PPG at home. Philadelphia 76ers scores 110.3 on the road. Home/road splits are real in the NBA.

simply put, The betting trends are clear: Utah Jazz covers consistently (6-6 ATS). When a team covers at this rate, there's a reason. This line is off.

Home Field
Utah Jazz is 6-2 at home this season
Records
Utah Jazz: 21-49 | Philadelphia 76ers: 38-32
Offensive Rating
Utah Jazz: 112.2 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Utah Jazz , sharp action noted
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
28-41
@
Phoenix Suns
39-31
Phoenix Suns
Sunday, Mar 22 | 02:00 AM ET | Mortgage Matchup Center | FanDuel SN WI

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Pay attention to this one. The Association delivers another loaded slate, and Milwaukee Bucks (28-41) visiting Phoenix Suns (39-31) stands out.

The key factor is The offensive numbers: Phoenix Suns at 116.6 PPG, Milwaukee Bucks at 114.3. Factor in pace (98.3 vs 98.5) and you see where this is heading.

here's the deal: ATS records matter. Phoenix Suns at 6-4 against the spread. Milwaukee Bucks is 4-5. The value is clear. Give me this side all day.

Home Field
Phoenix Suns is 5-3 at home this season
Records
Phoenix Suns: 39-31 | Milwaukee Bucks: 28-41
Offensive Rating
Phoenix Suns: 115.9 ORtg at home
Line Movement
Opened Phoenix Suns , sharp action noted

Previous Days

Mar 16 Mar 15 Mar 14 Mar 13 Mar 12 Mar 11 Mar 10 Mar 9

View Full Archive →